Thursday, May 12, 2016

Gold demand just hit an all-time high

Gold demand just hit an all-time high

TutanchamunHannes Magerstaedt/Getty Images
Global gold demand surged in the first three months of 2016, boosted by heightened economic uncertainty and increasingly-innovative monetary policy from the likes of the Bank of Japan and European Central Bank.
According to the World Gold Council’s (WCG) Gold Demand Trends report, demand jumped to 1,289.8 tonnes, the largest increase on record. 
While in absolute terms demand surged, it was almost entirely driven by paper gold — that traded on financial markets — which rose more than 10-fold from a year earlier to 363.7 tonnes.
“Inflows into ETFs [Exchange-traded funds] of 363.7 tonnes were the highest since Q1 2009 as sentiment towards gold improved markedly,” said the WGC. 
“Negative interest rates, stock market volatility and concerns over global economic growth all contributed to the upsurge in demand.”
The chart below, supplied by the Council, reveals the sharp pickup in paper gold demand during the quarter.
World Gold Council March 2016 ETF demandvia Business Insider Australia
Outside of paper markets, demand elsewhere was weak, driven lower by a 17% price jump during the quarter.
Compared to a year earlier, jewelry demand fell by 19% to 481.9 tonnes. Demand from central banks and other institutions also weakened, slipping 3% to 109.4 tonnes.
Physical bar and coin sales bucked the trend, rising 1% to 253.9 tonnes.
By region, gold demand fell in India (-39% to 116.5 tonnes), China (-12% to 241.3 tonnes) and the Middle East (-9% to 79.3 tonnes) compared to a year ago. The noticeable exception was the United States which saw demand increase by 21% to 40.9 tonnes, primarily due to increased paper holdings.
In terms of physical gold, supply increased by 5% to 1,134.9 tonnes thanks to a 8% lift in mine output.
The table below from the World Gold Council, breaks down the quarterly report down into detail.
World Gold Council March 2016 demand report tablevia Business Insider Australia
Read the original article on Business Insider Australia. Copyright 2016. Follow Business Insider Australia on Twitter.

The IEA just gave the oil industry some great news

The IEA just gave the oil industry some great news

Oil Field GazpromneftREUTERS/Sergei KarpukhinA worker takes oil samples from a well at the Gazpromneft-owned Yuzhno-Priobskoye oil field outside the West Siberian city of Khanty-Mansiysk, Russia on January 28, 2016,
LONDON (Reuters) - Unplanned disruptions to oil output could help run down a global overhang of unused crude this year, while demand will profit from growing gasoline consumption particularly in India and China, the International Energy Agency said on Thursday.
The IEA said output from non-OPEC producers is expected to fall by 800,000 barrels per day (bpd) in 2016, an acceleration from the agency's previous forecast for a fall by 710,000 bpd.
On the demand front, the Paris-based IEA left its forecast for global growth broadly unchanged at 1.2 million bpd for this year, but said the risks to future forecasts lay to the upside.
"Any changes to our current 2016 global demand outlook are now more likely to be upwards than downwards, as gasoline demand grows strongly in nearly every key market, more than offsetting weakness in middle distillates," the IEA said in its monthly Oil Market Report.
"Slower demand growth in OECD (Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development) countries is not unexpected; it represents a return to the norm," it added.
This marks a far cry from the IEA's warning at the start of the year that the oil market could "drown in supply" in 2016, given the pace of stock-building and the net rise in global production at the time.
The IEA noted the warning last month from the International Monetary Fund, which cut its global economic growth forecast in 2016 to 3.2 percent from 3.4 percent.
Yet robust consumption in the likes of China, Russia and India in particular, could help offset any declines stemming from a slowing economic backdrop.
"India is the star performer: oil demand in the first quarter of 2016 was 400,000 bpd higher year-on-year, representing nearly 30 percent of the global increase. This provides further support for the argument that India is taking over from China as the main growth market for oil," the IEA said.
China oilReuters/Aly SongA man walks past a storage area for oil barrels in Shanghai, China.

