Thursday, August 24, 2017

How the remote Western resort of Jackson Hole became a go-to gathering for central bankers

How the remote Western resort of Jackson Hole became a go-to gathering for central bankers

Paul Volcker Former Fed Chairman Paul Volcker AP/JOHN DURICKA
Every year, the biggest names in global central banking descend on the outskirts of the small Western town of Jackson, Wyoming, to discuss what they see as the most pressing issues in economics and interest rate policy.
They will do so this week, starting Thursday, and this year’s conference theme is "Fostering a Dynamic Global Economy."
But few people know the curious history of how Jackson Hole turned into a full-fledged media circus replete with Aspen-like interviews on financial television networks against the striking panorama of the Grand Teton Mountains.
The origins of the conference are, well, fishy. That is, they have to do with fish, in particular former Fed Chairman Paul Volcker’s predilection for fly-fishing. Before 1982, the Kansas City Fed’s low-key, academic-leaning symposium was held in different parts of the Fed’s 10th district. 
Then came a small shift that would become permanent.
"The topic for the 1982 event was picked relatively early. The location was another matter," according to the Kansas City Fed’s own history of the conference.
"We worked pretty hard … and a lot of things happened," ex-Kansas City Fed official Barry Robinson explains in the internal history. "We looked at Santa Fe as a place where we could attract people in the summer … and we looked at places in Colorado."
That's where Volcker's fishing habits came into the picture. The organizers knew the conference's profile would be elevated if the then-chair were to attend. 
"It was widely known that Fed Chairman Paul Volcker was fond of fly fishing, and [the KC Fed’s Tom] Davis believed having Volcker at the first monetary policy symposium would be critical to the event’s success," the Kansas City Fed says.
"Davis called a contact in Colorado, because he knew there were popular fishing locations in that state. ' I said we need a place for our next symposium (where) people can fish for trout.' He gave it some thought and he said, ‘What time of year are you going to hold it?'"
Davis suggested August.  "Well, if you’re going to hold it in August, you can’t fish for trout in Colorado (because) it’s too warm. You need to go someplace north," his contact said.  They settled on Jackson Hole, a place Davis had never even heard of. 
"The real test for the new location, of course, would be the invitation to Volcker."  
Volcker accepted the invitation, although he had not been there previously. Apparently the fishing was good, because the conference continued to be held in the same place for the remainder of Volcker's tenure — and on through Alan Greenspan, Ben Bernanke and now, Janet Yellen.
To this day, some Fed officials go fly-fishing around the time of the conference. Paul Volcker, now 89, no longer attends.

Wednesday, August 23, 2017

Herbalife has a plan that could 'squeeze' hedge fund billionaire Bill Ackman

Herbalife has a plan that could 'squeeze' hedge fund billionaire Bill Ackman

First and foremost, the company's surging stock — up 11% over two days after a report that it held talks to go private — has cost the Ackman-led Pershing Square Capital Management roughly $115 million on a mark-to-market basis, according to data compiled by the financial-analytics provider S3 Partners.
And Ackman could be in for more pain because of Herbalife's decision to execute a so-called modified Dutch auction, through which the company plans to buy back $600 million in shares at $60 to $68 a pop. Beyond that, all shareholders who sell back their stock will get an additional cash payment if Herbalife is acquired at a higher price than the auction range in the next two years.
The buyback of 8.8 million to 10 million shares could "actually squeeze Ackman out of some of his shorts," S3 says. He first started accumulating his position five years ago while accusing Herbalife of operating as a pyramid scheme. S3 estimates that if the Dutch auction is fully tendered, Ackman could face 3 million to 5 million share-loan recalls. After all, he makes up roughly 75% of the company's short interest.
But it doesn't end there. Once the number of Herbalife shares available to be loaned plummets following the auction, the cost to borrow the company's stock will "increase dramatically" to 10% to 40% from about 2%, according to S3.
So to what extent will that hurt Ackman's wallet? He now pays about $63,000 a day in financing costs, but that could skyrocket to $300,000 to $1.2 million a day once the auction is complete, S3 says.
8 23 17 herbalife short COTDShort interest in Herbalife is up 28% this year, but bearish speculators have lost roughly $150 million over the past two days.S3 Partners

Apple reportedly scaled back its car ambitions because nobody could agree on what an Apple Car should do

Apple reportedly scaled back its car ambitions because nobody could agree on what an Apple Car should do

Tim COok Apple carplayAP
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The so-called "Apple Car" may never come to be, thanks in large part to a lack of agreement by Apple leadership as to what such a vehicle should do, reports the New York Times' Daisuke Wakabayashi.
Apple has all but abandoned its original plans for building a vehicle in its own factories, and will instead focus its energies on building self-driving systems for other vehicles, according to the report. In the meantime, the company is focusing on a self-driving campus shuttle, codenamed PAIL — short for "Palo Alto to Infinite Loop." Infinite Loop is the street on which Apple's main campus is located and Palo Alto is a city nearby. 
Apple employees working on its car effort have experimented with everything from augmented reality dashboards to a whole new "CarOS" operating system to replacing the car's steering wheel with a spinning sphere that would offer a wider range of movement, according to The Times report. Apple also looked at ways to hide a self-driving car's lidar array, which is a crucial but often unsightly component that gives such vehicles information about the environment around them.
However, Apple executives apparently couldn't agree on a direction for the car. Apple design guru Jony Ive wanted to focus on a fully self-driving vehicle like those from Google spinoff Waymo. Original project head Steve Zadesky wanted Apple's car to only be semi-autonomous, operating like Tesla's vehicles when they are under the control of the company's Autopilot function. 
Now, under current head Bob Mansfield, Apple is rededicating itself to building the underlying systems for self-driving cars — even if that means building those systems into vehicles from non-Apple manufacturers. To that end, Apple has recently obtained a self-driving car testing permit from California, with CEO Tim Cook publicly stating that the company is working on autonomous systems. 
Apple declined to comment. You can read the full New York Times report here.

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