Wednesday, December 21, 2016

Blackstone is winding down its 'big bet' hedge fund Senfina Advisors after it faced mounting double-digit losses

Blackstone is winding down its 'big bet' hedge fund Senfina Advisors after it faced mounting double-digit losses

Stephen A. Schwarzman, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer of The Blackstone Group, speaks during an interview with Maria Bartiromo, on her Fox Business Network show; Schwarzman, Chairman and CEO of The Blackstone Group, speaks during an interview with Bartiromo, on her Fox Business Network show; "Opening Bell with Maria Bartiromo" in New York.Thomson Reuters
Blackstone Group is winding down its "big bet" hedge fund Senfina Advisors LLC after it faced mounting double-digit losses on its investments this year, a spokeswoman confirmed on Tuesday.
It is a rare setback for the private equity titan, which invests roughly $70 billion in hedge funds, and launched Senfina, which means "everlasting" in Esperanto, to great fanfare in 2014.
The fund was one of last year's top performers, gaining 20 percent, but is down 24 percent this year through November after wrong-way bets in its so-called center book where declines were most pronounced.
Other "multi-manager" hedge funds, which make leveraged concentrated bets on a range of securities, have also suffered this year after being wrong-footed by the pace of U.S. interest rate hikes and the post-election rally in the United States.
"The market environment in 2016 for long/short hedge funds was unprecedented. We did what was in the best interest of our investors to preserve their capital," said Paula Chirhart, a Blackstone spokeswoman.
The ticker and trading information for Blackstone Group is displayed at the post where it is traded on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) April 4, 2016. REUTERS/Brendan McDermid  - RTSDKHEThe ticker and trading information for Blackstone Group is displayed at the post where it is traded on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange. Thomson Reuters
A number of Senfina's nearly one dozen portfolio managers, including Parag Pande, who joined Blackstone in 2014 and now heads Senfina, will be leaving the firm, said a source familiar with the decision who asked not to be named because the discussions are private.
Pande ran Senfina's so-called center book, featuring fund managers' best ideas.
Some Senfina managers are expected to stay on at Blackstone and much of the $1.8 billion that Senfina invests for large clients, including state pension funds, is expected to stay at Blackstone, the source said.
Blackstone's Alternative Asset Management arm (BAAM), headed by J. Tomilson Hill, saw inflows of $1.65 billion this year and overall performance for BAAM has been positive, Chirhart said.
BAAM began laying the groundwork for Senfina years ago as demand for multi-manager funds picked up. Blackstone started hiring fund managers, including Pande, who came from Ziff Brothers, in 2014.
By the end of last year, Senfina was one of Blackstone's crown jewels. But after 2015's strong gains, some Senfina managers struggled early in 2016 as worries about slower growth in China and the pace of U.S. rate hikes sent stocks spiraling lower. Losses at the start of the year were deepest in the center book. 
blackstone schwarzmanStephen Schwarzman, chairman and CEO of the Blackstone Group. REUTERS/China Daily
In the January-June period, Senfina lost 15 percent after a 12 percent gain in the second half of 2015. Things appeared to stabilize some in the second quarter with a 2 percent gain. Adjustments were made in the center book.
Losses mounted anew in November with a 6 percent drop. Again the majority of losses were seen in the center book which was caught off guard by Donald Trump's unexpected White House victory and the ensuing stock market rally. Some managers betting on industrial and consumer companies were also hurt as markets repositioned.
Since its launch Senfina's performance has slightly negative but redemption requests have been minimal, the spokeswoman said.
Senfina isn't the only multi-manager hedge fund to struggle this year. Folger Hill Asset Management, founded by former SAC Capital Advisors chief operating officer Sol Kumin, is off 15.3 percent through November.
Managers like Senfina use large numbers of small investment teams and centralized risk oversight to keep bets on securities increasing in value, or long positions, roughly in balance with those on them declining, or shorts.
The strategy also uses leverage, or borrowed money, which can exacerbate losses if risks are not properly controlled. The so-called market-neutral approach is supposed to preserve client money in any market environment.
(Editing by Carmel Crimmins and James Dalgleish)
Read the original article on Reuters. Copyright 2016. Follow Reuters on Twitter.

Tuesday, December 20, 2016

GOLDMAN SACHS: 4 key transitions we’re watching in 2017

GOLDMAN SACHS: 4 key transitions we’re watching in 2017

Goldman Sachs, Goldman, Goldman signReuters/ Lucas Jackson
As 2016 draws to a close, Goldman Sachs' asset management division has come out with its outlook for the global economy and markets in 2017.
The firm sounded optimistic about a recovery in global growth rates, expecting a continuation of a long cycle of economic expansion into 2017. "We think growth is poised to broaden out to more countries, with the global economy drawing on more sources of strength than at any point since 2010," the outlook said.
Also, flagging the elevated valuations of traditional securities, Goldman recommended "broadening exposure beyond conventional stocks and bonds."
In particular, the firm spotted 4 economic transitions to watch out in 2017 with specific signposts. We list them below, along with commentary from the Goldman Sachs outlook.

