Friday, November 27, 2015

Russia just dealt a huge blow to Turkey over its downing of a Russian warplane

Russia just dealt a huge blow to Turkey over its downing of a Russian warplane

Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov announced on Friday that Russia would be suspending its visa-free travel agreement with Turkey, in light of Turkey's decision to shoot down a Russian warplane earlier this week.
The suspension, which will make it harder for Russians to travel to Turkey, is likely to have a significant negative impact on Turkey's economy.
Russians account for a huge portion of Turkey's tourism industry. About 3.3 million Russian tourists visited Turkey in 2014, the second-largest number of tourist arrivals after Germany and around 12% of total visitors, according to Reuters.
The move comes two days after Russia issued an official travel warning advising its citizens against visiting Turkey. Russian travel agencies have also announced that they will withdraw their business in Turkey until next year, according to a translation by Boris Zilberman, a Russia expert at the Foundation for Defense of Democracies, a Washington, D.C.-based think tank.
The move marks perhaps the culmination of Moscow's attempts to retaliate against Ankara.
"Absent a clear Turkish apology, Putin had to show toughness and 'react,'" geopolitical expert Ian Bremmer, president of Eurasia Group, told BI on Friday.
"But this reaction is carefully measured and not meant to create a tit for tat that becomes dangerous. Russians aren't going to touch gas exports to Turkey. And I don't see military escalation on either side."
turkey 397272_1024BBCAn image from a BBC video showing the crash.
On Tuesday, Turkey ordered the shooting down of a Russian Su-24 fighter that Turkey accused of violating its airspace for roughly 17 seconds.
Turkey has defended its decision to down the plane, contending that the plane was in Turkish airspace and had been warned repeatedly before it was shot down by Turkish F-16 jets. Turkey released audio of those warnings on Thursday. But Russian President Vladimir Putin said the plane was destroyed by a Turkish missile while flying in Syrian airspace, roughly a mile from the Turkish border.
Russian Prime Minister Dmitry Medvedev called the act "criminal," announcing on Thursdaythat Russia would place wide-ranging sanctions on "foodstuffs, labor, and services from Turkish companies" in Russia.
The sanctions "could bite into more than $30 billion in trade ties between the two countries, as police here began seizing Turkish products and deporting Turkish businessmen," Andrew Roth, The Washington Post's Moscow correspondent, wrote on Thursday with Karla Adam.
erdogan putinKayhan Ozer/Pool/ReutersTurkey's President Tayyip Erdogan (2nd R) walks with his Russian counterpart Vladimir Putin prior to their meeting at the Group of 20 (G20) leaders summit in the Mediterranean resort city of Antalya, Turkey, November 16, 2015.
On Thursday, Putin threatened to pull out of the fight against ISIS, also known as the Islamic State, if Turkey downed another Russian jet. 
"We are ready to cooperate with the coalition which is led by the United States," Putin said at a news conference on Thursday with French President Francois Hollande, according to The Guardian.
"But of course incidents like the destruction of our aircraft and the deaths of our servicemen ... are absolutely unacceptable."
On Friday, Erdogan reiterated during a speech in Bayburt, in northeast Turkey, that he didn't want Turkey's relations with Russia to suffer.
But, he added: "We very sincerely recommend to Russia not to play with fire."

'Geopolitical games'

