Friday, October 14, 2016

ChemChina, Sinochem in talks on possible $100 billion merger: sources


ChemChina, Sinochem in talks on possible $100 billion merger: sources


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People use an escalator outside the headquarters of ChemChina (China National Chemical Corporation) in Beijing, China, February 4, 2005. REUTERS/Stringer/File Photo
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By Chen Aizhu | BEIJING
Chinese state-owned chemical companies Sinochem Group and ChemChina are in discussions about a possible merger to create a chemicals, fertilizer and oil giant with almost $100 billion in annual revenue, three sources familiar with the matter said.
The deal has been proposed by China's central government as part of its efforts to slash the number of state-owned companies and create larger, more competitive global industry players, said the sources.
The sources asked not to be identified because they were not authorized to speak publicly about the matter. Top management of the two firms held a meeting earlier this week to discuss a potential merger, said one source directly briefed on the matter.
"The government has given the mandate to let Sinochem lead in this potential merger with ChemChina," said the source.
A second source familiar with the matter said both firms have started due diligence work looking into each other's financial details and business segments.
When asked about a potential merger, a ChemChina spokesperson said: "There is no such thing."
A Sinochem spokesman said he was not aware of the discussions. China's State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission (SASAC), which oversees state-owned enterprises, did not comment when asked about the talks.
Shares in the companies' listed subsidiaries jumped on the news, with Sinochem International up 10 percent for its biggest one-day rally in a year and Sinofert on track for its best daily gain since December.
While still at an early stage, the talks come as China National Chemicals Corp, as ChemChina is officially known, finalizes a $43 billion takeover of Swiss pesticides and seed group Syngenta. That deal would be China's largest-ever foreign investment.
In early European trading, Syngenta shares were down about 2 percent at their lowest in almost two months.
Syngenta declined to comment on the news.
European Competition Commissioner Margrethe Vestager would not comment on any potential issues arising from the deal, were China to create a domestic chemicals, fertilizer and oil giant.
"It's very early days," she told reporters on Friday.
The European Union is expected to rule on the deal by Oct. 28.
STRONGER, LARGER
It was not clear why the discussions were happening before the ChemChina-Syngenta deal had been finalised, or whether it would create further problems with anti-trust regulators around the world which have been looking at that deal.
Beijing may have initiated the talks to create a stronger, larger player to make it easier to absorb a world-class company like Syngenta, said the source directly briefed on the matter.
Backing from Sinochem might help ChemChina finance its Syngenta deal on more favorable terms, the source said.
ChemChina faces a $3 billion break fee if its Syngenta deal does not proceed.
If approved, the ChemChina-Sinochem merger would be among the largest between two Chinese state-owned enterprises, following similar marriages that created shipping giant China Cosco Shipping Corp, train maker CNR-CSR and more recently, the tie-up between Baosteel Group and Wuhan Steel.
Combining the two companies, which make everything from refined oil products to latex gloves and insecticides, would propel it into the top echelons of the competitive global chemicals, fertilizer and oil industries.
Based on 2015 annual reports, revenues of the combined group would comfortably eclipse Germany's BASF, the world's largest maker of industrial chemicals by sales.
It would be a major global chemical giant and challenge domestic rivals Sinopec, PetroChina and CNOOC, said Michal Meidan, London-based China analyst with Energy Aspects.
"It really does align nicely the government's priority to reduce the number of SOEs (state-owned enterprises)," Meidan said.
XI'S PUSH
A merger would fit in with President Xi Jinping's years-long push to shrink the number of centrally-controlled state-owned enterprises, which number more than 100.
In Sinochem's case, it is larger than ChemChina, but it needs a partner in the long term if it wants to expand in the global market and extend beyond roots that go back almost 70 years in oil and chemical trading, experts who know the companies said.
Sinochem has seen growth in the key energy business stagnate with increasing domestic competition in trading from the likes of state oil trader Unipec and Chinaoil, while its overseas oil and gas assets have struggled amid prolonged low oil prices.
ChemChina would add some 500,000 barrels per day of crude oil processing capacity to Sinochem's oil refining business.
Premium assets ChemChina acquired would also boost Sinochem's chemical departments.
The second source said a deal would benefit both companies: Sinochem's upstream oil and gas assets could feed ChemChina's nine refineries, Sinochem's access to rubber trading would help ChemChina's tyre business, while Sinochem's dominance in fertilizer markets would be a good fit for ChemChina's agri-chemical business.
"Sinochem is generally light on assets, while ChemChina is a more of a manufacturer," he said.
($1 = 6.6685 Chinese yuan renminbi)
(Additional reporting by Florence Tan in Singapore, Matthew Miller and Meng Meng in BEIJING, Joshua Franklin in ZURICH, Foo Wun Chee in BRUSSELS; Writing by Josephine Mason; Editing by Lincoln Feast and Mike Collett-White)



