Monday, January 26, 2015

Tsipras to form anti-bailout Greek government after big victory

Tsipras to form anti-bailout Greek government after big victory

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Tags: Greece
Greek leftwing leader Alexis Tsipras struck a deal with a right-wing party to form a government to confront international lenders and reverse years of painful austerity following a crushing election victory by his Syriza party.
The success of the anti-bailout party reignites fears of a new financial troubles in the country that set off the regional crisis in 2009. It is also the first time a member of the 19-nation euro zone will be led by a party rejecting German-backed austerity, emboldening anti-austerity movements elsewhere.
Fresh from trouncing conservative Prime Minister Antonis Samaras on a campaign of "Hope is coming!", the 40-year-old Tsipras quickly sealed a deal on a coalition with the head of the small Independent Greeks party which, like Syriza, opposes Greece's bailout deal.
"From this moment there is a government in the country. The Independent Greeks give a vote of confidence in Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras. There is an agreement in principle," Panos Kammenos said after talks with Tsipras at Syriza's headquarters in Athens.
A deal with the right-wing party makes an unusual alliance between parties on the opposite end of the political spectrum but brought together by a mutual hatred for the EU/IMF bailout program keeping Greece afloat.
Reaction from financial markets to Syriza's victory was largely muted, with the euro recovering from a tumble to a 11-year low against the dollar on initial results. Greek stocks dipped slightly while 10-year bond yields rose.
With almost all votes counted, Syriza won 149 seats in the 300-seat parliament, two short of an absolute majority. But the result marked a comprehensive rejection of the years of austerity demanded by the European Union and International Monetary Fund in return for the 240 billion-euro bailout.
Syriza's campaign of hope resonated with voters worn down by huge budget cuts and heavy tax rises during the years of crisis that have sent unemployment over 25 percent and pushed millions into poverty.
"Greece leaves behind catastrophic austerity, it leaves behind fear and authoritarianism, it leaves behind five years of humiliation and suffering," Tsipras, pumping his fist in the air, told thousands of cheering supporters in Athens on Sunday.
Tspiras will be creating the first euro zone government elected to undo the orthodox conservative polices of strict budgetary rigor that German Chancellor Angela Merkel has championed for the bloc's most troubled economies although he has not laid out what his first moves in office would be.
For the first time in more than 40 years, neither the New Democracy party of Samaras nor the center-left PASOK, the two forces that had dominated Greek politics since the fall of a military junta in 1974, will be in power.
Tsipras also expects to talk to the heads of two other parties, the centrist To Potami and the communist KKE, a sign he may look for their support even if they do not join a formal coalition.
The Independent Greeks, a rightwing party with a hardline stance against illegal immigration, disagrees with Syriza on many social issues which could create tensions but it shares its opposition to the international bailout.
An alliance between the two sides would suggest a hardline stance against Greece's creditors, who have dismissed Tsipras's demands for a debt writeoff and insisted the country stay on the path of reforms and austerity to get its finances back on track.
Hours after Syriza's victory, ECB Executive Board member Benoit Coeure said that Greece had to pay its debts and warned Tsipras to play by the "European rules of the game".
"There is no room for unilateral action in Europe, that doesn't exclude a discussion, for example, on the rescheduling of this debt," Coeure told Europe 1 radio.
Together with last week's decision by the ECB to pump billions of euros into the euro zone's flagging economy despite objections from Germany, Syriza's victory marks a turning point in the long euro zone crisis.
But after the euphoria of election night, hailed by flag-waving crowds in Athens, Tsipras faces daunting challenges and can expect strong resistance to his demands from Germany in particular.
With Greece unable to tap the markets because of sky-high borrowing costs and facing about 10 billion euros of debt payments this summer, he will have to seek a deal to unlock more than 7 billion euros of outstanding aid by the time the bailout is due to expire on Feb. 28.
However, Syriza's victory will also encourage other anti-austerity forces in Europe and add impetus to calls for a change of course away from the focus on budget belt-tightening and structural reform favored by Berlin.
Those calls have come not just from anti-system movements such as Podemos in Spain but also from leaders such as French President Francois Hollande, who congratulated Tsipras on his win, and Italian Prime Minister Matteo Renzi.