Lavrov, the Russian foreign minister, accused Turkey on Friday of  "playing a game where terrorists are allocated the role of secret allies," adding that Russia was ready to block the Turkish-Syrian border to "eradicate terrorism on Syrian soil."
It is unclear how such a blockage would be enforced, or whether it would involve stationing Russian ground troops at the border.
putin erdoganOsman Orsal/ReutersPutin and Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan, right, with Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov of Russia, left, and Prime Minister Ahmet Davutoglu of Turkey.
Russia has accused Turkey of facilitating the Islamic State's rise by purchasing oil stolen and produced by the jihadist group in Syria.
"We established a long time ago that large quantities of oil and oil products from territory captured by the Islamic State have been arriving on Turkish territory," Putin said on Wednesday from the Russian Black Sea resort of Sochi, before a meeting with Jordan's King Abdullah.
Western officials have long harbored suspicions about Turkey's links to the Islamic State. One official told The Guardian's Martin Chulov in July that a US-led raid on the compound housing ISIS' "chief financial officer" produced "undeniable" evidence that Turkish officials directly dealt with ranking ISIS members, mainly by purchasing oil from them.
Still, those links have never been confirmed — a point Erdogan made as he shot back on Friday, challenging Russia to provide proof that Turkey had ever engaged in financial dealings with ISIS.
Erdogan further accused Russia of supporting what he called the "state terrorism" of the regime of Syrian President Bashar Assad that has "killed 380,000 people," according to the Turkish state news agency Anadolu. 
Russia, a staunch ally of Assad, began launching airstrikes in Syria in late September on behalf of the Syrian government. But the lifelines Russia has thrown to Assad have not been limited to military aid.
Russian Airstrikes 9 19 NOV fixed 01Institute for the Study of War
On Wednesday, the US Treasury sanctioned Kirsan Ilyumzhinov, a former president of the autonomous Russian Republic of Kalmykia, on suspicion of helping Syria's central bank avoid international sanctions.
The Treasury Department also sanctioned Russian-Syrian businessman George Haswani for using his firm, Hesco Engineering and Construction Co., to purchase oil from the Islamic State on behalf of the Assad regime.
In response to the sanctions, Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Sergei Ryabokov said Washington should stop playing "geopolitical games."
Russian officials complained on Thursday that they had not received a "clear apology" from Turkish officials over the downed plane, adding that they would not communicate with Turkey directly until Ankara apologized.
Though he acknowledged on Thursday that Turkey "may have warned the plane differently" had it known it was a Russian jet, Erdogan has refused to blink first.
"I think if there is a party that needs to apologize, it is not us," he told CNN in an interview from Ankara.
He added: "Those who violated our airspace are the ones who need to apologize. Our pilots and our armed forces, they simply fulfilled their duties, which consisted of responding to ... violations of the rules of engagement. I think this is the essence."

The Smart State (Video)



The Smart State

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The Smart State
Technologies like personal computers and smart phones have reshaped every corner of society. Figures like Apple co-founders Steve Jobs and Steve Wozniak are commonly heralded as the god-like innovators of these planet shifting technologies, but the new documentary The Smart State makes a much different and far less popular argument.
While private industry figureheads like Jobs and Wozniak are to be credited for their keen foresight, aggressive marketing skills and sleekly attractive packaging, the bulk of the advanced technologies they employed in their products resulted from the sweat and ingenuity of the public sector. In the opening moments of the film, a technology expert dissects the innards of a smart phone. The origin of each working part becomes clear through every step of his examination.
The development of the phone's camera was sponsored by the U.S. State Department and proved particularly useful in wartime situations. The GPS technology was also a remnant of conflict, and its invention dates back to the Cold War. Each of these technological features, including Bluetooth, internet, wifi, touch screen, and voice activation, found their roots in the public sector.
The film challenges the common perception that the public sector's role in the creation of new technologies is one of funder and facilitator. In fact, in many instances, the opposite has been true. Government funding of public universities and research centers has led to many of the breakthrough advancements of our time in both the fields of domestic technologies, workplace robotics and medicine. But who actually profits from all of this invention and productivity, and what arrangement would best ensure the future vitality of innovation?
Those are the central questions posed by The Smart State. Private industry not only receives the bounty of acclaim for new technologies, but the vast majority of profits and government tax cuts as well. In the end, the film's expert interview subjects urge for a more collaborative existence between the private and public sectors much like what exists in Denmark. In plotting a future full of energy innovation and free from carbon emissions, the country has found its greatest success when the investment, creation and rewards of new technologies are shared.

Beyond Google: Everything you need to know about the hidden internet

Beyond Google: Everything you need to know about the hidden internet

There’s a hidden part of the Internet that is much larger than the parts of the web you use everyday.
When you're checking your email, shopping online, or Facebooking, you are using what is referred to as the “Surface Web” or “Visible Web”
The "Visible Web" consists of web pages that are indexed by normal search engines, like Google or Yahoo. According to one estimate, there are at least 4 billion indexed web pages.
While this seems huge, there is a much larger part of the web that lurks below the "Surface Web" that isn’t indexed.
This part of the web is called the “Deep Web.”

