Monday, October 12, 2015

Need for 'live rehearsals' to test contingency plans for train disruptions: Khaw

Need for 'live rehearsals' to test contingency plans for train disruptions: Khaw

By
angelat@sph.com.sg 
SINGAPORE transport operators must conduct actual and regular walk-throughs as well as "live rehearsals" to test their contingency plans for rail disruptions, Transport Minister Khaw Boon Wan said in a blog entry on Monday.
"This will ensure smoother execution of such plans when disruptions happen,'' said Mr Khaw, who is also Coordinating Minister for Infrastructure,
SMRT and SBST must walk through each contingency plan related to each station, and for the scenarios that they have envisaged with the Land Transport Authority (LTA).
There must be table top exercises, and also ground deployment exercises where contingency plans are tested in a real-life environment. Top management needs to be present at such exercises, as otherwise, the staff may carry them out half-heartedly, just to put a "tick" in the check-boxes.
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"Through these exercises, we can also pick up learning points to further improve our plans,'' Mr Khaw said.
He said he has asked LTA to conduct one collective exercise with SMRT and SBST this month to test the contingency plans which they had enhanced since the July 7 incident. He will be there to observe the exercise
A massive service disruption hit both the North-South and East-West MRT lines for about three hours on July 7, which affected more than 400,000 commuters. Rail operator SMRT was fined S$5.4 million for the incident.

Ford to invest US$1.8b to expand R&D in China

Ford to invest US$1.8b to expand R&D in China 

[SHANGHAI] Ford Motor Co said on Monday it will invest 11.4 billion yuan (US$1.8 billion) over the next five years to expand research and development in China, the latest effort by the US carmaker to secure a larger slice of the world's biggest auto market.
Ford has rapidly gained market share over the past few years at mainly the expense of Japanese rivals, helped by its efforts to incorporate Chinese consumer tastes in its cars sold in the country.
The Dearborn, Michigan-based carmaker is the fifth-biggest foreign automaker in China, after General Motors, Volkswagen, Hyundai Motor Co and Nissan Motor Co.
Speaking at a corporate event in Shanghai, Chief Executive Mark Fields also said the company will introduce the C-MAX Energi, a plug-in hybrid, and the Mondeo conventional hybrid to the China market next year. "By 2020 we will offer customers in China a range of hybrid, plug-in hybrid and full electric vehicles," he said.
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Beijing has been trying to encourage the use of more electric vehicles to combat pollution, but progress has been slow mainly due to the lack of infrastructure.
REUTERS

China's supertanker traffic jam propels global shipping rates

China's supertanker traffic jam propels global shipping rates

[LONDON] Supertankers hauling crude to China are contending with increased waiting times to unload as some on- land storage depots reach capacity amid an oil-buying binge by the world's most populous nation.
At least 19 two-million-barrel-capacity ships - known as VLCCs - were stationed off China's coast for two weeks or more, according to vessel-tracking data compiled by Bloomberg on Oct 9. In normal market conditions, most would normally arrive at a port and depart within a day, according to George Los, a New York-based analyst at shipbroker Charles R. Weber Co. As delays have increased, benchmark daily earnings for the tankers jumped above US$100,000 this month for the first time since the global recession.
This tanker traffic jam shows just how much crude the world's second biggest importer is buying at a time when economic growth is forecast to slow to the lowest level in 25 years. China's purchases have jumped almost 10 per cent this year from 2014, and could help keep prices from crashing to levels envisioned by banks such as Goldman Sachs Group Inc., which has said US$20 a barrel oil is possible.
"It's the same as your closet being full of clothes, but you keep shopping if you see a bargain," said Halvor Ellefsen, a ship broker at Galbraith's Ltd. in London, which arranges vessel charters. "The oil price is low, and we are soon into the winter season, when more oil will be needed."
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The delays in unloading are being caused by a lack of space in some storage tanks as China increases cargo purchases, according to Ellefsen. The country has amassed 200 million barrels of crude in reserves as oil prices slump, and aims to have 500 million barrels by the end of the decade, according to the International Energy Agency in Paris. The delays could get worse because of a surge in bookings last month that will result in even more ships arriving later this year.
Day rates for ships delivering Saudi Arabian crude to Japan, a benchmark route, reached US$106,381 on Oct 5, the most since July 2008, data from the Baltic Exchange in London showed. That's about 10 times more than operators need to cover daily running costs including crew, repairs and insurance, according to estimates from Moore Stephens, an industry consultant. Daily earnings on the benchmark route fell as low as US$7,850 in August 2012 amid a vessel glut.
The jump in rates has boosted owners of the ships, according to Erik Nikolai Stavseth, an analyst at Arctic Securities ASA in Oslo. Euronav NV, Europe's biggest owner, rallied about 35 percent in Brussels this year, extending an 20 per cent advance in 2014. Frontline Ltd, led by billionaire John Fredriksen, surged about 40 per cent, while DHT Holdings Inc. added about 15 per cent.
"Delays will tie up tonnage which would otherwise sail and move cargo so that's removing the available vessels," Mr Stavseth, said by phone Oct 9. "Given winter is usually a stronger time, the net effect is that rates should remain higher than people have expected." VLCC daily earnings can swing by tens of thousands of dollars in a single week because of their sensitivity to changes in supply and demand of cargoes and fleet availability. Globally, they will earn an average of US$55,000 a day in the fourth quarter, a 17 per cent increase from the previous period, according to the average of eight analyst estimates compiled by Bloomberg.
Chinese traders booked a record number of ships in the spot market during the week ended Oct 2, and when those tankers deliver their crude cargoes, it could add to the waiting times, said Los at Charles R. Weber. The influx of oil has already created what ship operators call ullage issues, in which shore tanks are so full that they must be emptied before vessels can unload.
"With the ullage delays remaining high, the eventual arrival of more units will likely lead to a continuation of elevated delays," said Los.
BLOOMBERG