Sunday, January 25, 2015

Radical Leftists Win Election In Greece – Future Of Eurozone In Serious Jeopardy BY THE DAILY COIN · JANUARY 25, 2015

Radical Leftists Win Election In Greece – Future Of Eurozone In Serious Jeopardy

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by Michael Snyder, The Economic Collapse Blog
Radical leftists have been catapulted to power in Greece, and that means that the European financial crisis has just entered a dangerous new phase.  Syriza, which is actually an acronym for “Coalition of the Radical Left” in Greek, has 36 percent of the total vote with approximately 80 percent of the polling stations reporting.  The current governing party, New Democracy, only has 28 percent of the vote.  Syriza leader Alexis Tsipras is promising to roll back a whole host of austerity measures that were imposed on Greece by the EU, and his primary campaign slogan was “hope is on the way”.  Hmmm – that sounds a bit familiar.  Clearly, the Greek population is fed up with the EU after years of austerity and depression-like conditions.  At this point, the unemployment rate in Greece is sitting at 25.8 percent, and the Greek economy is approximately 25 percent smaller than it was just six years ago.  The people of Greece are desperate for things to get better, and so they have turned to the radical leftists.  Unfortunately, things may be about to get a whole lot worse.
Once they formally have control of the government, Syriza plans to call for a European debt conference during which they plan to demand that the repayment terms of their debts be renegotiated.  But the rest of Europe appears to be highly resistant to any renegotiation – especially Germany.
Euro Sign - Public Domain
Syriza says that it does not plan to unilaterally pull Greece out of the eurozone, and that it also intends for Greece to continue to use the euro.
But what happens if Germany will not budge?
Syriza’s entire campaign was based on promises to end austerity.  If international creditors refuse to negotiate and continue to insist that Greece abide by the austerity measures that were previously put in place, what will Syriza do?
Will Syriza back down and lose all future credibility with Greek voters?
Since 2010, the Greek people have endured a seemingly endless parade of wage reductions, pension cuts, tax increases and government budget cutbacks.
The Greek people just want things to go back to the way that they used to be, and they are counting on Syriza to deliver.
Unfortunately for Syriza, delivering on those promises is not going to be easy.  They may be faced with a choice of either submitting to the demands of their international creditors or choosing to leave the eurozone altogether.
And if Greece does leave the eurozone, the consequences for all of Europe could be catastrophic
Syriza risks overplaying its hand, said International Capital Strategies’ Rediker. “Given that the ECB controls the liquidity of the Greek banking system, and also serves as its regulator through the SSM (Single Supervisory Mechanism), going toe-to-toe with the ECB is one battle that could end very badly for the Greek government.”
If the ECB were to stop funding the liquidity of the Greek banks, the banks could collapse—an event that could lead to Greece abandoning the euro and printing its own money once more.
Milios didn’t believe it would come to that, saying, “No one wants a collapse of banks in the euro zone. This is going to be Lehman squared or to the tenth. No one wants to jeopardize the future of the euro zone.”
Hopefully cooler heads will prevail, because one bad move could set off a meltdown of the entire European financial system.
Even before the Greek election, the euro was already falling like a rock and economic conditions all over Europe were already getting worse.
So why would the Greeks risk pushing Europe to the brink of utter disaster?
Well, it is because economic conditions in Greece have been absolutely hellish for years and they are sick and tired of it.
For example, the BBC is reporting that many married women have become so desperate to find work in Greece that they are literally begging to work in brothels…
Some who have children and are struggling to support them have turned to sex work, to put food on the table.
Further north, in Larissa, Soula Alevridou, who owns a legal brothel, says the number of married women coming to her looking for work has doubled in the last five years.
They plead and plead but as a legal brothel we cannot employ married women,” she says. “It’s illegal. So eventually they end up as prostitutes on the streets.”
When people get this desperate, they do desperate things – like voting radical leftists into power.
But Greece might just be the beginning.  Surveys show that the popularity of the EU is plummeting all over Europe.  Just check out the following excerpt from a recent Telegraph article
Europe is being swept by a wave of popular disenchantment and revolt against mainstream political parties and the European Union.
In 2007, a majority of Europeans – 52 per cent – trusted the EU. That level of trust has now fallen to a third.
Once, Britain’s Euroscepticism was the exception, and was seen as the biggest threat to the future of the EU.
Now, other countries pose a far bigger danger thanks to the political discontents unleashed by the euro.
At this point, the future of the eurozone is in serious jeopardy.
I have a feeling that major changes in Europe are on the way which are going to shock the planet.
Meanwhile, the rest of the globe continues to slide toward another major financial crisis as well.
So many of the things that preceded the last financial crisis are happening once again.  This includes a massive crash in the price of oil.  Most people have absolutely no idea how critical the price of oil is to global financial markets.  I like how Gerald Celente put it during an interview the other day…
I began getting recognition as a trend forecaster in 1987. The Wall Street Journal covered my forecast. I said, ‘1987 would be the year it all collapses.’ I said, ‘There will be a stock market crash.’ One of the fundamentals I was looking at were the crashing oil prices in 1986.
Well, we see crashing oil prices today and the banks are much more concentrated and levered up in the oil patch than they were in 1987. From Goldman Sachs to Morgan Stanley banks have been involved in major debt financing, derivatives and energy transactions. But much of this debt has not been sold to investors and now we are going to start seeing some big defaults.
By itself, the Greek election would be a significant crisis.
But combined with all of the other economic and geopolitical problems that are erupting all over the planet, it looks like the conditions for a “perfect storm” are rapidly coming together.
Unfortunately, the overall global economy is in far worse shape today than it was just prior to the last major financial crisis.
This time around, the consequences might just be far more dramatic than most people would ever dare to imagine. www.google.com/+EricAu118


Greece's Syriza party looks set for a comfortable victory




Anti-austerity Syriza looks set to take rein in Greece.