NEXT IN COMMODITIES 

Samsung: Note 7 debacle will cost $3 billion in lost sales

Samsung: Note 7 debacle will cost $3 billion in lost sales

samsung galaxy note 7 explodedA melted Galaxy Note 7. AP
Samsung announced its Galaxy Note 7 recall will cost the company about $3 billion (3.5 trillion won) in operating profit due to discontinued sales.
It expects most of the lost sales (about $2.2 billion) to hit the bottom line next quarter, and the remainder in the first quarter of 2017.
The South Korean company halted production and global sales of its Note 7 phone Monday after weeks of reports that the device would overheat and catch fire. 
Samsung recalled the device and began issuing replacements to customers on Sept. 15, but those devices also suffered the same fire-prone defect. 
The company was criticized for failing to formally recall the device despite the reports and for not communicating the safety concerns to customers quickly enough. 
After weeks of incidents involving the phone catching fire, Samsung officially recalled the device for good on Monday.
The company said it would focus its efforts on its other flagship models like Galaxy S7 and Galaxy S7 edge to make up for the loss in sales from the discontinued Note 7. 

Chinese inflationary pressures intensified sharply last month

Chinese inflationary pressures intensified sharply last month

Photo by China Photos/Getty Images
Chinese price pressures intensified in September with both consumer and producer price inflation topping expectations.
According to the NBS, consumer price inflation (CPI) grew by 1.9% from a year earlier, a result was well ahead of the 1.3% pace seen in August and forecasts for an acceleration to 1.6%.
It was the fastest annual pace since June. Over the month, CPI rose by 0.7%.
Breaking down the headline figure, the NBS reported that food inflation grew by 3.2% over the past year, up from 1.3% in August.
Pork prices, a staple of the Chinese diet, rose by 5.8% over the same period, a slight deceleration on the 6.4% pace reported previously.
That slowdown was more than offset by a huge 10.7% increase in vegetable prices in September, leaving them up 6.7% on the levels of a year earlier.
The NBS suggested that adverse weather conditions in Southern China over summer contributed to the surge in prices.
Non-food inflation rose by 1.6% from a year earlier, not only above the 1.4% rate of August but also the fastest pace seen in over a year.
On that basis it appears that inflationary pressures are building.
Indeed, fitting with that mantra, producer price inflation (PPI) created history of sorts, logging its first year-on-year increase in close to five years.
PPI rose by 0.1% in the 12 months to September, a figure that was above the 0.8% contraction of August and expectations for a smaller decline of 0.3%.
In September alone it accelerated by 0.5%.
Not since January 2012 has PPI increased on an annualised basis. The 54-month deflationary spiral in upstream prices appears to be over.
It also hints that there may be upside risks building for next week’s Q3 GDP release, scheduled to arrive on Wednesday.
Financial markets are trading mixed following the data release, seemingly taking the view that while it points to an ongoing improvement in Chinese economic activity, it also reduces the likelihood of further fiscal and monetary stimulus from policymakers.
Chinese stocks are trading marginally lower while commodity futures — reacting to the strength in the PPI figure — have reversed losses and are now trading higher.
The Australian and New Zealand dollars — proxies for sentiment towards the Chinese economy given their close economic ties — are also pushing higher, sitting with gains of 0.3% and 0.4% against the US dollar.
There has been negligible reaction in the Chinese yuan, either in onshore or offshore trade. The USD/CNY currently buys 6.7243, just shy of the six-year high seen earlier in the week.
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Singapore's economy put in a terrible performance last quarter

