Thursday, August 11, 2016

Meet David Krane, the new head of Google's $2.4 billion venture-capital business

Meet David Krane, the new head of Google's $2.4 billion venture-capital business

David Krane Google VenturesDavid Krane is the new head of GV. Google Ventures
Bill Maris, the founder and CEO of GV (formerly Google Ventures),has left the company. His replacement is Google veteran David Krane.
But who is Krane, and what does his track record look like?
Well, he was previously a managing partner at the $2.4 billion (£1.85 billion) fund, which now sits under Google's parent company, Alphabet, and he has invested in the likes of Uber, Nest, and Blue Bottle Coffee, according to the GV website.
He first joined Google 16 years ago as director of global communications and public affairs, where he oversaw the company’s strategic communications programs on a worldwide level.
Prior to Google, the husband and father of three children worked for Apple, Qualcomm, Four11 (now Yahoo Mail), and two computer security software developers.
The GV website says Krane has "worked as a member of the senior leadership team to grow Google from a small startup to a multibillion-dollar global enterprise."
Despite a long career in tech, Krane actually trained as a journalist, picking up a journalism degree from Indiana University Bloomington.

RBNZ cuts rates to 2% and signals more to come

RBNZ cuts rates to 2% and signals more to come

Photo by Dave Rowland/Getty Images
The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) cut interest rates by 25 basis points at the conclusion of its August monetary policy meeting, taking the cash rate to a record-low level of 2%.
The decision was expected by markets and economists alike.
Suggesting that the rate cut won’t be the last, the board stated that its “current projections and assumptions indicate that further policy easing will be required to ensure that future inflation settles near the middle of the target range”.
A clear easing bias, indicating that 2.0% is unlikely to be the low in the overnight cash rate.
On inflation, one of the main factors behind the decision to cut rates, it acknowledged that while “long-term inflation expectations are well-anchored at 2 percent, the sustained weakness in headline inflation risks further declines in inflation expectations”.
It also stated that “headline inflation is being held below the target band by continuing negative tradables inflation”.
And the factor holding down tradable inflation, that impacted largely by global markets? The high New Zealand dollar.
“The high exchange rate is adding further pressure to the export and import-competing sectors and, together with low global inflation, is causing negative inflation in the tradables sector,” said the bank
“This makes it difficult for the Bank to meet its inflation objective. A decline in the exchange rate is needed.”
Outside of inflation and the New Zealand dollar, the board also stated that “house price inflation remains excessive and has become more broad-based across the regions, adding to concerns about financial stability”.
However, allowing the board to cut rates despite those risks, it noted that it is “consulting on stronger macro-prudential measures that should help to mitigate financial system risks arising from the rapid escalation in house prices”.
The full August monetary policy statement can be accessed here.
Despite all the talk about the exchange rate being too high, inflation too low, reduced risks in the housing market, the signal that more easing is coming and the actual rate cut itself, the New Zealand dollar rallied following the rate cut, jumping to as high as .7341 following the decision.
You won’t read that in the economic textbooks.
The NZD/USD currently trades at .7279
NZD/USD 5-Minute Chart
With the rate cut today entirely priced in, it was the RBNZ’s revised forecasts that caused the spike in the Kiwi with the bank signalling that it expects to cut rates only one more time in the period ahead.
Here’s the bank’s key forecast variables from its August monetary policy statement. With the overnight cash rate already sitting at 2%, the forecast low in the 90-day bank bill forecast rate implies that there’ll only be one further 25 basis point cut delivered, likely to arrive in the second quarter of 2017.
That, along with upgrades to the New Zealand dollar TWI forecasts, has disappointed investors who were expecting a more aggressive easing stance from the bank, sending the Kiwi soaring higher as a consequence.
Source: RBNZ
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Valeant's stock is sliding after reports it is under criminal investigation