The Deep Web

Here's the easiest way to think about the "Deep Web": It's all the data behind firewalls. Think user databases, business intranets, web archives, password protected websites, etc.
By some estimates, this part of the internet is estimated to be 400 to 500 times larger than the Surface Web.
Sometimes you will hear the terms Dark Web and Deep Web used interchangeably, but they aren’t really the same thing.


Cadie Thompson tells Codebreaker's Ben Johnson how common it is to buy drugs online:
 The Dark Web: Is it evil? Listen to the whole episode


The Dark Web

The Dark Web actually refers to a set of accessible, albeit anonymously-hosted websites that exist within the Deep Web.
Because these websites are not indexed by normal search engines, you can only be access them with special software that disguises your IP address.
The most common software used to access the the Dark Web is The Onion Browser, referred to as TOR. 
The Dark Web is much smaller than the Deep Web, and it's made up of all different kinds of sites. But it's perhaps most popular for its anonymous marketplaces that often sell illegal products like drugs or weapons.

Darknet Markets

Silk Road was really the first successful anonymous marketplace that thrived on the Dark Web.
Founded in 2011, Silk Road adopted an Amazon-like platform for vendors to buy and sell goods with the use of Bitcoin, an untraceable digital currency. The Silk Road's consumer-friendly approach and its guaranteed anonymity helped it quickly become the go-to website for contraband. 
By the time it was shut down in 2013, the marketplace had accumulated 1,400 vendors, 957,079 registered users, and had brokered more than 1.2 million transactions worth $214 million, according to the FBI.
Since Silk Road’s demise, numerous illicit marketplaces like Agora, AlphaBay, and others, have taken its place and business is actually growing. 
alphabay categoriesAlphaBay/screenshot
In fact, according to a study by researchers at Carnegie Mellon, the anonymous marketplace ecosystem does in excess of $500,000 a day.
What are people buying and selling? And how have things changed since Silk Road?
Listen to the latest episode of Codebreaker to learn more about how these sites operate and what people are buying. Or subscribe on iTunes or wherever you get your podcasts. 