Riding a wave of frustration at a deep economic recession and austerity measures demanded by other European powers, early results from Greece's election showed the left-wing Syriza with a comfortable lead.

By , Reuters 

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Greece's Syriza party looks set for a comfortable victory over the ruling conservatives, exit polls and preliminary results from the government showed, with the anti-austerity political upstart receiving strong backing from voters angry at the spending restrictions imposed on the country by the European Union and the IMF so that Greece can pay back its international creditors.
The result is likely to trigger a standoff with austerity-minded Germany and could threaten the distribution of the next tranche of more than 7 billion euros in outstanding international aid Greece needs in the next few months.
Syriza could gain 35.5-39.5 percent of the vote, well ahead of the conservative New Democracy party of outgoing Prime Minister Antonis Samaras on 23-27 percent, according a joint exit poll for Greek television stations issued immediately after voting ended. Other individual exit polls showed similarly strong leads for Syriza, which also indicated a change that Syriza could claim an outright majority in parliament.
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The first official results were released at 9:30 local time. With 27 percent of the votes counted, Syriza had won 35.44 percent, with New Democracy trailing in second with 28.8 percent. The neo-Nazi Golden Dawn was in third with 6.7 percent of the vote.



Unless the polls are badly wrong and later-counted precincts sharply reverse Syriza's gains, the vote should see 40-year-old Syriza leader Alexis Tsipras installed as prime minister and become the first head of a euro zone government to openly oppose the bailout conditions imposed by European Union andInternational Monetary Fund during the region's debt crisis.
With flag-waving supporters hitting the streets of Athens, some shedding tears of joy, Germany's Bundesbank warned Greece it needed to pass new laws to tackle its economic problems.

A majority?

The poll showed Syriza could have between 146-158 seats in the 300-seat parliament, with the final result heavily dependent on whether former Prime Minister George Papandreou's centre-left Movement of Democratic Socialists enters parliament.
"It is a historic victory, we still have to see if it will be a big historic victory," Syriza spokesman Panos Skourletis told Greece's Mega TV. "It sends a message against austerity and in favor of dignity and democracy," he said.
Investors have been worried a Syriza victory will trigger a new financial crisis in Greece, but the repercussions for the euro zone are expected to be far smaller than feared the last time Greeks went to the polls in 2012.
A final result could come in the early hours of Monday but after one of the shortest campaigns in recent Greek history, voters appear to have rejected the austerity medicine prescribed during a crisis which has threatened almost 4 million Greeks or a quarter of the population with poverty.
As the biggest party in the 300-seat parliament, Syriza would gain an automatic premium of 50 seats but under Greece's complicated election rules, the number of votes it needs for an absolute majority depends on how the overall vote is split up.
If he ends up short of an absolute majority, Tsipras will have to try to form a coalition with smaller parties or reach an agreement that would allow Syriza to form a minority government with ad-hoc support from others in parliament.
"The big gap between Syriza and New Democracy was a surprise because it exceeded any forecasts of a single-digit percentage gap," said Dimitris Mardas, Professor at University of Macedonia, adding they would probably still need a partner to govern.

Eyes on Berlin

Tsipras has promised to keep Greece in the euro and has toned down some of the fiery rhetoric he exhibited during his rise to prominence. But his arrival in power would herald a challenge to the approach adopted to the crisis by the wealthier euro zone governments.
Coming after the European Central Bank's move to pump billions into the bloc's flagging economy, the results will stir consternation in Berlin, which insists the bailout deal must be respected.
Asked about the reminder of the need for a change in economic management from Bundesbank President Jens Weidmann, Skourletis told Greek television: "It confirms the negotiations have already started."
Tsipras has promised to renegotiate a deal with the European Commission, European Central Bank and International Monetary Fund to write off much of Greece's 320 billion-euro debt, which at more than 175 percent of gross domestic product, is the world's second highest after Japan.
At the same time, he wants to roll back many of the austerity measures demanded by that "troika." Tsipras wants to raise the minimum wage, lower power prices for poor families, cut property taxes and reverse pension and public sector pay cuts.
Syriza officials have said they would seek a six-month "truce" to put the bailout program, due to end on Feb. 28, on hold while talks with creditors begin.
Greece, unable to borrow because of sky-high interest rates, has enough cash to meet its immediate needs but faces around 10 billion euros of debt repayments over the summer.
Without fresh cash, it will be unable to meet the payments, raising the chance of an exit from the euro.
(Additional reporting by Renee Maltezou, George Georgiopoulos, Lefteris Papadimas and Lefteris Karayannopoulos; Editing by Philippa Fletcher)

Exit Poll Shows Greece's Syriza With Strong Lead in Election
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