Wednesday, July 26, 2017

US regulators just dealt a blow to the most hyped area in tech investing right now

US regulators just dealt a blow to the most hyped area in tech investing right now

banker stock exchange worried trader crash scared fearfulOof. Spencer Platt/Getty Images
One of the most-hyped areas in tech investing right now looks certain to come under additional scrutiny after a decision by US regulators.
On Tuesday, the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) said that "ICOs" (Initial Coin Offerings) can sometimes be considered securities — and as such are subject to strict laws and regulations.
For the uninitiated, ICOs are a fancy new way of fundraising enabled by digital currencies like Ethereum — participants invest money and receive digital "tokens" in return. Thus far, it has been largely unregulated, with some ICO crowdfunding events raising hundreds of millions of dollars — leading some observers to argue that it is a massive bubble.
But the SEC's warning means that this free-for-all may not last forever. In a statement, it said (emphasis ours):
"The Securities and Exchange Commission issued an investigative report today cautioning market participants that offers and sales of digital assets by 'virtual' organizations are subject to the requirements of the federal securities laws. Such offers and sales, conducted by organizations using distributed ledger or blockchain technology, have been referred to, among other things, as 'Initial Coin Offerings' or 'Token Sales.' Whether a particular investment transaction involves the offer or sale of a security — regardless of the terminology or technology used — will depend on the facts and circumstances, including the economic realities of the transaction."
In other words: It doesn't matter how you dress it up, if it looks like a security and smells like a security, the SEC is going to treat it like a security. And that means sales must be registered in advance — though not all token sales will necessarily qualify. The devil is in the detail.
In an emailed statement, Peter Van Valkenburgh, director of research at bitcoin non-profit Coin Center, said: "What the SEC did not say is that all tokens are securities. Rather, they suggest a facts and circumstances test but only analyse the facts and circumstances surrounding last year’s DAO token sale.
"We believe that applying the same facts and circumstances test to other tokens will mean that some do not fit into the definition of securities, particularly tokens with an underlying utility rather than a mere speculative investment value. Our securities framework and other research explains why this is the case. We hope clear guidance from the SEC to that effect will be forthcoming."
Prior to the announcement, there was uncertainty as to the regulatory status of ICOs, and some startups in the space took steps to pre-empt it. The EOS token sale (which raised more than $200 million), warned in its FAQ that it "does not believe that the distribution of EOS Tokens or the EOS Tokens themselves are securities, commodities, swaps on either securities or commodities, or similar financial instruments ... and should not be considered as a type of investment." It also banned US citizens from buying EOS Tokens.
The SEC specifically investigated the DAO crowdsale in 2016, a high-profile token sale that was subsequently hacked. It ruled that the tokens "were securities and therefore subject to the federal securities laws" — and by not registering, it violated the law.

SEC's ruling on The DAO is quite specific, and applies pointedly to, well, DAO-like investment funds. Not to all ICOs by a long shot.

SEC's ruling on The DAO is quite specific, and applies pointedly to, well, DAO-like investment funds. Not to all ICOs by a long shot.
Regardless, it should give pause to new ICOs. If your coin is reinventing something that already exists, eg investment fund, don't.

Regardless, it should give pause to new ICOs. If your coin is reinventing something that already exists, eg investment fund, don't.
Focus on doing things that only new tech can do. Not on circumventing the law by adopting the veneer of a new technology around an old idea.
The regulator is not bringing charges relating to the DAO, instead warning (emphasis ours):
"In light of the facts and circumstances, the agency has decided not to bring charges in this instance, or make findings of violations in the Report, but rather to caution the industry and market participants: the federal securities laws apply to those who offer and sell securities in the United States, regardless whether the issuing entity is a traditional company or a decentralized autonomous organization, regardless whether those securities are purchased using U.S. dollars or virtual currencies, and regardless whether they are distributed in certificated form or through distributed ledger technology."
More: Ethereum SEC

