Tuesday, November 21, 2017

AT&T will face an antitrust lawsuit over its $84.5 billion Time Warner deal

AT&T will face an antitrust lawsuit over its $84.5 billion Time Warner deal

AT&T ceo randall stephensonRandall Stephenson, the chief of AT&T. AP
  • The US Department of Justice filed an antitrust lawsuit seeking to block AT&T's acquisition of Time Warner.
  • The news of the lawsuit follows reports that the department demanded AT&T and Time Warner sell Turner Broadcasting, which includes CNN.


AT&T's rocky quest to complete its acquisition of Time Warner just hit another speed bump.
The US Department of Justice sued to block the company's $84.5 billion takeover of Time Warner.
"This merger would greatly harm American consumers. It would mean higher monthly television bills and fewer of the new, emerging innovative options that consumers are beginning to enjoy," Makan Delrahim, the head of the Justice Department’s antitrust division, said announcing the suit.
In the complaint, the Justice Department focused on what it sees as potentially anti-competitive behavior that could result from a completed deal. AT&T already owns DirecTV, which is mentioned throughout the complaint as a particular cause for concern. The DOJ said:
"Were this merger allowed to proceed, the newly combined firm likely would ... use its control of Time Warner’s popular programming as a weapon to harm competition.
"AT&T/DirecTV would hinder its rivals by forcing them to pay hundreds of millions of dollars more per year for Time Warner’s networks, and it would use its increased power to slow the industry’s transition to new and exciting video distribution models that provide greater choice for consumers. The proposed merger would result in fewer innovative offerings and higher bills for American families."
The news of the antitrust lawsuit follows reports that the Justice Department demanded AT&T and Time Warner sell Turner Broadcasting, the group of channels that includes CNN, to receive approval for the deal.
AT&T's chief executive, Randall Stephenson, has countered those reports, saying he'd never been under pressure from the Justice Department to sell CNN.
In a statement to multiple publications, David R. McAtee II, AT&T's general counsel, said:
"Today's DOJ lawsuit is a radical and inexplicable departure from decades of antitrust precedent. Vertical mergers like this one are routinely approved because they benefit consumers without removing any competitor from the market. We see no legitimate reason for our merger to be treated differently ...
"Fortunately, the Department of Justice doesn't have the final say in this matter. Rather, it bears the burden of proving to the U.S. District Court that the transaction violates the law. We are confident that the Court will reject the Government's claims and permit this merger under longstanding legal precedent."
Regulatory concerns about the deal have ramped up since Delrahim took over in September as the nation's antitrust chief. A Trump nominee, he pushed for the divestiture of either Turner Broadcasting or DirecTV during negotiations, according to the Bloomberg report.
President Donald Trump has repeatedly called CNN "fake news," and he criticized the proposed acquisition near the end of his presidential campaign, saying that "deals like this destroy democracy."
"As an example of the power structure I'm fighting, AT&T is buying Time Warner and thus CNN, a deal we will not approve in my administration because it's too much concentration of power in the hands of too few," Trump said in a speech on October 22, 2016.
Trump's concerns echo those expressed by many critics of the deal who think that too much consolidation in the media and telecom industries is ultimately bad for both. Still, antitrust experts have said that on a strictly legal basis, fighting the deal might be difficult for the DOJ.
Whether the deal can proceed will be up to a federal judge. It's also possible that the two sides will negotiate a settlement that would allow it to continue.
AT&T's stock slid on the news but still traded 0.4% higher on Monday afternoon, while Time Warner shares slipped 1.1% on the day.
More: CNN at&t Time Warner doj 

Starbucks is using the oldest trick in the book to boost its stock price

Starbucks is using the oldest trick in the book to boost its stock price

  • Starbucks will reportedly sell $1 billion of bonds in order to finance share buybacks, capex, dividend payments and acquisitions.
  • Throughout the bull market, shares repurchases in particular have been used to drive stock price gains, even during lean times.


