Wednesday, February 10, 2016

US oil prices dive below US$27 a barrel

US oil prices dive below US$27 a barrel

[SINGAPORE] US crude tumbled below US$27 a barrel in Asia Thursday as the oversaturated market struggled to cope with high inventories in the United States and an increased output from Opec.
The decline came despite the weekly US Department of Energy report showing US oil stocks fell about 800,000 barrels for the week ending February 5, with traders seeing inventories still at high levels.
US benchmark West Texas Intermediate for March delivery was down 55 cents, or 2.0 per cent, at US$26.90 and Brent crude for April fell 32 cents, or 1.04 per cent, to US$30.52 a barrel at around 0215 GMT. WTI had dropped to US$26.85 earlier in the session.
On January 20, WTI fell to a low of $26.19 a barrel before closing at US$26.55 that same day, the lowest since May 2003.
"Given the falls that we have seen over the last three trading sessions, it is a little surprise to see such aggressive selling interest during our time zone," said Michael McCarthy, chief market analyst at CMC Markets in Australia.
"Given the short positions and the traders involved here, it is not impossible that this is an attempt to push it through the low and induce some technical selling," he said by telephone from Sydney.
Oil prices briefly rallied after the US commercial crude inventories report was released Wednesday.
However prices soon dropped back as traders took note of higher supplies of gasoline, a rise in stocks at the key Cushing, Oklahoma trading hub and a scant drop in oil production.
Analysts said sentiment was also marred by a report from the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries that showed the cartel's production rose by about 130,000 barrels a day in January.
The Opec report followed a bearish outlook released Tuesday by the International Energy Agency, which predicted the global oil surplus would be larger than previously expected in the first half of 2016.
AFP

Asia: Stocks fall as equities in Hong Kong, Seoul join selloff

Asia: Stocks fall as equities in Hong Kong, Seoul join selloff

[SINGAPORE] Asian stocks fell as markets in Hong Kong and Seoul joined a global selloff in their first day of trading this week.
The MSCI Asia Pacific Excluding Japan Index dropped 1.2 per cent to 367.19 as of 9.35am in Hong Kong. Markets in mainland China, Japan, Taiwan and Vietnam are closed for holidays. The Hang Seng Index slumped 4.1 per cent in Hong Kong, while South Korea's Kospi index tumbled 2.5 per cent. A gauge of worldwide equities slid 2.3 per cent in the first three days of the week amid concern about the outlook for the global economy and as oil extended its slide.
"We're seeing a contagion from what's been going on in the last three days in global markets," Tim Condon, head of Asian research at ING Groep NV in Singapore, said by phone. "This is the first day South Korea and Hong Kong are registering a sort of reaction to that. It's a huge down day. Financial markets are repricing for a global growth slowdown. Expectations that monetary policy would be able to do much have diminished considerably."  
Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen on Wednesday highlighted uncertainty over the pace of China's growth and the related rout in commodities, concerns that have roiled financial markets throughout the year and twice pushed global shares to the brink of a bear market.
Ms Yellen told Congress the Fed still expects to raise rates gradually while making it clear that continued market turmoil may alter its forecasts. Her dovish-sounding comments weren't enough to boost US equities.
The Hang Seng China Enterprises Index of mainland shares listed in Hong Kong slumped 5.1 per cent on Thursday.
The Kospi index is trading for the first time since North Korea launched a long-range rocket on Feb 7. South Korea is pulling out of an industrial complex jointly run with North Korea, taking aim at their last remaining symbol of economic cooperation to punish leader Kim Jong Un for a recent nuclear test and rocket launch.
Australia's S&P/ASX 200 Index added 0.2 per cent, after falling into a bear market on Wednesday when it plunged to its lowest level since July 2013. New Zealand's S&P/NZX 50 Index lost 0.4 per cent, while Singapore's Straits Times Index slipped 1 per cent.
Markets in mainland China, Taiwan and Vietnam remain closed for the rest of the week, while those in Japan will resume trading on Friday.
E-mini futures on the Standard & Poor's 500 Index fell 0.7 per cent after the underlying US equity benchmark index closed down less than 0.1 per cent on Wednesday, with gains of as much 1.6 per cent evaporating in the final hour of trading.
Crude oil futures fell below US$27 a barrel on Thursday after after dropping 15 per cent the previous five sessions.
BLOOMBERG