Valeant's stock is sliding after reports it is under criminal investigation

joeseph papa valeantJoseph Papa, Valeant Pharmaceuticals International's chief executive.Christinne Muschi/Reuters
Valeant Pharmaceuticals, the troubled Canadian drugmaker, isunder criminal investigation, according to The Wall Street Journal.
Federal investigators are considering bringing charges of defrauding investors with its relationship to specialty pharmacy Philidor, reported The Journal, citing unnamed sources familiar with the matter.
According to the report, US district attorneys in New York are considering whether Philidor unfairly directed patients toward higher-priced drugs made by Valeant instead of lower-cost options without revealing the relationship between the two firms.
Investigators are looking into whether Philidor told insurers that it had no relationship with Valeant in order to secure coverage of the higher-priced drugs.
Philidor, which no longer exists, stated in a letter to a US Senate committee investigating Valeant that it did not push patients toward Valeant's products. Valeant paid $80 million in fees to Philidor in 2015, and the specialty pharmacy was dispensing more than 5o drugs made by Valeant, according to documents sent to the committee.
Valeant disclosed in October 2015 that it had a relationship with Philidor, including an option to buy the company. Eventually, Valeant severed ties with Philidor because of misstatements in its accounting.
According to the report, the US attorney's office is considering pressing charges related to mail and wire fraud. The Journal's sources said that the office is considering charges against two former Philidor executives individually.
Valeant had previously said in filings that it was facing investigations in four different states, including New York. The filing directly stated that New York investigators were looking into the Philidor relationship.
UPDATE: In response to the story, Valeant released a statement late Wednesday saying that the investigation was already public knowledge and that the firm is cooperating with the US attorney's office. Here is the statement in full:
"Valeant previously disclosed in October 2015 that the United States Attorney's Office for the Southern District of New York commenced an investigation involving Valeant. We have been fully cooperating with the authorities throughout the investigation, and we are in frequent contact and continue to cooperate with the U.S. Attorney's Office for the Southern District of New York.  We do not comment on rumors about investigations, and cannot comment on or speculate about the possible course of any ongoing investigation."
"Valeant takes these matters seriously and intends to uphold the highest standards of ethical conduct as we move forward with our mission to improve people's lives with our healthcare products."
In trading on Thursday, Valeant's stock fell by roughly 8.0% to $25.12 as of 10:22 a.m. ET.
Screen Shot 2016 08 11 at 10.21.08 AMInvesting.com

WENDY'S CEO: People don't want to buy our food because of the election

WENDY'S CEO: People don't want to buy our food because of the election

donald trump mcdonald's fast food hamburgerRepublican Presidential nominee Donald Trump eats a meal from McDonald's. Donald Trump for President
People don't want cheeseburgers because of Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump, at least according to Wendy's CEO Todd Penegor.
In a quarterly-earnings call on Wednesday, Penegor said that the presidential election is weighing on consumer sentiment and, in turn, people are spending less at restaurants like Wendy's.
Penegor noted that there is a large difference between the cost of food at home and food away from home, and when you combine that with economic uncertainty, people are less likely to eat out.
"And when a consumer is a little uncertain around their future and really trying to figure out what this election cycle really means to them, they're not as apt to spend as freely as they might have even just a couple of quarters ago," said Penegor.
"We're not still seeing real wage growth, but we are seeing some of the cost of living move up when you get into what does it cost to own a home and operate your life in general," he said.
Despite Wendy's beat on analysts estimates for earnings, sales were down from a year ago. In explaining the decline, management repeatedly expressed concern for the industry as a whole. According to Penegor, this makes it more important for Wendy's to differentiate itself and provide customers a reason to go to its restaurants.
"That would be the way to think about it ... at this stage, there is a lot of uncertainty in the consumer's mind as we work through the election," said Penegor.
"We continue to make sure that we've got the high-low messaging working to make sure that with the gap widening between food at home and food away from home that we drive reasons to bring our customers into our restaurants," he said.
Penegor is certainly right about the downturn in sales at restaurants, as we have previously noted, and other fast-food chains such as Burger King and Taco Bell also saw sales declines in their most recent quarters. But tracing that back to consumer sentiment, and the election, may be a bit tenuous.
For one thing, measures of Americans' opinion of their finances, such as the University of Michigan's consumer-sentiment survey, remains strong. Additionally, consumer spending is still solid and is a key driver of US economic growth.
Finally, not every chain is seeing sales drop off. McDonald's and Dunkin' Brands reported higher sales over their previous quarters when they reported earnings in July.
A fair point made by Wendy's management is that the gap between the price of groceries, or food at home, and restaurants, or food away from home, is increasing. This difference would logically drive more people to eat at home, but it also means that Wendy's is paying less for its ingredients, too.
In fact, the firm's North American restaurant margin increased 3.2% to 21.9% in the quarter, up from 18.2% in the same quarter last year. In the release accompanying earnings, Wendy's said that this was because of "favorable commodity prices" or, in other words, cheaper ingredients. This is the same reason that it cites for more people eating at home.
So, yes, there is a decline in the restaurant industry's sales, but it's probably more because of how relatively expensive it is to eat out, not the back-and-forth between Trump and Clinton.

