Wednesday, September 9, 2015

Wall Street selloff cuts short global market rally

Wall Street selloff cuts short global market rally

[NEW YORK] A late selloff on Wall Street cut short a strong global rally in stocks on Wednesday as concerns turned to the possibility that the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates next week.
Sparked by Beijing's promise of new economic stimulus and the Tokyo market's huge 7.71 per cent jump on government pledges to cut corporate taxes, US stocks opened solidly higher.
But after the S&P 500 added 2.51 per cent on Tuesday, caution took hold, especially after a report signalled more tightening in the jobs market - a key determinant for a Fed rate increase.
The S&P ended on Wednesday down 1.39 per cent and the Dow Jones Industrial Average lost 1.45 per cent.
Economists had generally decided the Fed would not be ready to launch into a long-awaited series of rate increases beginning at its policy meeting next week, given the recent turbulence in global financial markets.
But the Labour Department's so-called JOLTS report on the jobs market in July showed that job vacancies had risen to 5.75 million in July, the highest level since the data was first reported in 2000.
The Federal Reserve has repeatedly put off its first rate hike in nine years because there were no signs that the employment sector was tightening - which would tend to spur inflation. Slow wage growth especially suggested continuing slack.
But, combined with the very low levels in layoffs, "the JOLTS data suggests that businesses are doing everything they can to hang onto their labour staff because finding a suitable replacement is a daunting task," said Briefing.com.
Such a sign could raise the odds of a Fed hike at next week's meeting, though it still might not be enough.
Economist Joel Naroff said businesses still lack confidence in a growing economy.
"With openings at record highs but hiring slowing, businesses are falling further behind on meeting their staffing needs," he said.
"Wages need to rise if businesses are to produce more, households can buy more and growth can accelerate. Until that happens, we will remain in this moderate growth cycle."
STIMULUS IN CHINA, JAPAN
In China confidence grew after the finance ministry said it would adopt a "proactive fiscal policy ... and accelerate reforms that will help stabilise growth."
The Shanghai Exchange powered up 2.3 per cent and Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index added 4.1 per cent.
And after Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe reiterated a pledge to cut one of the highest corporate tax rates in the world by next year, Tokyo shares registered their biggest one-day jump since the global financial crisis of late 2008, when markets faced heavy volatility.
"Expectations for more policy action from China and strength in the European economy saw the return of risk," Chihiro Ohta, general manager at SMBC Nikko Securities, told Bloomberg News.
"At long last we may be seeing a real rebound." European exchanges followed suit, also encouraged by more signs of turnaround in the eurozone economy.
London's FTSE 100 index climbed 1.4 per cent led by a rebound in mining stocks, which have been pummeled because the Chinese slowdown has led to a slump in commodities prices.
Frankfurt's DAX 30 gained 0.31 per cent; the Paris CAC 40 rose 1.44 per cent; Madrid shot up 1.74 per cent and Milan by 0.84 per cent.
"The European markets got another growth injection from the Asian session... with news from Japan and China helping to convince investors the worst may indeed be over," said Spreadex analyst Connor Campbell.
In foreign exchange, the dollar was flat against the dollar at US$1.1205. The yen slipped to 120.54 against the dollar and 135.05 against the euro.
The pound fell slightly to US$1.5367, and the Chinese yuan edged lower to 6.378 against the dollar.
AFP