Chipotle jumps after profits more than double

Chipotle jumps after profits more than double

Chipotle Test Kitchen 11Hollis Johnson
CMG Chipotle Mexican
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LOS ANGELES, July 25 (Reuters) - Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc's profit more than doubled on stronger sales, fewer giveaways and lower labor costs as the burrito seller tries to win back customers after food safety lapses tarnished its brand.
The company's shares rose nearly 3 percent in after-hours trading on Tuesday, a turnaround from last week when the Denver-based chain suffered yet another setback after it had to briefly close a restaurant in Virginia due to a health scare and a separate cleanliness issue at a Dallas venue.
"Recent events ... have shown that we still have a lot of opportunity to improve our operations and deliver the outstanding experience that our customers expect," Chipotle Chief Executive Steve Ells said in a statement.
Net income for the quarter was $66.7 million, or $2.32 per diluted share, compared with the year earlier profit of $25.6 million, or 87 cents per diluted share.
Restaurant-level operating margins improved to 18.8 percent from 15.5 percent a year earlier, helped by improved sales and reduced use of labor. Marketing and promotional expenses also declined as the company cuts back on giveaways aimed at luring back customers.
Revenue rose 17.1 percent to $1.17 billion.
Sales at restaurants open at least 13 months were up 8.1 percent increase in sales at restaurants open at least 13 months, less than the 9.5 percent gain expected by analysts polled by Consensus Metrix.
The company's stock had flirted around $750 before sales-crushing food safety issues in 2015, where outbreaks of E. coli, Salmonella and Norovirus linked to its restaurants, sickened hundreds of customers in the United States.
Chipotle shares were up 2.7 percent at $357.90 in extended trading.
(Reporting by Lisa Baertlein in Los Angeles; Editing by Bernard Orr)
Read the original article on Reuters. Copyright 2017. Follow Reuters on Twitter.

Tuesday, July 25, 2017

BANK OF AMERICA: We may have just witnessed the 'first step' toward the end of the bull market

BANK OF AMERICA: We may have just witnessed the 'first step' toward the end of the bull market

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You'd be hard-pressed to find an equity strategist at a major Wall Street firm who has called the end of the 8-year-old bull market.
But they may have just done that as a collective, according to Bank of America Merrill Lynch.
The bank has a sell-side indicator of stocks, based on its survey of Wall Street strategists' asset allocation recommendations on the last day of every month. As of June 30, the indicator is at its highest level since 2011.
"The recent inflection from skepticism to optimism could be the first step toward the market euphoria that we typically see at the end of bull markets and that has been glaringly absent so far in the cycle," said Savita Subramanian, the head of equity and quant strategy at BAML.
"We have found that Wall Street's consensus equity allocation has been a reliable contrary indicator," Subramanian added. "In other words, it has historically been a bullish signal when Wall Street was extremely bearish, and vice versa."
7 3 17 sell side consensus COTDThe sell-side indicator, at a six-year high, could be the first step toward euphoria.Bank of America Merrill Lynch
For proof that the stock market still has room to run, some strategists cite the turnaround in earnings growth during the first quarter after back-to-back declines since the third quarter of 2015.
"Stocks proved resilient in the first half of 2017 on improved corporate earnings notwithstanding some softness in economic data," John Stoltzfus, the chief investment strategist at Oppenheimer, said in a note on Monday. The S&P 500 gained 8.2% in the first half of 2017.
This earnings growth is expected to have carried through into the second quarter. According to FactSet, analysts made the smallest cuts to Q2 earnings-per-share estimates in three years ahead of the reporting season that's due to begin in earnest with PepsiCo on July 11.
Fundstrat's Tom Lee, whose year-end S&P 500 target of 2,275 is the lowest among major strategists, said earnings would need to pick up at a faster pace to match various gauges of valuation that are stretched, such as the median price-to-earnings ratio.
"It's an uncomfortable call, to be honest," Lee said about his forecast that the market would end the year lower. "Our clients don't like the idea that a market being so strong actually has downside risk."

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