OPEC pumps, rivals stall

On the supply side, a wildfire in the Canadian province of Alberta has taken more than 1 million bpd of capacity offline in May, but the IEA noted outages in Nigeria, Libya, Venezuela and Kuwait, plus falling U.S. shale output, have also eaten into global output.
The build in global inventories of crude oil is expected to slow to just 200,000 bpd in the second half of this year, from 1.3 million bpd in the first half, the IEA said.
Benchmark Brent crude prices have risen by 30 percent since the start of the year to above $45 a barrel, their highest since late 2015, buoyed by the extent of unexpected production outages around the world.
But prices have risen only about 12 percent, or $5, in the last month, when such interruptions spread more widely, mainly because of the billions of barrels of unused crude and refined products in tanks around the world.
"Further oil price rises ... are likely to be limited by brimming crude oil and products stocks that will remain a feature of the market until more normal levels of inventory are reached," theIEA said.
OPEC supply, led by increases in Iran, Iraq and the United Arab Emirates, pushed the group's output up 330,000 bpd in April to a seven-year high of 32.76 million bpd, the agency said.
The IEA added that Saudi oilfields could ramp up towards 11 million bpd "without strain", from current levels of around 10.2 million bpd.
Iran, which returned to global markets in January after the lifting of international sanctions linked to its nuclear activities, increased production and exports more quickly than expected, the IEA said.
Production reached some 3.56 million bpd, up 300,000 bpd and the highest since late 2011, prior to the introduction of sanctions, the IEA said.
Loadings of Iranian crude rose by 600,000 bpd in April to around 2 million barrels, theIEAsaid, adding that it was unclear how much of this oil had been drawn from onshore storage at the Kharg Island hub.
(Reporting by Amanda Cooper; Editing by Dale Hudson)
Read the original article on Reuters. Copyright 2016. Follow Reuters on Twitter.

Brazil's Senate has suspended President Dilma Rousseff — now she's headed to trial

Brazil's Senate has suspended President Dilma Rousseff — now she's headed to trial

Dilma Rousseff BrazilREUTERS/Ueslei MarcelinoBrazil's President Dilma Rousseff at a launch ceremony of Agricultural and Livestock Plan for 2016/2017, at the Planalto Palace in Brasilia, Brazil, May 4, 2016.
BRASILIA (Reuters) - Brazil's Senate voted on Thursday to put leftist President Dilma Rousseff on trial in a historic decision brought on by a deep recession and a corruption scandal that will now confront her successor, Vice President Michel Temer.
With Rousseff to be suspended during the Senate trial for allegedly breaking budget rules, the centrist Temer will take the helm of a country that again finds itself mired in political and economic volatility after a recent decade of prosperity.
The 55-22 vote ends more than 13 years of rule by the left-wing Workers Party, which rose from Brazil's labor movement and helped pull millions of people out of poverty before seeing many of its leaders tainted by corruption investigations.
Fireworks rang out in cities across Brazil after the vote at the end of a 20-hour session in the Senate. Police briefly clashed with pro-Rousseff demonstrators in Brasilia during the vote, but the country was calm early Thursday, with scattered celebrants in São Paulo and other cities draping themselves in Brazil's green, yellow and blue flag.
Rousseff, a 68-year-old economist and former member of a Marxist guerrilla group who was the country's first woman president, is unlikely to be acquitted in a trial that could last as long as six months.
The scale of her defeat on Thursday showed the opposition already has the support it needs to reach a two-thirds majority required to convict Rousseff and remove her definitively from office.
"It is a bitter though necessary medicine," opposition Senator Jose Serra, tipped to become foreign minister under Temer, said during the marathon debate. "Having the Rousseff government continue would be a bigger tragedy. Brazil's situation would be unbearable."
Early Thursday, a Temer aide said the incoming government would announce a series of austerity measures to help reduce a massive budget deficit.
Temer plans to appoint Henrique Mereilles, a former central bank president and banking executive who is popular with foreign investors, as finance minister after taking office during the day, added the adviser.
Senate Speaker Renan Calheiros said Rousseff would be formally notified of her suspension on Thursday morning, after which she would leave Brasilia's Planalto presidential palace. As suspended head of state, she can continue to live in her official residence, have a staff and use an Air Force plane.
Rousseff, who has denied any wrongdoing and has called the impeachment process a "coup," was expected to make a brief statement, aides said. She would later address a rally of supporters accompanied by her mentor, Workers Party founder and former president Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva.
Rousseff dismissed her cabinet, including the sports minister, who is in final preparations for the Olympics in Rio de Janeiro in August, Brazil's Official Gazette showed. The central bank governor, who has ministerial rank, was not included in the decree.
Temer, 75, a constitutional scholar who spent decades in Brazil's Congress, now faces the challenge of restoring economic growth and calm at a time when Brazilians, increasingly polarized, are questioning whether their institutions can deliver on his promise of stability.
brazil impeachmentReuters/Ueslei Marcelino

'Crisis to crisis'

