Monday, September 7, 2015

Diamond cuts: India's global hub fears more job losses as China slows

Diamond cuts: India's global hub fears more job losses as China slows

[SURAT] A year ago, India's diamond capital hit the headlines when one of the largest polishing companies in the western city of Surat treated hundreds of employees to bonuses in the form of Fiat cars, apartments and jewellery.
This year, there's no sign of a repeat bonanza in a city that by some estimates polishes about 80 per cent of the world's diamonds.
More than 5,000 Surat polishers have lost their jobs since June and thousands more could be left without work, as Chinese consumers pull back from luxury purchases, leaving jewellers with stocks of unsold jewellery and gems. Polishers say Chinese jewellers have defaulted on deals worth millions of dollars.
Nearly half a dozen large diamond companies in the city have closed down: a significant hit for an industry that employs nearly a million people in India, two-thirds of them in Surat.
Jobs are a critical issue for India's government, struggling to revive economic growth to a rate that will create employment for millions joining the workforce every year.
Sunilkumar Rajput spent 25 years cutting gems in this coastal city, where streets are lined with workshops of all sizes, bustling with craftsmen huddled under desk lamps, preparing to carve rough diamonds into multi-faceted gems. He lost his job in June.
"I am ready to work even at half the salary I was getting in my previous job, but no one will listen," says Rajput, 45, speaking in a quiet side street of Surat. He has sent his children back to his home state of Uttar Pradesh, in India's north, to save money.
Distress in Surat's warren of polishing houses comes at a time of unrest across the state of Gujarat - Prime Minister Narendra Modi's home base - where hundreds of thousands of members of the Patidar, or Patel, community have held protests to demand changes to India's affirmative action policies, which they say hurt them.
Like many of Gujarat's largest industries, diamond polishing is dominated by Patels, who make up 14 per cent of the state and a nascent but disgruntled middle class.
Hiren Patel, 35, says his salary has halved since June: "We have work only for three days a week." Last month, he joined a rally of at least half a million people which turned violent, leaving at least seven dead.
GROWING PAIN
China represents roughly a fifth of the world polished diamond market - less than half of the United States in value terms - and accounts for the same proportion of India's US$23 billion of annual exports.
But its growth has fuelled the diamond industry in recent years, as jewellery stores expanded at breakneck pace to cater for luxury-hungry consumers.
At the peak, between 2008 and 2013, diamond jewellery sales in China grew at a compound annual rate of 18 per cent. Now, industry executives estimate growth in single digits, and jewellers are adapting - and cutting back.
A stock market crash since June and slowing growth has hurt the wealthy in China. Also, a crackdown on corruption has meant that the rich are fearful of any ostentatious signs of wealth, and among luxury goods, jewellery has taken a big hit.
Surat polishes cheaper diamonds of less than a carat, but is also known for solitaires - single stones - popular with Chinese buyers.
"In the last couple of years China was on an explosive growth path," said Stephen Lussier, CEO of Forevermark, the diamond brand of the De Beers group, the world's largest diamond company by market value. "Now, demand for polished diamonds in China has significantly reduced relative to a year ago."
Vipul Shah, chairman of the Gem & Jewellery Export Promotion Council, estimates a drop of 50 per cent this fiscal year from a year ago.
Surat's ranks of craftsmen, swollen by cheap migrant labour, ballooned over the boom years in anticipation of more growth and ever-higher diamond prices. Instead, margins are squeezed as polished prices fall faster than rough, with even major producers Anglo American-owned De Beers and Russia's Alrosa pulling back.
India's exports of cut and polished diamonds in July fell 18.3 per cent from a year ago, to US$1.5 billion. July imports plunged 43 per cent to US$1.9 billion. Over the year, imports are expected to drop by a fifth.
"In an over-supplied market, we don't have any option but to cut production," says Mavji Patel, managing director of Kiran Gems, a leading diamond exporter.
REUTERS

EU regulators to approve GE-Alstom deal: source

EU regulators to approve GE-Alstom deal: source  

[NEW YORK] The European Union will announce it has approved a deal under which General Electric will acquire the energy business of French company Alstom for US$12 billion, a source close to the transaction said on Monday.
In order to win the green light from the European Commission, GE has had to make concessions, the source said.
EU anti-trust regulators had expressed concern the deal could lead to too much concentration in the gas-turbine sector.
A formal announcement is expected Tuesday, the source said.
Approval would end months of uncertainty and tension over the proposed deal, part of a drive by the American conglomerate to stake more of its future on industrial operations.
The EU concerns centered mainly on possible distortions in the market for maintaining high-power gas turbines, used mainly in electricity generating plants.
This lucrative market is dominated by GE, Alstom and the German company Siemens. After initially putting up resistance, GE ultimately agreed to shed some maintenance service assets and patents to the Italian energy group Ansaldo, sources told AFP, confirming news reports.
With the same goal of focusing on industrial operations, GE is trying to sell its appliances business to Sweden's Electrolux for US$3.3 billion.
But the US Department of Justice filed a lawsuit in July to block the Electrolux deal on grounds it would lead to higher prices of key cooking appliances for US consumers.
The GE-Alstom deal had already been approved by the boards of both companies and by the French government.
The announcement Tuesday will also involve a press conference by EU Competition Commissioner Margrethe Vestager, the first source said.
Officials at the Commission and General Electric declined to an AFP request for comment.
AFP