US dollar sinks in Asia as Fed boss dampens chance of rate hike

US dollar sinks in Asia as Fed boss dampens chance of rate hike

[SINGAPORE] The US dollar retreated across the board in Asia on Thursday after comments from Federal Reserve boss Janet Yellen on the weak global economy suggested the central bank will not hike interest rates any time soon.
The greenback also sank to late 2014 levels against the yen on the back of a flight to safe investments as markets from Asia to the Americas are buffeted by worries over the global outlook.
Testifying before Congress on Wednesday, Ms Yellen made no explicit comments on the Fed's rate plans but her warning that the US economy faced headwinds from overseas weakness was interpreted as a signal that no increase was in the offing in the immediate future.
In New York, the dollar fell to 113.40 yen from 115.14 yen the day before.
On Thursday it fell further, to 112.58 yen - its weakest rate since November 2014 after the Bank of Japan's surprise decision to ramp up its vast bond-buying scheme, effectively printing cash, to boost its economy.
The euro rose to US$1.1291 from US$1.1286 but it eased to 127.40 yen from 127.99 yen.
Fed policymakers in December raised interest rates for the first time in more than nine years and there had been speculation that further lifts would follow this year. But the turmoil that has ravaged markets since the start of January has thrown a spanner inthe works.
"The financial markets are absolutely convinced that the US Federal Reserve will not meet their hike cycle projections this year because market volatility and a rather soft patch of US data lately raised the risk of further rate tightening," said Bernard Aw, market strategist at IG Markets Singapore.
DBS Bank said the message from Yellen's remarks is that "the real economy looks OK but risks have risen".
"A Fed hike in March certainly seems off the cards," it added in a market commentary.
A rate increase would tend to encourage investors back to US assets for higher returns, boosting the greenback.
The greenback was also off against several emerging market currencies. The South Korean won added 0.1 per cent, the Indonesian rupiah gained 0.4 per cent and the Thai baht was up 0.3 per cent, while Malaysia's ringgit put on 0.3 per cent.
However, their gains were tempered by concerns about the global outlook, which has seen assets across all classes hammered as traders seek out safer investments such as the yen and gold.
AFP

