Wednesday, September 2, 2015

Goldman sees snap back in Chinese stocks as growth steadies

Goldman sees snap back in Chinese stocks as growth steadies

[HONG KONG] Goldman Sachs Group Inc is sticking with its bullish view on Chinese stocks in Hong Kong, saying valuations are inexpensive and improving economic data will spur a rebound.
"The snapback in China could be fairly meaningful," Timothy Moe, chief Asia Pacific equity strategist at Goldman, said in an interview Wednesday.
"The risk versus reward in terms of what's priced in the market gives us a sense that if we see a stabilization in macro data, say from here to the end of the year for example, then we could see a decent recovery."
The MSCI China Index has slumped more than 30 per cent from its April peak as a mainland equity rout rippled across the Hong Kong border and data pointed to a deepening economic slowdown. The equity measure trades at 8.6 times profits, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. At market troughs in 2008 and 2011, it bottomed out at 7 times and 7.8 times, respectively.
"These are quite low valuation levels and the ones that are not too far off where the market has found a floor during previous times of stress," Mr Moe said. "There's going to be further monetary policy easing and decent fiscal stimulus, and continuing reform."
Even after cutting interest rates for the fifth time since November and telling banks they can hoard less cash, Chinese policy makers remain under pressure to do more to support the world's second-largest economy. A manufacturing gauge fell to the lowest reading in three years in August, while profits at the nation's industrial companies slipped 2.9 per cent in July.
The MSCI China gauge dropped 1.2 per cent on Wednesday as the Shanghai Composite Index retreated 0.2 per cent. Mainland markets are closed Thursday and Friday for World War II commemorations, while Hong Kong's market is shut on Thursday.
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European shares gain, China moves help

European shares gain, China moves help

[LONDON] European equities gained on Wednesday after a volatile start to the week, drawing support from brokerage measures in China to invigorate the country's battered markets and from hopes for policy easing by major central banks.
The pan-European FTSEurofirst 300 index ended 0.2 per cent higher at 1,395.70 points after falling to a low of 1,383.54 earlier in the day. Benchmarks in London, Paris and Frankfurt were up 0.3 to 0.4 per cent. "We expect some more volatility going forward, but we see the recent sell-off as a correction and not the start of a bear market," Philippe Gijsels, head of research at BNP Paribas Fortis Global Markets, said.
"Possible actions by some central banks such as China doing more to stimulate its economy, the European Central Bank extending its bond-buying programme and the Fed delaying an interest rate hike are likely to support the market."
Analysts said US private jobs data prompted some investors to believe the Federal reserve might not start its rate hike cycle from this month. The ADP National Employment Report showed US private employers added a smaller than expected 190,000 jobs in August.
The more comprehensive non-farm payrolls report is due on Friday, the last monthly report before the Fed meets on Sept. 16-17. It is widely expected to make an announcement on rates at the meeting.
"The ADP data also improved sentiment. The market seems to be willing to seize any kind of information that supports the theory that the Fed might not raise interest rates in September," IG analyst Chris Beauchamp said.
European stocks have suffered a bruising end to the summer, falling more than 2 per cent in the last two days after dropping about 10 per cent since the end of July. But brokers and investors say there is still value in high-yielding blue-chip stocks at a time of central bank bond-buying in the eurozone.
China, the epicentre of worries over the global growth outlook, enjoyed a late market recovery after nine Chinese brokerages pledged to buy more than 30 billion yuan of shares, according to the China Securities Journal.
That eased investor fears that Beijing may be intensifying a trading crackdown. "The general level of volatility is going to stay for some time. People are still nervous despite several policy responses in China, but in the short term we shouldn't close at another bottom," CLAIRINVEST fund manager Ion-Marc Valahu said.
"We had a lot of shorts on European indices such as the DAX and the CAC, and used the last week's pullback to cover most of it. We are long at this point and are just waiting for some catalysts to add more."
Among standout features, shares in Belgium's UCB rose 4.2 per cent to be the top gainer in the FTSEurofirst 300, after Amgen said its experimental bone drug, being developed with UCB, was found to be more effective than an already marketed drug in a late-stage study.
REUTERS