Here's proof that Saudi Arabia doesn't care about killing oil prices — only the competition

Here's proof that Saudi Arabia doesn't care about killing oil prices — only the competition

Prince Mohammed bin Salman Saudi Deputy Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman. Reuters
New evidence strongly indicates that Saudi Arabia is more interested in trying to kill competition in the oil industry than it is at propping up oil prices: Its oil production just hit a record high.
The country said output increased by 123,000 barrels a day, which pushed overall production for July to 10.67 million barrels a day. This surpasses the daily record of 10.56 million barrels from June 2015.
While Saudi Arabia does usually pump out more oil in the summer to sate domestic demand, the record production level is likely to be scrutinised because oil prices are still about 55% lower than they were at their most recent peak, in June 2014.
Oil prices are now just above $40 a barrel, with the drop from triple-digit levels in the summer of 2014 coming amid high supply and low demand.
The market was so flooded with oil at the beginning of this year that prices threatened to fall as low as $20 a barrel.
crudeoil 2014 2016Oil prices from 2014 to date. Investing.com
To help offset the drop in foreign revenue from low oil prices, the Saudi government said petrol prices, which are usually very low in Saudi Arabia because of the glut of oil the country produces, may increase by 50% there; diesel, electricity, and water prices will also rise.
Saudi Arabia also reported a 2015 budget deficit — the amount by which government expenditures exceed revenue — of $98 billion, or £65.7 billion.
The record levels of production strongly suggest the Saudi government does not care about oil prices falling, or at least being dampened for a prolonged period of time, so long as oil-producing rivals like the US and Russia are being subdued.
For oil-rich nations, killing off direct competition in the long run is the only benefit to allowing prices to fall as low as they have. The media outlet OilPrice.com and various others, including Business Insider, have pointed out that the lower the price goes, the less oil countries that generate oil at a higher cost can produce.
cba us crude production v importsBusiness Insider Australia/CBA
Last Thursday, my colleague David Scutt pointed out that in the prior week, for the first time since January 2014, the US imported more crude oil than it produced, thanks largely to a surge in OPEC supply. And this is what Saudi Arabia wants — the US is producing less but buying more oil from the Middle Eastern country.
Earlier this month, the state oil company Saudi Aramco revealed that it would cut export prices for customers in Asia.
This is an incentive for customers in Asia to buy oil from Saudi Arabia rather than its competitor Russia.
All in all, it looks as if Saudi Arabia does not really care that oil prices are still comparatively low to that of two years ago, and therefore hurting the country's finances, just so long as it kills off competition in the long run.