Oil prices slide at start of week

Oil prices slide at start of week

[LONDON] Oil prices slid on Monday amid market volatility, as investors assessed the outlook for US interest rates.
US benchmark West Texas Intermediate for delivery in October dropped US$1.44 to US$44.61 a barrel compared with the close on Friday.
Brent North Sea crude for October was down US$1.64 to US$47.97 in late London deals.
Trading volumes were down owing to Labour Day in the United States, helping to exaggerate the day's losses according to dealers.
All eyes were on the United States, the world's biggest consumer of oil, with a decision on interest rates set to influence financial markets whatever the outcome of the Fed's policy meeting next week.
A rate hike would likely strengthen the greenback, making dollar-priced oil more expensive to holders of weaker currencies, hurting demand and prices.
Analysts said dealers are awaiting a slew of global economic data this week for clues about crude demand, with ample oil supplies boosted by relentless US and Opec production.
The Chinese government is scheduled to release monthly trade and inflation figures, as well as industrial output, fixed-asset investment and retail sales in the coming days.
Oil prices have fluctuated wildly in recent weeks on uncertainty about Fed monetary policy as well as worries about the growth in world number-one energy consumer China.
"Persistent concerns regarding the Chinese slowdown were the main drag lower for the oil market (Monday) as Chinese consumption is estimated to have declined strongly in recent months," said Myrto Sokou, senior research analyst at Sucden Financial.
AFP

Japan trims April-June GDP contraction estimate to 0.3%

Japan trims April-June GDP contraction estimate to 0.3% 

[TOKYO] Japan on Tuesday said its economy contracted 0.3 per cent during the April-June quarter, shrinking less than its original estimate and beating market expectations for a bigger decrease.
The latest revised figure, issued by the Cabinet Office, was slightly better than the 0.4 per cent contraction originally announced for the quarter, and beating the market forecast for a 0.5 per cent contraction.
The contraction in private consumption was revised to 0.7 per cent from an earlier estimate of a 0.8 per cent fall, helping to ease the overall economic shrinkage estimate, the data showed.
But a closer examination of the figures also revealed concerns, analysts said.
"The details were hardly reassuring," said Marcel Thieliant, Japan economist at Capital Economics.
"The upward revision was mostly due to a larger contribution from stock building," he said.
Recent data on exports and industrial production suggest that a rapid recovery this quarter is unlikely, he added.
AFP

Japan's PM Abe unchallenged for party top post, gets another 3-year term

Japan's PM Abe unchallenged for party top post, gets another 3-year term

[TOKYO] Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe won a rare second consecutive term on Tuesday, after his only potential rival for the post of ruling party chief failed to gain enough sponsors to register for the race.
Mr Abe, who took office in December 2012, was the only candidate to register for a ruling Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) leadership election, meaning he gets another three-year term as party chief and hence, premier, becoming the first Japanese leader to do so in more than a decade.
Mr Abe's policy team has pledged to refocus on the faltering economy after spending political capital this past year pushing unpopular legislation, expected to pass this month, that could let Japanese troops fight overseas for the first time since World War Two.
REUTERS

Japan PM Abe to keep priority on economy in next term: policy statement

Japan PM Abe to keep priority on economy in next term: policy statement

[TOKYO] Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe will keep priority on the economy after his expected win of a rare second consecutive term as ruling party chief and hence, premier, according to a statement on Tuesday ahead of registration for the party poll.
Mr Abe, who took office in December 2012 pledging to reboot the stale economy, was set to win another three-year term as ruling Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) president after domestic media said his only potential rival failed to gain enough sponsors to launch a challenge.
Mr Abe's statement also said he would deepen public debate on revising Japan's post-war, pacifist constitution with an aim to changing the charter. Surveys show many Japanese voters are wary of revising the constitution's pacifist Article 9.
REUTERS

UK retail spending stagnates in August: BRC

UK retail spending stagnates in August: BRC

[LONDON] British retail spending stagnated last month as mixed weather and the later-than-usual date of a public holiday dampened sales of furniture and school clothing and equipment.
The British Retail Consortium said retail spending in August was just 0.1 per cent higher than a year earlier, the smallest rise since April and down from 2.2 per cent growth in July.
Adjusted for the effect of falling high-street prices, sales were up by 1.4 per cent in August.
One reason for the low sales was that a late August bank holiday - which typically brings back-to-school spending on children's clothing and discount-driven furniture sales - fell outside the survey's four-week window this year.
Muggy weather towards the end of August also hurt demand for new autumn and winter fashion collections, especially boots. "Retailers will hope to recoup that sales deficit in September and to start feeling the effect of higher real wages,"BRC director-general Helen Dickinson said.
The BRC survey is gloomier than recent official data for July, but follows particularly bleak numbers from a study last week for accountants BDO, which showed the biggest drop in retail sales since the 2008 financial crisis.
Spending on a like-for-like basis, a measure which strips out changes in floorspace and is preferred by some equity analysts, fell 1.0 per cent year-on-year in August after a 1.2 per cent rise in July, the BRC said.
REUTERS

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