Greece to miss 2015 privatisation sales target: agency chief

Greece to miss 2015 privatisation sales target: agency chief

[ATHENS] Greece will miss its revenue target from asset sales this year due to delays in a 1.2 billion euro airport deal, the head of its privatisation agency said on Wednesday, in a setback to efforts to meet the terms of its new bailout.
As part of its commitments under the 86 billion euro (US$97 billion) rescue loan from international creditors, Greece aims to raise 1.4 billion euros from privatisations this year.
It has a patchy record of meeting such targets, and Stergios Pitsiorlas said reaching the 2015 figure was also now "unfeasible".
"On the other hand, I think it is realistic that we achieve the 2016 targets," he told Reuters in an interview.
Greece aims to cash in 3.7 billion euros from asset sales next year and 1.3 billion euros in 2017.
At the end of last year it chose Germany's Fraport and its Greek partner, energy firm Copelouzos, as the preferred bidder to operate 14 regional airports in tourist destinations -one of the biggest privatisations since the start of the debt crisis in 2009.
But the agreement, along with others including the sale of 67 per cent in its biggest ports, Piraeus and Thessaloniki, was halted soon after the leftist Syriza-led government came to power in January.
Although the sales are now back on track, Greece may not conclude the airport transaction on time to receive the 1.2 billion euros from the deal by December, Mr Pitsiorlas said.
"By the end of 2015, HRADF will implement a very important part of the first phase of this programme but the 1.4 billion euro (revenue target) is unfeasible," Mr Pitsiorlas said.
Greece has raised about 3.5 billion euros from asset sales since it signed its first bailout in 2010, when the privatisation fund was set up. That is far below an original target of 50 billion that has been progressively cut amid a lack of investor interest and political will.
Five governments have held office in Greece over the same period and Pitsiorlas is the fund's sixth chairman.
He said he expected the Fraport deal to be concluded this year but it would take several months for the concession to start and Greece to receive the money.
"If Fraport is not ready to sign the contract early in October when its letter of guarantee expires, we could discuss a short extension," Mr Pitsiorlas said.
Fraport said in August it no longer expected the deal to be concluded this year.
Mr Pitsiorlas said HRADF's board will meet on Thursday to approve a change in the terms of the tender for the privatisation of Thessaloniki port.
Investors will be asked to submit a bid for a 51 per cent stake by February instead of the 67 per cent originally put up for sale, with the option to acquire an extra 16 per cent.
"All eight shortlisted firms are still very interested and the winner will have to invest about 100 million euros," he said.
Dutch APM terminals, Swiss Duferco Holding, Russian Railways, Philippines' International Containers Terminal Services and Japan's Mitsui & Co were among the bidders.
The asset sales have also faced legal hurdles.
Greece agreed in 2013 to sell 66 percent of natural gas grid operator DESFA to Azerbaijan's state-owned oil company SOCAR. But the 400-million-euro transaction has been delayed due to EU antitrust concerns.
Mr Pitsiorlas said the sale will be concluded this year and that SOCAR, which confirmed its interest in acquiring the stake last week, would address the EU's concerns but divesting 17 per cent of DESFA to a third entity.
"Right now, there is strong interest by European firms, such as Belgium's Fluxys, to participate in the final scheme," Mr Pitsiorlas, a lawyer, said.
Mr Pitsiorlas was also upbeat about the sale of a luxury seaside resort, Astir Vouliagmenis, outside Athens to an Arab-Turkish fund.
The sale was clinched in 2013 but Greece's top administrative court blocked it last year, saying the property's urban development scheme violated Greek law.
"I reckon that negotiations with the investors ...will conclude soon so that a solution can be found that will satisfy their business plan and the terms set by the (court)."
Greece will also start implementing a 915 million euro deal for the lease of a former airport site, Hellenikon, to Lamda Development immediately after a Sept. 20 snap election, he said.
REUTERS

