Friday, September 11, 2015

Goldman cuts oil price forecasts on oversupply, China slowdown

Goldman cuts oil price forecasts on oversupply, China slowdown

[LONDON] Goldman Sachs said it expects oil prices to tumble further this year on rising Opec production and recovering non-Opec supply, which is expected to outstrip demand.
"Oil prices have declined sharply over the past month to our US$45 per barrel WTI Fall forecast. While this decline was precipitated by macro concerns, it was warranted in our view by weak fundamentals," a report from the influential Wall Street firm said.
The bank cited rising Opec production and economic concerns associated with China as the main reasons that triggered the downward revision in price forecasts.
The bank said the oil market was more oversupplied than it had expected and that it forecasts the surplus to persist in 2016.
The US investment bank cut its 2016 WTI forecast to US$45 a barrel from US$57 and expects a 2015 WTI average price of US$48.1 per barrel. Its prior forecast was US$52.
Goldman also trimmed its average 2015 Brent price forecast to US$53.7 per barrel from US$58.2 and its 2016 forecast to US$49.5 a barrel from $62.
More than 10 major international financial institutions have cut their oil price forecasts over the last month citing weak market fundamentals and the recent slowdown in the Chinese economy.
Crude oil prices fell on Friday as a stronger dollar, Saudi Arabia's dismissal of a producer summit and a lower price forecast by Goldman Sachs weighed, with prices headed for a weekly loss despite rallying in the previous session.
REUTERS

HK probes bank deposits linked to Malaysia PM

HK probes bank deposits linked to Malaysia PM

[KUALA LUMPUR] Hong Kong police are investigating bank deposits a complainant said were linked to Malaysian Prime Minister Najib Razak, police said on Friday, as a probe into a troubled Malaysian state investment fund widens.
The investigation comes as another blow to Mr Najib, who chairs the advisory board of 1Malaysia Development Berhad (1MDB) , after Swiss authorities froze millions of dollars in Swiss bank accounts linked to the firm on suspicion of corruption and money laundering.
Malaysian investigators are also looking into the fund, which has raked up over US$11 billion in debt that has weighed on the country's economy.
Mr Najib has denied taking any money from 1MDB or any other entity for personal gain. The Malaysian government dismissed the latest allegations about bank deposits as politically motivated.
Hong Kong police confirmed that they were probing a matter a complainant had linked to Mr Najib. "A man reported to the police on Aug 30 and requested for the police's investigation on some bank deposits," Hong Kong police said in a statement in response to a question about an investigation into Mr Najib. "Investigations by Crime Headquarters are under way." The complaint was lodged by Khairuddin Abu Hassan, a former member of Mr Najib's ruling United Malays National Organisation (UMNO) who was sacked from the party earlier this year.
A vocal critic of Mr Najib, Khairuddin told Reuters he said in the report that deposits of over US$250 million were made into a Credit Suisse bank account in Hong Kong through four companies linked to Mr Najib.
The Malaysian government spokesperson dismissed these latest allegations as "baseless and politically motivated lies". "The prime minister does not control any Credit Suisse bank accounts in Hong Kong, whether in his name or the name of the companies mentioned," the spokesperson said.
It said the complaint was a bid to smear Mr Najib and accused Mr Khairuddin of working with former Malaysian prime minister Mahathir Mohamad, who is leading a campaign to oust Mr Najib. "The prime minister has instructed for the full range of legal options to be explored - particularly the manufacturing of banking documents by certain individuals with malicious intent to smear and discredit a serving prime minister," it added.
A spokesman for Credit Suisse in Hong Kong declined to comment.
Mr Najib faces the biggest test of his political career after reports earlier this year that investigators looking into 1MDB had traced nearly US$700 million going into bank accounts in Malaysia they believed belonged to the prime minister.
REUTERS

Thursday, September 10, 2015

Apple TV aims to capture 'cord cutters'

Apple TV aims to capture 'cord cutters'