Singapore's economy put in a terrible performance last quarter

singapore skylineSingapore slack12 via Flickr
Singapore’s economy contracted sharply in the September quarter, according to the advance GDP estimate released by the Singaporean Ministry of Trade and Industry (MTI) earlier today.
GDP contracted 4.1% in seasonally-adjusted annual terms (SAAR), an outcome that was well short of forecasts for an increase of 0.3%.
Previously the economy grew 0.2% on a SAAR basis.
It was the sharpest decline since the September quarter of 2012.
The poor quarterly result saw the year-on-year growth rate slow to just 0.6%, below the 1.7% pace expected and downwardly-revised 2.0% level of Q2.
It was the weakest growth rate recorded since the June quarter of 2009.
This table from Statistics Singapore breaks down the headline GDP figure by sector. It was a tale of strength in construction activity being unable to offset weakness from manufacturing and services, particularly in the former.
Singapore Q3 2016 GDP tableBusiness Insider
The MTI will release its preliminary GDP estimate as part of its Economic Survey of Singapore in November.
Coinciding with the release of the GDP report, the Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) released its latest monetary policy statement, maintaining the rate of appreciation of the Singapore dollar nominal effective exchange rate (S$NEER) at zero per cent. 
It also stated that “a neutral policy stance will be needed for an extended period to ensure medium-term price stability”.
The MAS uses exchange rate adjustments to manage inflation, as opposed to interest rates.
On the outlook for economic activity, the MAS said that the “economy is projected to grow at a slower pace in 2016 than envisaged in the April policy review”. 
Nor does it expect that growth will shoot the lights out in 2017.
“GDP growth is on current indications not expected to pick up significantly in 2017, reflecting weak global demand and the cyclical as well as structural factors weighing on Singapore’s exports,” it said.
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China gets a new billionaire every 5 days

China gets a new billionaire every 5 days

Asia has reportedly produced a new billionaire every week.
Well, it turns out to be much faster than that.
A new report by UBS and PricewaterhouseCoopers found that one billionaire pops up in Asia every three days, outpacing all other regions in the world.
China accounted for 71% of Asia's new billionaires in 2015, up from 35% in 2009, according to the report, which has analyzed data covering more than 1,300 billionaires over the past two decades.
BillionairesPwC
Of 113 Asian entrepreneurs who reached billionaire status last year, 80 of them are from China, the report says. That's more than half of the world's total count, and means China gains a new billionaire every five days. 
Last September, the government earmarked innovation reform as a priority. "Promoting entrepreneurship and innovation will offer college graduates opportunities for fair competition no matter where in the country they come from," Premier Li Keqiang said in a meeting with tech companies.
This fosters a favorable environment for young Chinese entrepreneurs to get rich fast, according to the report.
Here is UBS-PwC:
"Almost half of these came from the technology (19%), consumer & retail (15%) and real estate (15%) sectors. E-commerce businesses are in the ascendancy. At the same time, many of the country’s wealthy are diversifying out of their existing businesses into real estate. Moreover, China’s urbanization and increasing consumer spending have fostered an environment where businesses are growing fast."
Outside China, but still in Asia, Hong Kong and India had the highest number of new billionaires at 11 each, according to the report.
Meanwhile, Europe was home to 56 new billionaires. Most European billionaires inherited their wealth, which was almost unchanged from the previous year at $1.3 trillion.
The count of new US billionaires was relatively stagnant. While 41 people achieving billionaire status last year, 36 dropped out of the group, according to the report.
Of note, one key difference between US self-made billionaires and the rest of the world is that they tend to cash out or pass much of their wealth to philanthropies, said Steven Crosby, senior managing director of global private banking and wealth management at PwC.
In Europe, there's a much stronger family dynasty culture, thanks to a shared vision and clear governance, the report says. 

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