US: Stocks sink as Apple drops after products launch

US: Stocks sink as Apple drops after products launch

[NEW YORK] US stocks finished sharply lower on Wednesday as a morning rally fizzled and Apple shares dropped after unveiling a suite of upgraded smartphone, tablet and television products.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 239.11 points (1.45 per cent) to 16,253.57.
The broad-based S&P 500 dropped 27.37 (1.39 per cent) to 1,942.04, while the tech-rich Nasdaq Composite Index lost 55.40 (1.15 per cent) at 4,756.53.
US stocks rose earlier in the day, following rallies in Asia and Europe, but turned negative at midday.
"The pattern of a see-saw market, one day up, one day down, is here for the time being and investors shift positions accordingly," said David Levy, portfolio manager at Kenjol Capital Management.
Apple, the market heavyweight, fell 1.9 per cent after the tech giant launched the new iPhone 6S and 6S Plus with pressure-sensing capacity, a new iPad Pro and an improved Apple TV device.
"Investors were simply not thrilled with today's new product introductions," said Paul Ausick of 24/7 Wall St.
Petroleum-related shares dropped as oil prices tumbled. Dow member Chevron lost 2.5 per cent, Apache fell 4.5 per cent and driller Nabors Industries slumped 5.1 per cent.
United Continental advanced 0.3 per cent after the surprise announcement late Tuesday that United Airlines chief executive Jeff Smisek would be replaced by Oscar Munoz and two other United executives were also stepping down in connection with a federal investigation involving the regional airport authority.
Yahoo climbed 2.0 per cent despite disclosing that the Internal Revenue Service had refused to promise that it would guarantee a tax-free designation for the spin-off of its Alibaba holdings. Morgan Stanley expressed confidence that the plan would still win the key tax-free status, citing the opinion of Yahoo's tax counsel.
Shares in Chinese Internet giant Alibaba jumped 5.1 per cent.
Netflix rose 4.5 per cent, snapping a seven-day losing streak for the video streaming company.
Macy's shed 0.5 per cent after disclosing plans to close 35-40 stores as it prunes underperforming stores while focusing on digital shopping.
Bond prices were mixed. The yield on the 10-year US Treasury held steady at 2.19 per cent, while the 30-year dipped to 2.95 per cent from 2.97 per cent on Tuesday. Bond prices and yields move inversely.
AFP

Oil prices skid lower as oversupply worries weigh

Oil prices skid lower as oversupply worries weigh

[NEW YORK] Oil prices tumbled on Wednesday as expectations of another increase in US inventories added to worries about the global oversupply.
US benchmark West Texas Intermediate for delivery in October slid US$1.79 to US$44.15 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange.
Brent North Sea crude for October, the global benchmark, closed at US$47.58 a barrel in London, down US$1.94 from Tuesday's settlement.
Investors are "anxious" about upcoming official data on US petroleum inventories, said Bob Yawger of Mizuho Securities.
The Department of Energy (DoE) will release its weekly report Thursday, a day later than usual because of Monday's Labor Day holiday.
The report is "going to be a very important one. It's coming after last week, when we had a big storage build and it's basically the beginning of (refinery) maintenance season," said Yawger.
"The market anticipates a pretty good build and also you'll get a reduction in the refinery utilization rate, leaving lots of crude oil on the sidelines." Analysts expect commercial crude-oil inventories rose by 250,000 barrels in the week to September 4, according to a Bloomberg News.
At the same time, the DoE predicted in a new report Wednesday that US crude-oil production would decline through the middle of next year in response to low oil prices, before picking up again in late 2016 on an expected rise in oil prices.
US crude output fell by 140,000 barrels per day in August from July. The government lowered its 2015 production estimate to 9.2 million barrels per day, 100,000 barrels lower than its month-ago forecast.
Even so, total US oil output this year is expected to be the highest since 1972.
AFP

EIA leaves 2016 US crude output forecast unchanged, lowers 2015

EIA leaves 2016 US crude output forecast unchanged, lowers 2015

[NEW YORK] The US government on Wednesday left unchanged its outlook for a decline in 2016 US crude oil production, but lowered its 2015 growth forecast.
In its short term energy outlook, the US Energy Information Administration said that production in 2016 would fall by 400,000 barrels per day (bpd) to 8.82 million bpd. Last month, it said production would also fall 400,000 bpd, but the outright production figure was higher at 8.96 million bpd.
The 2015 crude oil output forecast was lowered to 500,000 bpd of growth, from 650,000 bpd of growth previously.
Meanwhile, the 2016 US oil demand growth forecast was lowered to 130,000 bpd from 190,000 bpd growth previously. The 2015 US oil demand growth was set to rise by 330,000 bpd from 400,000 bpd previously.
REUTERS

