Saturday, January 17, 2015

ECB compromises with Germany over QE programme: FT

ECB compromises with Germany over QE programme: FT

PUBLISHED ON JAN 17, 2015 11:35 PM
European Central Bank chief Mario Draghi (left) talks to Germany's Chancellor Angela Merkel during an EU meet in Brussels in this 2012 file photo. The ECB will next week announce plans to directly buy government bonds, creating new money to fight off possible deflation despite German objections, according to Saturday's FT. -- PHOTO: REUTERS
LONDON (AFP) - The European Central Bank (ECB) will next week announce plans to directly buy government bonds, creating new money to fight off possible deflation despite German objections, according to Saturday's FT.
The ECB holds its first policy meeting of the year on Thursday and is widely expected to announce some sort of programme of sovereign bond purchases - or quantitive easing - to try to kick-start the eurozone's sluggish economy.
Germany is concerned such a programme amounts to direct fiscal support for profligate states, taking away the pressure to push through tough economic reforms.
Conscious of German objections, the bonds will be underwritten by individual states in order to reassure German taxpayers that they will not be on the hook in the event of a default, according to the FT, raising separate issues about the principle of risk sharing.
"There are a series of trade-offs involved in (designing QE) and whatever is announced will probably not satisfy everyone," Ken Wattret, economist at BNP Paribas, told the FT.
"Any adverse impact stemming from a reluctance to mutualise risk could be offset by a strong signal that the ECB is willing to buy in large scale in order to raise inflation expectations."
German news magazine Der Spiegel reported on Friday that national central banks would only be allowed to buy the sovereign debt of their respective countries, to ensure they alone carried the risk of a possible default by their government.
The weekly said that ECB chief Mario Draghi had presented the scheme to German Chancellor Angela Merkel and Finance Minister Wolfgang Schaeuble in a meeting on Wednesday.
The central bank widely reported to be considering purchases worth at least €500 billion (S$760 billion) or to pledge to buy sovereign debt until inflation approaches 2 per cent, said the FT report.
Euro-zone inflation fell into negative territory in December, with consumer prices down 0.2 per cent.
On a year-over-year basis, inflation was the weakest since September 2009, at 0.8 per cent, well below the ECB's target of close to 2.0 per cent.
Falling prices could prove damaging for EU firms as consumers put off purchasing goods and for governments ladened with fixed-rate debt.


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