Monday, June 1, 2015

Australian banks rein in investor property loans

Australian banks rein in investor property loans

[SYDNEY] Australian banks are reining in their most profitable business after increasingly stern warnings from regulators that tighter mortgage lending standards may be needed to prevent a housing bubble in Sydney from destabilising the financial system.
The country's four major lenders, Commonwealth Bank of Australia (CBA), Westpac Banking Corp, ANZ Banking Group Ltd and National Australia Bank have all begun to tighten lending to investors in recent weeks.
The measures include stricter criteria to approve investor loans, pulling down interest rate discounts and raising deposits on investor loans to up to 20 per cent, from as little as 5 per cent just a month ago.
This is a big shift for Australia's banks, which emerged from the global financial crisis to post record profits in recent years on the back of mortgage lending. Home loans account for 40 per cent to 60 per cent of the major banks' total loans. "If the regulators force the banks to slow investor lending growth and it isn't offset by any significant pick-up in owner-occupied housing or business credit, this will no doubt hurt revenue growth," said Omkar Joshi, an investment analyst who helps oversee about A$1 billion at Watermark Funds Management.
Policy makers and the Australian Prudential Regulatory Authority (APRA), the banking watchdog, are sounding alarm bells over the rising risks to the financial system from the red hot Sydney property market.
Home prices in Australia's biggest city have soared 40 per cent in three years, fuelled by interest rate cuts to historic lows. On Monday, Treasury Secretary John Fraser told a senate hearing that Sydney was "unequivocally" in a housing bubble.
Compounding the regulator's concerns, the major banks'reserves against potential losses in their mortgage books have fallen since 2008 even as profits reached record highs, thanks to the use of in-house risk-management models.
Regulators have flagged the need for the major banks to set aside more capital against their mortgage book, a move that could further hit earnings and investor returns. Analysts expect risk weights on mortgages to rise to 25-30 per cent from 14-19 per cent now.
The "Big Four" banks are together expected to raise between A$22 billion and A$41 billion to boost their capital reserves in what will be the their biggest fund raising in history, analysts estimate.
Bankers complain that APRA officials are "camped" in their mortgage departments, ensuring they keep growth in investment loans below a 10 per cent annual speed limit and tighten standards on products such as interest-only loans.
Home loans to investors have outpaced growth in owner-occupied loans in recent months, and now account for a third of the A$1.5 trillion (US$1.15 trillion) home loan market, regulatory filings show.
That, coupled with subdued income growth, rising household debt and unemployment, has APRA warning openly about "heightened risk" to the financial system.
REUTERS

Stimulus policies boost China's home sales jump in May




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Stimulus policies boost China's home sales jump in May


[HONG KONG] China's housing sales in major cities, measured by floor space, jumped 37.4 per cent in May from a year earlier, a private survey showed on Tuesday, helped by government's stimulus policies and developers' push to clear inventories.
The jump compares to a 21.8 per cent rise in the April, according to China Real Estate Index System's (CREIS) survey of 36 major first to third-tier cities.
Home sales in May rose 14.7 per cent from April's level, accelerating from the 11.4 per cent increase between April and March.
Rating agency Moody's changed its outlook on the China property sector on Tuesday to stable from negative, reflecting the effects of supportive monetary and regulatory policies."(The change is) to reflect our improved expectations for the industry's fundamental business conditions over the next 12 months," said Kaven Tsang, a Moody's senior analyst, forecasting China property sales value to grow 0 to 5 per cent until June 2016.

China cut interest rates for the third time in six months in May, in a bid to lower companies' borrowing costs and stoke a sputtering economy that is headed for its worst year in a quarter of a century.
In a separate survey released on Monday, prices of new homes in 288 cities edged up 0.05 per cent in May from April, the first rise in 14 months, property services provider Real Estate Information Corporation (CRIC) said. Prices in first-tier cities improved by as much as 2.2 per cent.
But home prices in May were 1.61 per cent lower compared to a year ago, improving April when they were 1.69 per cent lower."Home prices in some of the cities have shown significant rise...but given the current housing market conditions, we think this wave of price rises will be a modest one," said CRIC, owned by E-House China Holdings Ltd, citing still relatively high inventory levels and developers' conservative approach to land acquisition.
The government is due to publish its May property sales and investment figures on June 11, and price data for 70 of the biggest Chinese cities on June 18.
REUTERS

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