Low oil price could force 140 North Sea oil fields to close

Low oil price could force 140 North Sea oil fields to close

[LONDON] Low oil prices could force the closure of around 140 oil fields in Britain's North Sea in the coming five years, a report released Wednesday by consultants Wood Mackenzie.
Wood Mackenzie forecast that number of fields would become economically unviable even if the price of Brent crude extracted from the North Sea returns to around $85 per barrel from the current level of around US$50.
"A high oil price (in 2011-2014) has enabled operators to extend field life and delay decommissioning time ... however the current low oil price has brought into stark relief that this cannot continue indefinitely," Wood Mackenzie wrote.
The fall in crude prices by around 60 per cent since June 2014 has in particular weighed on the ageing oil fields and platforms in the North Sea.
"The fields most likely to be decommissioned are uneconomic without high oil prices to justify escalating maintenance costs and declining production which are unable to support the high operating costs," said Fiona Legate, Wood Mackenzie's analyst for UK upstream research.
Low oil prices could also force the postponement or even cancellation of the 38 new North Sea fields expected to open in the coming five years, the consultancy warned.
The extreme depth of the North Sea deposits makes them costly to recover.
AFP

Gold holds near 3-week low as stocks gain, India taps idle metal

Gold holds near 3-week low as stocks gain, India taps idle metal

[SINGAPORE] Gold held near a three-week low as gains in global stocks cut demand for a haven and India approved a plan to tap the country's bullion to reduce imports of the metal.
Stocks climbed around the world as Japanese shares rose the most in almost seven years on optimism governments in Asia will be able to stabilize financial markets. Investors cut holdings in gold-backed funds to the lowest in a week.
"The advance in Asian stocks is bad news for gold," Thorsten Proettel, a commodities analyst at Landesbank Baden-Wuerttemberg, said by phone from Stuttgart, Germany.
"It has limited the upside potential from safe haven demand." Bullion has dropped 5.3 per cent this year and reached a five-year low in July on expectations the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates this year. That makes the metal less attractive than other assets that pay interest or dividends. The Fed will announce its next policy decision on Sept 17.
Gold for immediate delivery was little changed at US$1,121.69 an ounce by 10:50 am in London, according to Bloomberg generic pricing. Futures for December delivery were also little changed at US$1,120.70 on the Comex in New York.
India's government on Wednesday approved a plan to tap some of the 20,000 metric tons of idle gold jewelry and bars held by households and temples to help reduce imports and maintain a healthy trade balance. The country, last year's second-biggest buyer, will also start a sovereign gold bond program.
Silver for immediate delivery was little changed at US$14.7943 an ounce in London. Palladium lost 0.4 per cent to US$587.20 an ounce while platinum added 0.3 per cent to US$1,006.53 an ounce. Protests over jobs and infrastructure provision have disrupted operations at an Anglo American Platinum mine in South Africa.
BLOOMBERG

Maersk Oil cuts US$1b from investment budget as prices fall

Maersk Oil cuts US$1b from investment budget as prices fall

[COPENHAGEN] AP Moeller-Maersk A/S's oil unit cut US$1 billion off its annual budget for capital expenditure after petroleum prices plunged.
Maersk Oil plans long-term capex in the range of US$2 billion to US$4 billion a year compared with a previous range of US$3 billion to US$5 billion, according to an investor presentation in Copenhagen on Wednesday. The new forecast doesn't include funds to be spent on acquisitions, which the company says it's still pursuing.
Maersk Oil is following the rest of the industry in cutting jobs and lowering investments after crude prices dropped about 50 per cent over the past 12 months. The company says it has lowered unit costs by about 33 per cent over the past year and completed 600 job cuts by the end of June.
Maersk Oil will focus on acquisitions in 2015 and 2016, it said. In the "long term" exploration will be "critical" to replace reserves, it said.
"We believe this is an opportune time for inorganic moves," Jakob Thomasen, chief executive officer of the oil division, said at the presentation.
The company is still on track to meet a goal of lowering operating expenses by 20 per cent by the end of 2016 compared with 2014 levels.
The oil price will stay at about its current level in the "short term," and then rise, helped by Chinese demand and responses from Opec, Maersk said.
BLOOMBERG

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