12 ways ISIS gets funding By Ana Swanson Nov 23 2015

12 ways ISIS gets funding

This article is published in collaboration with Washington Post
Weapons, vehicles, employee salaries, propaganda videos, international travel — all of these things cost money. The recent terrorism attacks in Paris, which the Islamic State has claimed as its own work, suggest the terrorist organization hasn’t been hurting for funding. David Cohen, the Treasury Department’s Undersecretary for Terrorism and Financial Intelligence,described the Islamic State last October as “probably the best-funded terrorist organization we have confronted” — deep pockets that have allowed the group to carry out deadly campaigns in Iraq, Syria and other countries.
But where does the Islamic State get all this money? It turns out that the group’s methods of financing are very different from other prominent terrorist organizations, and much more difficult for the United States and other countries to shut down. Unlike many terrorist groups, which finance themselves mainly through wealthy donors, the Islamic State has used its control over a territory that is roughly the size of the U.K. and home to millions of people to develop diversified revenue channels that make it more resilient to U.S. offensives.
Normally, U.S. efforts to cut off funding for terrorists focus on tracking and stopping the flow of funds through the international system. Since 9/11, the United States, other countries, and international organizations such as the International Monetary Fund and the United Nations have set up initiatives to detect and stop the flow of funds to terrorists. Leaders of the Group of 20 issued a statement on Sunday calling for better coordination to cut off funding channels to terrorist organizations, including exchanging information and freezing terrorist assets.
While the Treasury Department says these efforts have disrupted terrorist networks and saved lives, the Islamic State is a different animal. The Islamic State often avoids international finance, instead generating and spending funds within its own territory or immediately along its porous borders. “As for disrupting the revenue that ISIL generates from extortion and other local criminal activities, we recognize that Treasury’s tools are not particularly well-suited to the task,” Cohen said in October, using another name for the Islamic State.
Estimates of the precise amount that the Islamic State earns from these activities tend to vary a lot and fluctuate over time, but what is certain is that the group is heavily diversified — meaning that if one funding source is shut down, the group can turn to others to generate revenue. Its main methods of generating money appear to be the sale of oil and antiquities, as well as taxation and extortion. And the group’s financial resources have grown quickly as it has captured more territory and resources: According toestimates by the Rand Corporation, the Islamic State’s total revenue rose from a little less than $1 million per month in late 2008 and early 2009 to perhaps $1 million to $3 million per day in 2014.
The Islamic State has other expenses, besides the cost of carrying out terrorist attacks and waging war. The terrorist group runs schools, a religious police force, food kitchens, an Islamic court system and even a Consumer Protection authority. It reportedly pays fighters roughly $400 a month, which is more than the Iraqi government offers some staff. The Islamic State sets and approves annual budgets, and it uses a chief financial officer-like figure to manage its accounts. It’s also “fastidious” about documenting a return on investment for its funders. The Islamic State has established a central bank and even planned to mint its own currency — although in practice the group generally uses local currency, such as the Iraqi dinar and the Turkish lira.
Its control of an expansive territory obviously gives the Islamic State a valuable source of funding and flexibility. However, some U.S. officials have argued that having territory might also be seen as a weakness for the group. Maintaining a state of 8 million to 10 million people, waging war around its borders, and financing and carrying out international attacks are costly and difficult tasks. Without adequate funds to provide services to the local population, people in Islamic State territory might turn against the group, provoking a backlash that might end its grip on power, the thinking goes. In addition, reports from territory held by the group paint a picture of a brutal, two-tiered society, in which terrorists and their families live well and most others suffer. Under this pressure, the economy struggles to function, leaving the Islamic State with less and less to tax and to sell.
As other writers have pointed out, considered as a state ISIS looks quite poor, with a budget roughly on par with Afghanistan or the Democratic Republic of Congo. But considered as a terrorist organization, it looks wealthy and diversified. Below are 12 ways the Islamic State earns its revenue:
Oil: The oil fields that it has captured in Syria and Iraq have been a major source of funding for the terrorist group. Although it’s relatively easy for the United States and other countries to prevent large-scale exports of oil from Islamic State territory, it’s much harder to control the black market oil trade that reportedly flourishes along the porous borders of territory controlled by the Islamic State and surrounding countries.
The terrorist group mostly refines oil in small, mobile refineries, then ships it by truck to the Turkish border, where oil brokers and traders buy or barter for it. Because the trade is illegal, the oil is sold at a steep discount that can fluctuate wildly. Smugglersreportedly use mobile messaging services like Whatsapp to coordinate exchanges of products. Some traders may even have been selling oil from the Islamic State back to the regime of Bashar al-Assad, which the Islamic State is fighting in Syria, according to the Boston Globe.
Oil sales initially provided much of the Islamic State’s revenue, but that has declined since the U.S. and others launched an extensive campaign of airstrikes on the group’s oil and gas facilities, according to a report by the Congressional Research Service in April. By October 2014, the U.S. had reportedly destroyed about half of the group’s refining capacity. The United States has also tried to identify and target oil brokers and encourage Turkey to clamp down on smuggling on its border.
The Islamic State’s oil and gas revenue has also suffered because the engineers and other technical experts necessary to make these products have either fled the area or been killed. The terrorist group has been trying hard to recruit skilled people, as a recording by Islamic State leader Abu Bakr al Baghdadi calling for scientists, engineers, doctors and people with administrative expertise in July 2014 shows.
Taxation/extortion: Because the Islamic State controls an expansive territory, it can levy taxes on the people who live there. Some of these taxes are akin to those of a normal state, while others are more like extortion.
