Sunday, July 5, 2015

For Chicago futures traders, one final round in the ring

For Chicago futures traders, one final round in the ring

[CHICAGO] A few dozen Chicago traders will don their multicolored jackets to trade soybean and forex futures the old-fashioned way one last time on Monday, marking the end of 167 years of open-outry trading in the city where it was born.
Barring a last-minute delay by US regulators, CME Group Inc will end most of its open-outcry futures operations in Chicago and New York after the closing bell on Monday, concluding a tradition that once epitomized global financial markets but succumbed to the efficiency and speed of machines.
The din of raucous shouting and frenzied hand gestures at the cavernous Chicago Mercantile Exchange floor has faded over the years, and now makes up only 1 per cent of total volume. The exchange's more active options pits will remain open for now, although they too are losing ground to electronic dealing.
CME is moving ahead with the plan despite resistance from a small group of floor brokers and traders in Chicago, who have argued the closures would hurt end-users in the Treasury and Eurodollar markets. Last month, they asked the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) to open a 90-day review of the plan.
The CFTC has until close of business on Monday to make a decision about whether to delay the closures.
As the birthplace of futures trading, and with strong ties to the traditions that surround it, the CME held off the shift to an all-digital platform longer than most other exchanges.
In 2012, CME rival IntercontinentalExchange Inc silenced 142 years of open-outcry trading in New York when it closed the trading rings for sugar, cocoa and other soft commodities. They were the last of ICE's markets to go all electronic.
More than a decade earlier, the London International Financial Futures Exchange became the first major futures house to abandon open outcry when it switched abruptly to all-electronic trading.
Last Thursday, traders remaining on the CME's grain and financial floors in Chicago gathered for a group picture in the soybean futures pit. They shared memories of their experiences in the 167-year-old grain pits with each other and on Twitter. "Goodnight open outcry," tweeted @BX825, who describes himself as a grain trader and former floor trader. "I loved it, I hated it, I survived it and am proud to have been part of such a rich tradition. You made Chicago great."
REUTERS

Oil, steel, base metals fall on Greek 'No' vote

Oil, steel, base metals fall on Greek 'No' vote

[ SINGAPORE] Most commodity prices suffered falls on Monday, compounding worries about oversupply, after Greece rejected terms for a bailout and top consumer China unleashed emergency measures over the weekend to prevent a full-blown stock market crash.
Brent crude fell below US$60 per barrel on Monday, to levels last seen in April, reacting to worries about the global economy as the euro slid on news Greeks had rejected terms for a bailout, putting in doubt its continued place in the single currency. "As far as Greece is concerned, if we are going to see a drawn-out period of uncertainty, that may be negative for demand. But closer to hand is the possibility of a stronger U.S. dollar, which a negative for oil," said Ric Spooner, chief analyst at CMC Markets in Sydney.
A strong dollar puts pressure on oil markets as it makes fuel more expensive for countries using different currencies.
Adding to falls in Asia, commodities were sucked into China's market turmoil that has seen shares fall by as much as 30 per cent since June amidst an economy that is growing at its slowest pace in a generation, despite a bounce on Monday following the emergency measures at the weekend.
Chinese steel prices are now at their lowest since the peak of the global financial crisis in 2009, with futures down 70 per cent to around 2,000 yuan per tonne.
Iron ore - steel's main raw material - has fallen more than 15 per cent since mid-June to below US$55 a tonne. "Iron ore capped the biggest weekly loss since April as iron ore shipments surged (and) data showed a slowdown in China's steel industry and China's equity market fell sharply," ANZ bank said.
Oil, iron ore and coal are already suffering from oversupply, with major producers like Australia (coal and iron ore), the Middle East, Russia and the United States (oil), all seeing near record output just as demand slows.
Three-month copper on the London Metal Exchange hit its weakest since mid-March at US$5,640 a tonne by 0305 GMT, down by 2 percent.
But with economic uncertainty rising, gold benefited from its safe-haven status. Prices of the precious metal are up by almost 1 per cent since the beginning of July to around US$1,168 per ounce. "We think that the short-term uncertainty generated by the Greek vote will likely benefit gold and suspect that we could see more appreciation over the next few days. However,... lower oil prices and a stronger dollar should keep gold's advance somewhat in check," said INTL FCStone analyst Edward Meir.
REUTERS

HK Exchanges sinks most in 6 years as Goldman says sell

HK Exchanges sinks most in 6 years as Goldman says sell

{SYDNEY] Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing Ltd is on course for its steepest slump since Oct 2008 after Goldman Sachs Group Inc advised selling shares of the world's largest bourse operator amid concern weaker volumes will curb earnings.
The stock plunged 13 per cent to HK$226 (S$39.4) as of 10.42 am in Hong Kong, extending to 23 per cent its decline from a record high in May. Goldman Sachs lowered its price estimate by 26 per cent, and cut its recommendation to sell from neutral.
Investors pushed up valuations on the exchange operator this year amid a 56 per cent surge in April as regulators expanded access to the city's shares for Chinese funds through the cross-border trading program, part of measures being introduced to open up capital markets on the mainland.
"Investors remain concerned about the slowing earnings growth of HKEx despite solid revenue growth," said Bernard Aw, Singapore-based strategist at IG Ltd. "The Goldman Sachs report merely provided more excuses to decrease exposure to HKEx shares."
Monday's decline leaves the gap between analyst share-price estimates and the stock price at the widest since 2008, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. The average 12-month forecast is HK$306.47, about 36 per cent higher than the current level, the data show.
"Whilst we continue to expect HKEx to benefit from the opening of China's capital markets longer term, the share price move ever since the March 2014 low has more than reflected the potential for a structural improvement in earnings," Goldman Sachs analyst Gurpreet Singh Sahi wrote in the report.
BLOOMBERG

728 X 90

336 x 280

300 X 250

320 X 100

300 X600