Ex-Rabobank traders face first US trial over Libor manipulation

Ex-Rabobank traders face first US trial over Libor manipulation  

[NEW YORK] Two former Rabobank traders from Britain are set to become the first defendants to face trial in the United States on charges stemming from a global investigation into whether various banks sought to manipulate the interest rate known as Libor.
Jury selection is scheduled for Tuesday in Manhattan federal court in the case of Anthony Allen, 44, and Anthony Conti, 46, who are accused of helping manipulate interest rates to benefit the Dutch lender's trading positions.
The case is the first by the US Justice Department to go to trial over allegations that financial institutions manipulated Libor, or the London interbank offered rate, a short-term rate banks charge each other for loans.
The rate, which was overseen by the British Bankers'Association (BBA), is calculated based on submissions by a panel of banks. It underpins US$450 trillion of financial products globally from mortgages to credit card loans.
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US and European authorities have been investigating whether banks fraudulently submitted artificial rate estimates to the association to bolster their profits on trading derivatives linked to Libor.
Those investigations have resulted in charges against 22 people in the United States and United Kingdom and around US$9 billion in regulatory settlements with financial institutions.
Those banks include Netherlands-based Rabobank, which as part of a US$1 billion deal resolving US and European Libor-related probes agreed in 2013 to pay US$325 million as part of a deferred prosecution agreement with the Justice Department.
Allen, Rabobank's former global head of liquidity and finance, and Conti, a senior trader, were indicted in the United States in October 2014.
The indictment accuses Allen, who supervised Rabobank's Libor submission process, of directing the bank's traders to advise those who made its Libor submissions about any financial interest they had in the rate.
Prosecutors contend that rate submitters, who included Allen, were meanwhile told to make US dollar and yen Libor submissions that favored the traders' positions.
Prosecutors allege that Conti frequently accommodated the traders' requests, in communications captured in emails and chat logs.
On Aug 13, 2007, for example, a New York-based Rabobank trader asked Conti where he expected the six-month Libor rate to be set the next day. According to the indictment, Conti replied,"where do you like to see it, is more the question?"
Allen and Conti, both UK citizens, earlier this year pleaded not guilty after the two men became the first of 13 people charged by the Justice Department in the probe to waive their right to extradition to fight the charges in the United States.
Their trial follows an earlier one in London involving yen Libor manipulation that led to the conviction of Tom Hayes, a former UBS AG and Citigroup Inc trader who was sentenced in August to 14 years in prison.
Another trial in London kicked off this week for six former brokers accused of manipulating yen Libor rates. They have pleaded not guilty.
In the trial of the two ex-Rabobank traders, US prosecutors are expected to call as witnesses as many as three former Rabobank employees who pleaded guilty and agreed to cooperate in the investigation.
Lawyers for Allen and Conti have indicated in court that they plan to argue that the BBA was actually aware that Libor submissions sometimes reflected the banks' financial interests, a fact they say a range of market participants knew about.
They also have indicated they intend to argue that Rabobank's Libor submissions were within the range of those of other banks and hence were not objectively false.
They have also complained that the decision to charge the British citizens in the United States was unfair, given that their alleged conduct took place in the United Kingdom. "The great injustice, your honour, is that everything in this case has to do with the United Kingdom," Michael Schachter, Allen's lawyer, said in court in August.
"This case has nothing to do with the United States whatsoever."
Prosecutors have countered that the Libor scandal affected markets and Rabobank's counter-parties around the world, including in the United States.
REUTERS