The Islamic State levies taxes on things including goods sold, utilities such as electricity and water (when they run, that is — in some areas, the electricity isonly on for an hour a day), telecommunication companies, cash withdrawals from bank accounts, employee salaries, trucks entering Islamic State-controlled territory at checkpoints, looting archaeological sites and non-Muslim communities in general. A report by Thomson Reuters estimates that this system of extortion and taxation could generate as much as $360 million per year for the terrorist organization.
People in the area describe a kind of two-tiered system, where the Islamic State fighters and their families receive a variety of free services, including housing and medical care, while others are taxed heavily.
Kidnapping for ransom: A U.N. report from October 2014 cited estimates that the Islamic State had generated $35 million to $45 million in the previous year through kidnapping for ransom alone.
The United States and U.K. have tried to limit this financial channel by making it illegal to pay ransoms to terrorist organizations. The policy can seem very cold-hearted to the families that are affected by kidnapping, but officials maintain that it discourages terrorists from taking American and British hostages in the first place.
The Islamic State also generates a significant amount of revenue from kidnapping for ransom in its own communities, acts that tend to go unreported in the international press.
Wealthy donors: Although the Islamic State isn’t primarily financed by wealthy donors the way that other terrorist organizations are, these contributions are still a substantial source of revenue.
Some estimates say that the Islamic State received up to $40 million in 2013-2014 from businessmen, wealthy families and other donors in Saudi Arabia, Qatar, Kuwait and the United Arab Emirates. Many of these elite donors chose to fund the Islamic State because of fear and animosity for Iran and Syrian President Bashar al-Assad. A report by the Brookings Institution in 2013 observed that donors in Kuwait were channeling hundreds of millions of dollars to various Syrian rebel groups.
After then-Secretary of State Hillary Clinton and others in the international community criticized these countries for financing terrorists, Saudi Arabia criminalized financial support in 2013 for the Islamic State, al-Qaeda and other terrorist organizations. The United Arab Emirates also appears to have made headway in limiting terrorist financing, according to Brookings. But other funding channels, including through unregistered charitable organizations that funnel money to the Islamic State, are still open.
Sales of antiquities: As the Islamic State has gained territory, it has taken control of museums, private collections and archaeological sites, such as the 9th century B.C. grand palace of Assyrian king Ashurnasirpal II. This has given the terrorist group an expansive supply of precious art and historical artifacts. Earlier this year, the group had at least 4,500 cultural sites under its control, according to the Paris-based Financial Action Task Force.
Some of these antiquities are destroyed, but others are resold for a profit, often flowing to markets in Turkey and Jordan, and from there to Europe and other advanced countries.
In November 2014, Matthew Levitt of the Washington Institute for Near East Policy told a House committee that the sale of antiquities — both those stolen from collections and those that were newly excavated — was the group’s second-large source of revenue after illicit oil sales. Other U.S. estimates put the total volume of trade in antiquities at more than $100 million a year.
Iraqi banks: The Treasury Department has estimated that the Islamic State gained at least half a billion dollars in cash by seizing branches of state-owned banks in northern and western Iraq in 2014.
“Before Mosul, their total cash and assets were $875 million. … Afterward, with the money they robbed from banks and the value of the military supplies they looted, they could add another $1.5 billion to that,” a U.S. intelligence officer told the Guardian.
Sales of other looted property: As the Islamic State captures territory in Iraq, it has acquired American vehicles, weapons and ammunition that can be used or resold. It has also reportedly resold construction equipment, generators, electric cables, cars, livestock, furniture and other goods.
Real estate: According to Niqash.org, a Web site published in partnership with a German nonprofit, the Islamic State has been generating cash by renting and auctioning off the properties of people who have been killed or fled newly occupied areas. “Property owned by individuals that the IS group considered their enemies — such as Iraqi army and police, government officials, politicians, judges and public prosecutors — has also been seized. And recently the group decided they should also own the property belonging to specialists in certain fields, such as doctors,” the report says.
According to an analysis of Islamic State documents from Mosul, property confiscated by Islamic State can be rented to locals, become bases for Islamic State fighters or members, or be redeveloped as new structures.
Foreign fighters: Some foreign fighters who travel to join the Islamic State bring with them hard currency — though this appears to be a relatively limited funding source for the Islamic State.
Agriculture: Islamic State now controls some of the most fertile parts of Iraq and Syria, which produce a lot of wheat and barley. According to Thomson Reuters, if those crops were sold at a 50 percent discount on the black market, that could still generate more than $200 million in annual income for the Islamic State.
Other crops are simply taken from farmers — one Syrian refugee interviewed by The Washington Post said the Islamic State took 10 percent of her family’s wheat crop. Some of the wheat is milled in Islamic State-owned flour mills, according to reports, and subsequently sold to local people and bakeries.
Phosphate, cement and sulfur: The area that Islamic State has captured is rich in natural resources including phosphate, cement and sulfur. Thomson Reuters estimates that phosphate resources might generate as much at $50 million a year for Islamic State at discounted prices, while sulfuric acid and phosphoric acid might generate $300 million.
Human trafficking: Many reports have documented Islamic State’s practice of selling women and girls into marriage or sexual slavery, including many women from the Yazidi and Shia-Tukoman minorities.
Publication does not imply endorsement of views by the World Economic Forum.
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Author: Ana Swanson is a Reporter at The Washington Post.
Image: An Islamic State fighter walks near a black flag belonging to the Islamic State as a Turkish army vehicle takes position near the Syrian town of Kobani, as pictured from the Turkish-Syrian border. REUTERS/Umit Bektas.