In addition to the gaping deficit, equal to more than 10 percent of its annual economic output, Brazil is suffering from rising unemployment, plummeting investment and a projected economic contraction of more than 3 percent this year.
"Only major reforms can keep Brazil from moving from crisis to crisis," says Eduardo Giannetti da Fonseca, an economist and author in São Paulo who has written extensively about the country's socioeconomic problems.
But those changes, including an overhaul of pension, tax and labor laws and a political reform to streamline fragmented parties in a mercenary Congress, could remain elusive at a time of turmoil.
While opposition supporters celebrated in the central Paulista Avenue of Brazil's largest city, Sao Paulo, many Brazilians are concerned that the end of Workers Party rule could bring back bad times for the poor, who have made great strides in the last decade.
And many Brazilians are unsure whether a new government will make much difference in the short term.
Maria Carmo, a 48-year-old hair stylist at a shop in central Brasilia, expressed serious doubts.
"I don't see anyone who has the capacity the lead us out of this complicated mess we're in - all the politicians are under investigation," said Carmo. "This crisis impacts everyone - poor, middle class, and I would even argue the rich given all the turbulence."

Wild cards

Rousseff's government made a last-ditch effort to annul her impeachment but it was rejected by the Supreme Court on Wednesday.
By dismissing her cabinet, Rousseff sought to frustrate a smooth transition for Temer. She views him as a traitor because of his efforts, as leader of the party that was her main ally in Congress, to unravel that coalition and force party colleagues to resign from government posts.
Temer plans to swear in new ministers on Thursday afternoon and is promising pro-market policies to bring the deficit under control, rein in inflation and get the economy growing again.
Brazilian markets have for weeks rallied as investors welcomed the likely dismissal of a president they believe crippled the economy, but were largely unchanged on Wednesday.
Wild cards remain for Temer himself, including still-pending investigations by an electoral court into financing for his and Rousseff's 2014 re-election campaign.
Then there is the far-reaching kickback probe around state-run oil company Petroleo Brasileiro SA, which has ensnared dozens of corporate and political chieftains and fueled the discontent that led to Rousseff's impeachment.
Rousseff, energy minister and chief of staff to her predecessor before taking office in 2011, was chairwoman of Petrobras at the time when much of the graft occurred.
She has not been accused of corruption, but the scandal at Petrobras encouraged opposition lawmakers to oust her for disguising the size of the government's budget deficit in the lead-up to her re-election.
Temer has not been accused of wrongdoing in the scandal either, but some of his allies and party colleagues have. Prosecutors say they are far from finished with the probe.    
Though many lawmakers have expressed their desire to join forces and get on with a recovery upon Rousseff's exit, dozens of parties are jockeying for power in the Temer government and angling to position themselves for new elections in 2018.
Temer has indicated he will not run for president in 2018. A recent survey from polling group Datafolha showed just 1 percent of those surveyed would vote for him, and other polls show around 60 percent of Brazilians want him impeached too.
"Temer may have a honeymoon, but let's not forget this was a shotgun wedding," said Mauricio Santoro, a political scientist at the State University of Rio de Janeiro. "Reforms aren't easy at the best of times and these are for sure not the easiest."
With the political crisis coming just as Brazil prepares for the August Olympics, Thomas Bach, president of the International Olympic Committee, said in a statement on Thursday:
"There is strong support for the Olympic Games in Brazil and we look forward to working with the new government."

(Additional reporting by Paulo Prada, Brad Brooks, Alonso Soto, Lisandra Paraguassy, Leonard Goy and Silvio Cascione; Writing by Paulo Prada and Daniel Flynn; Editing by Kieran Murray and Frances Kerry)

 

Read the original article on Reuters. Copyright 2016. Follow Reuters on Twitter.

Wednesday, May 11, 2016

Live Longer: Live Wild (Video)


Live Longer: Live Wild

2012 


Live Longer: Live Wild
In this documentary nature's "golden oldies" reveal new secrets for how to live longer. The animal kingdom has some long lived record breakers. Who holds the title for the oldest species on the planet and has been alive since the last ice age? Is it true that an animal that was discovered by Charles Darwin is still alive today? And if science can triple the lifespan of a fly can it do it for us?
Believe it or not some of it comes down to what we all do naturally - sex. It puts you on the planet and some aging scientists believe it's one of the biggest factors that determines the day you die. At the Institute for Ageing and Health in the UK, Professor Tom Kirkwood, a world's authority on the science of aging is trying to find out why?
The key to understanding the differences in the rate of aging, how long an animal lives, really have a lot to do with how that animal organizes its sex life. So for example if you're a shrew then you're producing lots of babies quite often, because in particular shrews live a very dangerous kind of life and they get eaten by predators very readily. Then you need a body that's geared towards making babies fast.
If you go the other end of the spectrum and imagine you're an elephant your reproduction takes much longer. You have fewer offspring and so you need a body that's not going to age so quickly. Elephants can afford to take their time when it comes to sex because they've evolved a different strategy. They have few natural predators and can live up to 70 years. Their lifespan may be longer but the purpose is the same, to pass on their genes. Sex evolved because of the need to pass genes whereas the body is disposable, but the question is "how long do you have?"