French minister decries 'shocking' behaviour of parting Alcatel CEO

French minister decries 'shocking' behaviour of parting Alcatel CEO

[PARIS] French economy minister Emmanuel Macron stepped up the pressure on former Alcatel-Lucent CEO Michel Combes, describing his departure from the company before the finalisation of a takeover by Nokia as "shocking" and "bad corporate behaviour".
Mr Combes left telecoms equipment maker Alcatel this week to become chief operating officer of telecoms networks operator Altice and chairman of its French subsidiary Numericable-SFR.
He came under fire after French weekly Le Journal du Dimanche said that he could receive the equivalent of around US$15 million in Alcatel stock by 2018. France's AMF financial regulator said on Tuesday it was investigating whether the package respected governance rules.
"It's not normal that a big company boss is the first to jump ship. Mr Combes led a merger of Alcatel-Lucent and Nokia that we supported," Mr Macron told reporters on Wednesday after the weekly cabinet meeting at the presidential palace.
"So it is neither comprehensible nor acceptable that Mr Combes has decided today to leave the company when the transaction hasn't even been completed, both morally and in terms of the proper functioning of the company," he said. "This case is shocking and, in particular, it's truly a case of bad corporate behaviour. When you run a company like this, you see the transaction through to the end," Mr Macron said.
Mr Macron said he was waiting for the response of the AMF and a corporate governance committee - a body set up by companies themselves. He said he expected to have the committee's response to the circumstances of Mr Combes' departure by the end of next week.
REUTERS

Twitter unlocks basic advertising option in 167 more countries

Twitter unlocks basic advertising option in 167 more countries

[SAN FRANCISCO] Twitter Inc is opening a large potential advertiser base by making it possible to pay to promote content in 167 more countries and territories.
It marks a milestone for the San Francisco-based company, which has long said international expansion was a priority, but until Wednesday had self-service advertising available only in 33 countries, Twitter said in a statement. Those types of advertisements allow people to pay to show their tweets to more people who aren't following them.
The move could boost Twitter's revenue. A vast majority of the social-media company's users are overseas, but the US accounted for 63 per cent of its US$452 million second-quarter revenue. Adam Bain, the company's revenue chief, has said he's especially interested in expanding Twitter's presence in markets with high smartphone use, such as Indonesia and Brazil.
The company now offers ads in 15 languages and said it has 100,000 active advertisers, including small businesses that use the self-serve product. For comparison, Facebook Inc in February said it had 2 million advertisers
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Foxconn said to plan spending up to US$1b on India startups

Foxconn said to plan spending up to US$1b on India startups

[TAIPEI] Foxconn Technology Group plans to invest as much as US$1 billion in Indian startups during the next two years as it seeks growth beyond manufacturing, according to people familiar with the plans.
The Taiwanese company has held meetings with almost 40 businesses - including those in e-commerce and renewable energy - as it considers how they fit with Foxconn's long-term strategy, the people said, asking not to be identified because the talks are private. Investments may include cash, technology, manufacturing or other services, the people said.
Foxconn, best known as the major product assembler for Apple Inc, joins SoftBank Group Corp and Alibaba Group Holding Ltd in tapping India's growing economy and nascent technology industry to expand into retailing and e-commerce. Its FIH Mobile unit announced last month it would spend US$200 million for a 4.3 per cent stake in online marketplace operator Snapdeal.
One of the other targets Terry Gou's company has met with is GreenDust, which resells returned electrical goods and factory seconds, though a decision hasn't been made on an investment, the people said.
"Foxconn has plans to set up an investment fund and an incubator to invest in and to engage and collaborate with technology startups in India," Foxconn said in a statement. It didn't comment on targets or investment amounts.
The two are having "serious discussions," said Hitendra Chaturvedi, chief executive officer of Reverse Logistics Co, which owns GreenDust.
The investments would be in addition to the money Foxconn is spending to build factories around India to make smartphones for clients, including Xiaomi Corp and OnePlus, they said. Foxconn expects to open as many as 12 factories and create 1 million jobs in the country by 2020, Mr Gou, the founder and chairman, said in July.
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