Dollar rises on Fed comment, oil and stocks extend gains

Dollar rises on Fed comment, oil and stocks extend gains

[HONG KONG] The dollar on Monday clawed back some of last week's losses against emerging market currencies after a top Federal Reserve official raised the prospect of a 2015 interest rate hike, while hopes for a pick-up in demand helped oil to score more gains.
The greenback tumbled after data at the start of the month showed US jobs creation stuttered in September, complicating the Fed's plan to increase borrowing costs and tempering worries about a withdrawal of investment from developing economies.
Regional equities also surged last week on hopes for easier US monetary policy, bouncing back after their worst quarter in four years. And most markets extended those gains on Monday, with Shanghai enjoying a third straight rally after a week-long holiday.
Global markets went into meltdown in August after China devalued its yuan currency, fanning worries about the state of the world's number two economy, while traders were also on edge over the expected US rate rise.
On Sunday, Fed vice chairman Stanley Fischer said the bank expected to stick to its plan to tighten monetary policy by the end of the year, although he added that the plans were an "expectation, not a commitment".
He added that "both the timing of the first rate increase and any subsequent adjustments to the federal funds rate target will depend critically on future developments in the economy".
While his comments, on the sidelines of the International Monetary Fund's annual meeting in Lima, do not indicate the Fed will lift rates, they show that policymakers continue to keep it a consideration.
The dollar edged up in Asian trade against emerging currencies, including the Australian dollar, Thai baht and South Korean won.
RATE HIKE LIKELY DELAYED
It also enjoyed advances against Indonesia's rupiah and the Malaysian ringgit. However, the gains were small compared with last losses of about eight percent against the rupiah and almost seven percent versus the ringgit.
"The only data supporting raising the Fed funds rate has been employment, which has begun to shrink in the last quarter," Evan Lucas, a markets strategist at IG Ltd in Melbourne, said in an e-mail to clients.
"Coupled with increased talks of the approaching debt-ceiling negotiations, not to mention the 2016 presidential elections, all means we are seeing signs of the liftoff being pushed back, as inflation remains nowhere to be seen," he said, according to Bloomberg News.
The weaker dollar has also helped rally oil prices in recent weeks while bets on a pick-up in demand for the commodity provided further uplift.
Crude prices have risen by more than a quarter since hitting a six-year low in August as worries about a stronger dollar, a supply glut and weak demand ease.
In early trade US benchmark West Texas Intermediate rose 58 per cent to US$49.92 and Brent was up 40 per cent to US$52.86.
On Sunday the secretary general of oil cartel Opec Abdullah el-Badri said he was confident the market will be "more balanced" next year as non-Opec production contracts and global demand rises. However, he did admit the "market remains oversupplied".
His comments come after he said Thursday demand will rise more than projected this year.
In equity trading Hong Kong rose one per cent, Shanghai added 1.5 per cent and Seoul gained 0.5 per cent. Tokyo was closed for a public holiday. However, Sydney retreated 0.7 per cent after rising every day last week.
AFP

China Reinsurance gets commitments worth US$1.12 billion

China Reinsurance gets commitments worth US$1.12 billion

[HONG KONG] China Reinsurance (Group) received commitments worth US$1.12 billion from cornerstone investors as the country's biggest reinsurer launched its initial public offering in Hong Kong on Monday, according to a term sheet of the deal seen by Reuters.
The 15 investors, which will not be able to sell shares in China Re until six months after the IPO, included Great Wall Pan Asia International Investment and State Grid Crop of China, each with US$150 million, and China Development Bank with US$110 million, the terms showed.
The People's Insurance Company (Group) of China Ltd, Prudential Insurance Company of America and China Life Insurance Company Ltd were also cornerstone investors.
China Re is offering 5.77 billion new shares at an indicative range of HK$2.25 to HK$2.70 each, the terms showed, confirming information from a source with direct knowledge of the deal.
The IPO is slated to be priced on Oct 16.
REUTERS

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