Tuesday, May 10, 2016

Lee Foundation, the legacy of giving


Mary and I are deeply saddened by the passing of Dr Lee Seng Gee today. Seng Gee was synonymous with the Lee Foundation, and grew the legacy of giving established by his father, Mr Lee Kong Chian. As Chairman of the Lee Rubber Group, and later Chairman and CEO of the Lee Group of businesses, Seng Gee led the companies to grow steadily over the years and contribute significantly to the Singapore economy.
Singapore has benefitted from Seng Gee’s lifelong contributions in the business and social sectors. Seng Gee was a strong supporter of various social causes, especially education, medicine, welfare for the underprivileged and the arts. Many of our universities have benefitted from generous contributions from the Lee Foundation that made quality university education more accessible to Singaporeans regardless of their family or financial background. Under Seng Gee’s leadership, the Lee Foundation made major contributions to the development of public amenities for the benefit of Singaporeans from all walks of life. The Lee Foundation was also a long-time supporter of national philanthropic movements including the President’s Challenge and the Community Chest.
Seng Gee’s spirit of perseverance, resilience and giving back to the society will continue to be an inspiration to Singaporeans across generations. Our thoughts and prayers are with his widow Della and his family.
TT

SolarCity is getting destroyed after earnings miss

SolarCity is getting destroyed after earnings miss

SolarCity is tumbling after reporting worse than expected earnings Monday. 
The renewable energy firm lost $2.56 a share in the first quarter, worse than the $2.31 per share loss expected by analysts. Revenues did beat, however, with $122.6 million generated against $110 million expected.
Guidance for the second quarter also came in light. SolarCity projects losses for the second quarter of $2.70 to $2.80 a share against expectations of just $2.13.
The company is notable for a few reasons. First off, it was founded by tech billionaire Elon Musk. Secondly, Jim Chanos of Kynikos Associates announced a short of the company during the summer of 2015. Chanos compared the company's leasing model to subprime lending, leading Musk to respond by buying up the stock.
Following the announcement, the stock is down nearly 18% in premarket-trading to $18.46 a share. The stock closed at $22.51 a share on Monday.
The stock was down 55% for 2016 before the after-hours drop Monday.
Screen Shot 2016 05 10 at 9.01.27 AMGoogle Finance

Chinese CPI has missed expectations

Chinese CPI has missed expectations

Chinese consumer price inflation rose less than expected in the 12 months to April, increasing 2.3%. The figure, below the 2.4% increase expected, saw the annual rate hold steady for a third consecutive month.
Continuing the pattern of past CPI reports, there was a sharp divergence between food and non-food inflation.
Led by an enormous 33.5% increase in pork prices, up from 28.4% in March, food prices increased by 7.4% from a year earlier, slowing fractionally from 7.6% pace reported previously.
At the other end of the spectrum, non-food inflation remained soft, increasing 1.1% from April 2016. It continued the pattern of the past 12 months where the annual figure has oscillated in a thin range between 0.9% to 1.2%. 
By region, prices in urban areas rose by 2.3%, outpaced by a 2.4% gain in rural regions.
On a month-by-month basis, prices fell by 0.2%, matching expectations. It followed a 0.4% contraction in March.
While the CPI figure was slightly below expectations, there was better news on upstream price pressures with producer price deflation coming in at 3.4%. The decrease, narrower than the 4.3% decline registered in March, was well ahead of expectations for a decrease of 3.8%.
The decrease in producer price deflation also marked the shallowest year-on-year decline since December 2014.
Fitting with the recent recovery in bulk commodity prices, at least until recent sessions, raw material prices fell by 7.7% from a year earlier, the smallest year-on-year decline registered in the past 12 months.
China CPI PPI April 20161Business Insider Australia
There has been next to no market reaction to the data release.
Read the original article on Business Insider Australia. Copyright 2016. Follow Business Insider Australia on Twitter.

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