Wednesday, August 10, 2016

How changing one tiny habit allowed me to build my wealth

How changing one tiny habit allowed me to build my wealth

A person holding a walletImplementing new tiny habits into my life ultimately lead to the change I wanted. Phil Cole/Getty Images
Making savings automatic can help you override the part of your brain that makes poor decisions.
In my teens and early 20s, social anxiety was wrecking my life.
I couldn't go out and feel comfortable around people without drinking, so I drank.
Now, alcohol can lead to a lot ofcool stuff, but for me it was a crutch and I needed help.
So one day I drove to Barnes and Noble (this was before Amazon was a thing) with a plan to casually stumble into the self-help section.
"Oh, what's this section all about? Interesting …"
I scanned the shelves super fast, worried I'd bump into someone I knew and have to explain why I was looking through a book with some embarrassing title. I picked one out, and went to check out.
When I slid the book across the counter all my nervousness came to a head and I had a panic attack.
It turns out changing yourself is really, really hard. Did I read that one book and was cured? No, I read more books, went to therapists, and attended a 12-step group. The process was like peeling an onion where I had to keep taking off layers until I got to the core, and only from there could I rebuild myself.
And what I learned was implementing new tiny habits into my life ultimately lead to the change I wanted. Here, let me show you one of them.
Google Calendar Mr Everyday Dollar ScreenshotMr. Everyday Dollar
I'd send myself this automated email every day at 8:00 a.m., so when I checked my inbox first thing in the morning, I'd see it. It reminded me to say "Hi" to everyone (at work, on the street, in the gym).
This is completely insane, right? You'd think so, but what I discovered was that by "going first" I began to build my social confidence. When this tiny habit became automatic, meaning I just did it without thinking, then I created another tiny habit, and so on.
You might find implementing one tiny habit gets you pretty far. But what if you made it a practice to do it throughout your life? One day you'll look back and realize you've actually changed, even when you thought it was impossible.
Because when I look back at that kid having a panic attack because he's buying a self-help book, it's almost laughable. It's like I'm looking at someone I don't even know. (And I love buying self-help books now, here's the top five I read last year).
Now, I'm not the only one who knows power of tiny habits. I was reading this Quora thread, and was fascinated that by implementing just a few tiny habits a day — drinking water, smiling during his commute, and meditating for 10 minutes — one guy completely changed his life. (I stole his "Never been better," response to "How are you?")

The one tiny habit that leads to wealth 

Before I get to the one tiny habit that leads to wealth, I want to tell you about an economic term called hyperbolic discounting. In simple terms it means you prefer big rewards over small ones. An example of this is if I offered you $100 or $200. You'd take the $200.
But you have an even stronger preference for present rewards over future ones, even when the future ones are bigger, so if I offered you $100 today, or $200 one year from now, which one would you take?
Studies show that you'd actually take the $100 because your brain somehow gets short-circuited and overrides logic. And this means you let a future with potentially big results get away (same thing with marshmallows).
Now, how can you short-circuit your brain getting short-circuited? With the one tiny habit of automating your money. Here, let me show you what this looks like.
Mr Everyday Dollar diagram 1Mr. Everyday Dollar
What you do is have money automatically sent from your paycheck to your retirement account. This can be your employer-sponsored 401(k), or if that's not an option for you, a Roth IRA. Ridiculous, right? Yes, but lots of people don't do this even when there's evidence that if you do it it's extremely effective.
I recommend investing 10% of what you earn, which means the remaining 90% of your income goes to your bank account. But you can start with as little as $50. The key is to start saving for retirement rather than the other option of doing nothing, because you'll be better off thaneveryone else.
If you want, you can keep building on top of this. You can set up automation for how the money in your bank account gets used. Here, let me show you.
Mr Everyday Dollar Diagram 3 Mr. Everyday Dollar
Each month you can automatically pay your student loans, credit cards, and rent. You can automatically set aside money each month for savings. (If you feel like you don't know where your money is going, before automating things to this level sit down with a sheet of paper andmap it out, or use a tool to assist you.)
I automated my money years ago, and the benefit is that I don't have to make decisions about where my money should go: How much I should invest, what I can spend, if I have enough savings, and so on. Make sense? OK, good.
I want to get you in the door with something you can implement today, like automating your money, because it's a tactic of a larger strategy.
One day, do you want to quit your job that you don't even like? You can do that. Do you want to buy a Birkin bag or a pair of Louboutins without feeling guilty? You can do that. Do you want to travel around the world for a year? You can do that, too. All of these things are possible, and it can start with one tiny habit today.
Read the original article on Mr. Everyday Dollar. Copyright 2016. Follow Mr. Everyday Dollar on Twitter.

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