Is China the next Silicon Valley? By Stéphanie Thomson Sep 11 2015

Is China the next Silicon Valley?

For all the recent talk of China’s stockmarket volatility and lower than expected growth, the Asian giant has firmly cemented its position as the world’s second-largest economy, a spot it took from Japan less than five years ago. In fact, if some commentators are to be believed, it could even be on track to dethrone the US, the leading economic superpower.
As we noted a few days ago, the jury is still out on this matter. While the US scores highly on measures such as competitiveness – it ranks third, with China some way behind at 28 – China has made huge progress in other areas, such as its market size and growth. Nothing better captures this progress than the rise of Chinese mega corporations, particularly tech companies. Although Silicon Valley has traditionally produced the world’s largest and most successful tech firms, China is starting to catch up, as this chart shows.
american-companies-chinese-equivalents (2)

While technology behemoth Apple is head and shoulders above both its American and Chinese rivals, it could start facing competition from a company that few people in the US will have heard of: Xiaomi. By selling high-spec phones at affordable prices, the Chinese start-up – the world’s second-most valuable, after Uber – has become one of the leading smartphone makers in less than five years. After securing the record for most smartphones sold in a single day, it has now set its sights on the US market.
Two of China’s biggest tech companies – Alibaba and Tencent – are also starting to catch up with their US counterparts. Despite sliding share prices, Alibaba still has a competitive edge over its US equivalent, Amazon: its focus on small businesses. Speaking at the Economic Club of New York back in June, Alibaba’s founder Jack Ma said that within the next 10 years, their plan is to “help 2 billion consumers in the world shop online”. Looking at the progress the company has made in a relatively short space of time – just a couple of years ago, few people outside China had heard of it – that goal does not seem unrealistic. As for Tencent, although its American counterpart, Facebook, might be the most widely used social network, the Chinese company still owns three of the five most popular social platforms. It also dominates in its home country, the world’s largest internet market. With internet penetration rates in China still relatively low when compared to the US (in 2013, 45.8% vs.84.2%), Tencent has much more room for growth, as more Chinese move online.
Perhaps one of the best indications of China’s future potential is the one Chinese company on the above list that is valued higher than its American counterpart: Momo. Although regularly referred to in the US as the Chinese Tinder, it was actually launched a year before the American dating app. While Tinder is available in 30 languages and is used across the globe, from Brazil to the UAE, it still has fewer monthly users: 50 million compared to 60 million for Momo. Those figures point to China’s biggest advantage in the wider internet space: its huge, largely untapped market.
Author: Stéphanie Thomson is an editor at the World Economic Forum.
Image: A visitors plays a game on a smartphone at Tencent’s exhibition booth at the Global Mobile Internet Conference (GMIC) 2015 in Beijing, China. REUTERS/Kim Kyung-Hoon

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