[SAN FRANCISCO] The new Apple TV unveiled this week has the potential to do for television what iPhone did to mobile phones, while claiming a starring role in home entertainment.
Updated Apple TV hardware set for release in late October wasn't expected to revolutionise the television industry, but it could strike a blow to cable companies that have been in a power seat when it comes to delivering shows and other content.
"It turns out fears surrounding the long-term prospects of the cable industry were well warranted," said Yahoo senior vice-president Simon Khalaf, whose mobile analytics company Flurry was bought last year by the Internet pioneer.
"We believe that the industry is facing a perfect storm: apps, app stores and Apple." While the unveiling of a new Apple TV on Wednesday did not come with word of deals to stream shows or films from networks or studios, it will have a version of the App Store that has been a hit on iPhones.
"We believe the future of television is apps," chief executive Tim Cook said.
Apple released a software kit for outside developers, and showed off early versions of Apple TV applications being crafted by streaming services Netflix, Hulu, and HBO.
SIRI SEARCHES SHOWS
The product launch "sent a warning shot at the cable industry in particular and the media industry in general," Mr Khalaf said in a blog post.
"Now rather than having dozens of channels to watch, US consumers will have thousands of apps to enjoy on their flat panel TVs ranging from games, to e-sport apps, to live entertainment apps, and to whatever these developers will cook up over the next year." Siri virtual assistant software built in Apple TV allowed for natural language searches for shows, such as asking for something funny or a certain actor by name.
Analysts keyed in on the fact that Siri will search across applications on Apple TV, meaning that where shows or films come from should be unimportant to viewers.
People should also be able to see what they want on-demand instead of being at the mercy of cable broadcast schedules.
These options can spur a trend of "cord cutting" or ending the subscription "bundles" offered by cable and satellite TV firms.
APPS TRUMP TV
A Flurry report found that for the first time ever, people in the US in the second quarter of this year spent more each day using mobile applications than they did watching television: a daily average of 198 minutes versus 168 minutes "Just as they did on the iPhone and iPads, consumers will download these apps and spend plenty of time on them, leaving the dozen or so cable channels lost in a sea of apps," Mr Khalaf said.
By letting media companies keep control of their content in apps, Apple could find new money-making models while sidestepping worries studios might have about distribution rights.
Since games consistently rank as the most popular apps on mobile devices, the genre is expected to be thrive on Apple TV.
An Apple TV remote control features a touchpad along with sensors that allow it to act as a motion controller similar to those that transformed video game play as part of the original Nintendo Wii console.
Apple TV lacked the kind of computing power and storage capacity found in hard-core video game consoles but was fine for the kinds of "casual" game apps that have rocketed to success on mobile devices, according to analysts.
"I think Apple TV will usher in an era of casual games in the living room," said Gartner analyst Brian Blau.
The new Apple TV will launch in late October at a starting price of US$149.
Apple TV has lagged rivals with similar devices. According to the research firm Parks Associates: Roku leads the US market with a 37 per cent market share, to 19 per cent for Google Chromecast and 17 per cent for Apple TV. Amazon's Fire TV devices have 14 per cent.
Apple shares rebounded a day after a lukewarm market reaction to the US tech giant's launch of upgraded iPhones and other devices.
Shares rallied 2.2 per cent to end at US$112.57.
Analysts say Apple is seeking to diversify its product line amid a competitive global smartphone market, and that its new iPad Pro, Apple TV streaming device and Apple Watch may help.
"The new offerings are welcomed additions to the portfolio that will strengthen not only the competitiveness of each product category, but also the wider ecosystem and the increasing developer effort behind this platform," said analyst Kulbinder Garcha at Credit Suisse in a note to clients.
Jan Dawson of Jackdaw Research said that while the iPhone accounts for most Apple revenue, the upgraded Apple TV device "one of the biggest and most important things announced" and "should drive significant new revenue for Apple and for developers."
AFP

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