Having slipped from its mid-year highs, Starbucks is turning to the oldest trick in the book to boost its stock price.
The company is planning to sell $1 billion of debt, and then use the proceeds to buy back its own stock, expand its business, pay cash dividends or finance acquisitions, according to a regulatory filing and a report from Bloomberg.
The first use — share repurchases — is a tactic frequently employed by companies to boost shares during times devoid of other positive catalysts. And considering Starbucks' stock has dropped 12% since hitting a record high in early June, it's clear that the company is willing to consider all options.
Starbucks could also drive some share appreciation by sinking money back into its business. After all, investors have been rewarding the stock prices of companies willing to shell out for capital expenditures.
Since the beginning of last year, a Goldman Sachs-curated basket of stocks spending the most on capex and research and development has beaten a similarly constructed index of companies offering high dividends and buybacks by a whopping 21 percentage points.
Shares of Starbucks were little changed as of 2:53 p.m. ET. And while it may initially seem surprising that the stock hasn't moved more on the announcement of the debt sale, it must be considered that investors are often wary when companies add to their existing debt load. It's entirely possible that's offsetting the potentially positive effect of buyback and capex spending.

There's a new biggest bull on Wall Street

There's a new biggest bull on Wall Street

People pose next to the Wall Street Bull in the financial district in New York, U.S., August 10, 2017. REUTERS/Eduardo Munoz - RC1AD75585E0Thomson Reuters
  • Brian Belski of Bank of Montreal Capital Markets sees the S&P 500 finishing 2018 at 2,950, the most bullish forecast on Wall Street.
  • He sees many of the same bullish conditions that existed at the start of 2017, and thinks that the market can power higher even without tax reform.


Buy stocks. Enjoy improving earnings growth. Profit. Rinse, repeat.
That's basically Brian Belski's 2018 outlook in a nutshell. If it sounds familiar, that's because it's largely the same view the BMO Capital Markets chief investment officer put forth a year ago. Except this time, profit expansion is supposed to be even better.
That's emboldened Belski to slap a 2018 year-end price target of 2,950 onto the S&P 500 — a roughly 14% surge from current levels — making him the most bullish strategist on Wall Street.
Screen Shot 2017 11 20 at 11.45.49 AMS&P 500 earnings growth was supposed to level off in 2017, but forecasts show it continuing to improve into 2018.BMO Capital Markets
"We believe there is no reason to expect that a dramatic reversal in longer-term fundamentals is imminent," Belski wrote in a client note. "Rather, the slope of our long standing secular bull market call remains positive."
What's more, BMO's earnings growth forecast doesn't factor in any expectations for tax reform. Although the passage of a GOP tax plan is frequently cited as something that could underpin further gains in the stock market, Belski sees the S&P 500 standing on its own two legs even without it.
Still, progress on the tax front certainly couldn't hurt. Belski has an even more optimistic "bull case" scenario that calls for the S&P 500 to end 2018 at 3,250, spurred by corporate reinvestment and an acceleration in consumer spending. A lower corporate rate and a one-time repatriation tax holiday — both of which are expected to be part of a successful tax plan — could ultimately drive that reinvestment.
Belski also highlights an interesting wrinkle to the 8 1/2-year bull rally, which is that investors haven't trusted its stability throughout basically its entire run. He thinks it's time to shed those negative thoughts and embrace the positive factors leading the market higher.
"Investors have been climbing the wall of worry for nine years and counting," said Belski. "Doubt, fear and rushes to judgment have been trying to diagnose the end of the bull market since it began. We believe it is time to accept fundamentals and turn off the rhetoric."
Here's a round-up of the other 2018 year-end S&P 500 targets on Wall Street, ordered from most to least bullish:
  • UBS — Keith Parker — Target: 2,900
  • Credit Suisse — Jonathan Golub — Target: 2,875
  • Deutsche Bank — Binky Chadha — Target: 2,850
  • Goldman Sachs — David Kostin — Target: 2,500

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