View As: One Page Slides


1. Globalism to Populism

1. Globalism to Populism
Goldman Sachs
"The biggest transition in the current environment is a shift away from the dominant trend of globalism, which brought increased cross-border flows of goods and people. After years of slow economic growth and rising wealth inequality, support for parties with more populist messages—often focused on easier fiscal policy, immigration reform and/or protectionist trade policy—has been rising steadily over the past few years.
Populism claimed two major victories in 2016 with Britain’s decision to leave the European Union and the election of Donald Trump as president of the United States. In 2017, we will be closely monitoring the strength of the populist trend given its potential to impact Europe and the increased likelihood of more protectionist trade policies."

2. Stagnation to Inflation

2. Stagnation to Inflation
Goldman Sachs
"We have already seen a shift from an outlook plagued by low inflation and nominal growth to higher expectations for both. In 2017, we expect concerns around potential secular stagnation to give way to a more inflationary paradigm in the US.
With tightening labor markets, a boost from energy price-related base effects and a potentially more inflationary fiscal outlook, prices and inflation expectations have already risen markedly from lows."

3. Monetary to Fiscal Policy

3. Monetary to Fiscal Policy
Goldman Sachs
"We see monetary policy divergence reaching a new extreme in the year ahead. We think the Fed is likely to hike interest rates at least twice, while the European Central Bank (ECB) and Bank of Japan (BoJ) stretch further toward the limits of their easing ability.
With growth still struggling on both sides of the Atlantic, the focus for stimulus is shifting toward fiscal spending, both as a backlash against years of painful austerity and in recognition of a need for infrastructure upgrades. This transition is important to watch as it could provide a better policy mix to support growth and corporate earnings, or it could drive debt and inflation sharply higher and spark more volatility in developed or emerging market assets."

4. Regulation to De-Regulation

4. Regulation to De-Regulation
Goldman Sachs
"The outlook for more fiscal spending has received significant attention, but the potential for de-regulation may have a bigger impact on growth and markets in 2017. In the US, Trump’s proposed regulatory changes are focused on improving access to capital and reducing barriers to business formation. In Europe, corporate support for a Brexit outcome was driven by concerns about excessive regulation, and European financial institutions have begun to push back against the wave of post-crisis regulation. Meanwhile, China continues to seek the right mix of regulation and stimulus to drive structural reform while maintaining economic growth. As a result, we will be watching the degree of regulatory divergence across the global economy and the potential for competitive de-regulation."

The best holiday dessert in 22 countries around the world

The best holiday dessert in 22 countries around the world

Follow Business Insider:
speculaas2These are the holiday treats people are eating across the globe.Turku Gingerbread/Flickr
The INSIDER Summary:
• Every country has their own traditional holiday sweet.
• In Canada, a spicy cinnamon candy called Chicken Bones is popular.
• In Iceland, "leaf bread" that is literally as thin as a leaf is eaten.


Americans love to eat candy canes, gingerbread, and sugar cookies during the holidays. 
Elsewhere in the world, however, a typical holiday dessert looks a lot different.
From an 18-layer ring cake in Norway to a rum-filled fruit cake in Jamaica, this is what holiday treats look like in 22 countries around the world.

View As: One Page Slides


AUSTRALIA: Many Australians opt for a light pavlova — or berry dessert — after dinner. Pavlova is essentially a large meringue that has been topped with fresh cream and berries.

AUSTRALIA: Many Australians opt for a light pavlova — or berry dessert — after dinner. Pavlova is essentially a large meringue that has been topped with fresh cream and berries.
Asah Yoganandan/Flickr

BRAZIL: Rabanada is a Brazilian version of French toast served around Christmastime. Instead of maple syrup, rabanada is topped with a syrup made from spiced port wine.

BRAZIL: Rabanada is a Brazilian version of French toast served around Christmastime. Instead of maple syrup, rabanada is topped with a syrup made from spiced port wine.
Rie H./Flickr

CANADA: Chicken Bones, a spicy cinnamon hard candy filled with bittersweet chocolate, is a holiday favorite in Canada. Chicken Bones are a polarizing candy — a lot of Canadians either love them or hate them.

CANADA: Chicken Bones, a spicy cinnamon hard candy filled with bittersweet chocolate, is a holiday favorite in Canada. Chicken Bones are a polarizing candy — a lot of Canadians either love them or hate them.
via Ganong Facebook

COLOMBIA: Many Colombians serve arroz con leche, or rice pudding, for dessert on Christmas. Every family has their own recipe, but it's typically made from milk, spices, raisins and rice.

COLOMBIA: Many Colombians serve arroz con leche, or rice pudding, for dessert on Christmas. Every family has their own recipe, but it's typically made from milk, spices, raisins and rice.
M. Martin Vicente/Flickr

CROATIA: You can expect to find a bowl of fritule sitting out in every Croatian household during the holiday season. Fritule are mini fried doughnuts, similar to a beignet, except they're made with rum, citrus zest, and raisins, and topped with powdered sugar.

CROATIA: You can expect to find a bowl of fritule sitting out in every Croatian household during the holiday season. Fritule are mini fried doughnuts, similar to a beignet, except they're made with rum, citrus zest, and raisins, and topped with powdered sugar.
kennejima/Flickr

CZECH REPUBLIC: Wander around any holiday market in Prague, and you'll be sure to find a stand that sells trdelnik, or chimney cakes. Dough strips are covered with sugar, cinnamon, and nuts and baked wrapped around a cylinder.

CZECH REPUBLIC: Wander around any holiday market in Prague, and you'll be sure to find a stand that sells trdelnik, or chimney cakes. Dough strips are covered with sugar, cinnamon, and nuts and baked wrapped around a cylinder.
erix!/Flickr

ENGLAND: Figgy pudding, also known as plum pudding and Christmas pudding, is a classic English Christmastime dessert. This cake-like treat is made with dried fruits, spices, and lots of alcohol. So much alcohol, in fact, that you can actually set it on fire, which many people do.

ENGLAND: Figgy pudding, also known as plum pudding and Christmas pudding, is a classic English Christmastime dessert. This cake-like treat is made with dried fruits, spices, and lots of alcohol. So much alcohol, in fact, that you can actually set it on fire, which many people do.
Smabs Sputzer/Flickr
Source: NPR and Hungry History

FRANCE: Calissons are a smooth, chewy, almond-flavored candy made with candied fruit and ground almonds, then topped with a thin layer of white icing.

FRANCE: Calissons are a smooth, chewy, almond-flavored candy made with candied fruit and ground almonds, then topped with a thin layer of white icing.
jean-louis zimmermann/Flickr

GREECE: A Greek Christmas wouldn't be complete without a fresh batch of melomakarona, or honey walnut-spiced cookies. These cake-like cookies are made with ingredients that are native to Mediterranean cuisine, like honey, olive oil, and nuts.

GREECE: A Greek Christmas wouldn't be complete without a fresh batch of melomakarona, or honey walnut-spiced cookies. These cake-like cookies are made with ingredients that are native to Mediterranean cuisine, like honey, olive oil, and nuts.
Alexander Baxevanis/Flickr
Source: My Greek Dish

HUNGARY: Beigli is a baked pastry roll traditionally filled with a walnut or poppy seed paste.

HUNGARY: Beigli is a baked pastry roll traditionally filled with a walnut or poppy seed paste.
Ann T./Yelp

ICELAND: Laufabrauð, or leaf bread, is literally as thin as a leaf. During the holiday season, families gather to make these crispy, thin, pattern-adorned flatbreads.

ICELAND: Laufabrauð, or leaf bread, is literally as thin as a leaf. During the holiday season, families gather to make these crispy, thin, pattern-adorned flatbreads.
briansuda/Flickr

IRELAND: Fruit, sherry cream, custard and sponge cake are all piled into a trifle dish during the holiday season in Ireland. Trifle is often served as a lighter alternative to Christmas pudding.

IRELAND: Fruit, sherry cream, custard and sponge cake are all piled into a trifle dish during the holiday season in Ireland. Trifle is often served as a lighter alternative to Christmas pudding.
AForestFrolic/Flickr
Source: Zester Daily and BBC Good Food

ITALY: Panettone literally means "big bread," and it wouldn't be considered Christmas in Italy without it. Panettone can come in lots of different flavors, but the traditional panettone is a sweet bread that has candied oranges, lemon zest and raisins in it. This fluffy bread takes at least 12 hours to rise, but when it's finally ready to eat, the whole family enjoys it.

ITALY: Panettone literally means "big bread," and it wouldn't be considered Christmas in Italy without it. Panettone can come in lots of different flavors, but the traditional panettone is a sweet bread that has candied oranges, lemon zest and raisins in it. This fluffy bread takes at least 12 hours to rise, but when it's finally ready to eat, the whole family enjoys it.
Nicola since 1972/Flickr
Source: Delallo and Italy Magazine

JAMAICA: No Christmas on the island would be complete without a slice of boozy Jamaican Christmas cake. It’s filled with a mixture of dried fruit and lots of rum.

JAMAICA: No Christmas on the island would be complete without a slice of boozy Jamaican Christmas cake. It’s filled with a mixture of dried fruit and lots of rum.
Lachlan Hardy/Flickr
Source: Martha Stewart

SWEDEN: The day of St. Lucia kicks off the holiday season in Sweden, and to help celebrate, saffron buns are traditionally served. These rolls get their beautiful golden color from the the saffron-infused dough.

SWEDEN: The day of St. Lucia kicks off the holiday season in Sweden, and to help celebrate, saffron buns are traditionally served. These rolls get their beautiful golden color from the the saffron-infused dough.
erik forsberg/Flickr
Source: Saveur
Read the original article on INSIDER. Follow INSIDER on Facebook. Copyright 2016. Follow INSIDER on Twitter.

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