The banker at centre of Swiss bank BSI, 1MDB relationship

The banker at centre of Swiss bank BSI, 1MDB relationship

[SINGAPORE] A private banker, caught up in Singapore's money laundering probe linked to 1Malaysia Development Bhd, was a key link between the embattled state investor, a Swiss private bank and a Malaysian businessman connected to the troubled fund.
Yak Yew Chee, a senior banker at Swiss-based BSI Singapore, has emerged for the first time as a key figure in Singapore's money laundering probe, according to documents released at Singapore High Court last week.
Mr Yak was not personally at the Singapore High Court on Friday, when he sought to unfreeze his Singapore funds to pay taxes and legal fees. His lawyer agreed to withdraw the petition after the prosecutor raised no objection in allowing Mr Yak to transfer S$1.76 million from his overseas bank accounts.
In an affidavit filed at the court, he denied any wrongdoing or getting unlawful benefits from managing the accounts of 1MDB or its affiliates.
Mr Yak handled the lucrative 1MDB account after he joined Swiss private bank BSI in Singapore in 2009, a person who worked with him at the bank said. He was on unpaid leave for five months last year while BSI investigated him for alleged misconduct related to client accounts, the court documents say, but did not disclose details of the internal probe. Mr Yak went back on BSI's payroll in October and was last paid his monthly salary of nearly S$83,000 on Jan 27, according to his court affidavit.
Singapore authorities are conducting a money laundering probe into bank accounts linked to 1MDB, whose activities have triggered legal action across three continents.
Some of the accounts Singapore is probing belong to Mr Yak and have been frozen together with S$9.7 million of his funds, according to the court documents, the first to emerge from Singapore's probe into 1MDB announced last July. Malaysia said in March 2015 that 1MDB had transferred US$1.1 billion from the Cayman Islands into BSI Singapore.
Mr Yak did not respond to Reuters request for comments. BSI declined to comment.
The court disclosures about the money transfers in Singapore linked to 1MDB are another hit to the Malaysian government's efforts to put a lid on the scandal-hit fund, which is chaired by Malaysian Prime Minister Najib Razak.
Malaysia's Attorney General last month cleared Najib of any wrong-doing in the case, and 1MDB has denied the graft and money-laundering allegations. But Switzerland's chief prosecutor said a criminal investigation into 1MDB had revealed that about US$4 billion appeared to have gone astray.
EYES ON ASIA
Mr Yak was among 100 Asia-based bankers who left rival RBS Coutts mostly from its Singapore office in late 2009 for BSI, lured by promises of hefty bonuses, three banking sources in Singapore said. It was then the biggest such defection in Asia's private banking sector, they said.
BSI was turning to Asia at that time amid concerns a wide-ranging US tax investigation into Swiss banks could weaken Switzerland's wealth management industry.
Mr Yak started with an annual salary of S$500,000. His clients included Brazen Sky Ltd, a financial vehicle owned by 1MDB which was holding US$1.1 billion worth of fund units in BSI Bank in Singapore, 1MDB says on its website.
The bank was making between US$15 million and US$20 million in fees from the Brazen Sky account, said a person familiar with the situation. Reuters could not independently confirm this.
Another client was Malaysian financier Low Taek Jho, court documents show. Jho Low, as he is more popularly known, was an adviser to Terengganu Investment Authority, which later became 1MDB, but he never had any position with 1MDB, the Malaysian fund said in a statement. Jho Low did not respond to Reuters request for comment.
Mr Yak said in his affidavit he believed the reason his bank accounts were seized was "due to ongoing investigations into Low Taek Jho". Singapore's Commercial Affairs Department declined to comment on whether Jho Low is under investigation.
ROCKETING BONUS
Mr Yak's career blossomed at BSI Singapore. "He was a big success and the way he brought in business was constantly showcased," one person who has worked with Mr Yak, told Reuters.
His bonus rocketed from S$649,294 in 2011 to S$10.44 million by 2014, according to his court affidavit.
BSI Singapore was also prospering. Its staff had grown to over 200 by end-2010 from 30 in 2009 to become the Swiss bank's biggest overseas subsidiary, the bank's annual report shows. In the 2014 annual report, BSI said its Singapore unit had almost doubled its net profit compared to 2013.
But the relationship between the banker and its star banker appeared to sour last year, the court documents show.
Mr Yak asserted in the court documents that the bank was trying to terminate him and deny him some of the S$8.8 million of bonus that he says has not yet been paid.
BSI declined to comment on any aspect of Mr Yak's case.
BSI has been put up for sale by its owner, investment bank BTG Pactual, which is rushing to sell assets to raise cash and shore up investor confidence following the arrest of its founder André Esteves in November.
REUTERS

Offshore yuan advances as data signal China supporting currency

Offshore yuan advances as data signal China supporting currency

[HONG KONG] The offshore yuan climbed to the strongest level in more than a month after data signaled that China's central bank is supporting the exchange rate.
The nation's foreign-exchange reserves shrank by US$99.5 billion to US$3.23 trillion in January as the central bank was seen intervening in both the onshore and offshore markets to slow the yuan's decline.
The contraction was less than a Bloomberg survey's median estimate of a US$120 billion drop amid speculation that the figures don't include the People's Bank of China's (PBOC) actions in the currency forwards and swaps markets.
The yuan traded in Hong Kong advanced 0.03 per cent to 6.5438 a US dollar as of 10:53 am on Thursday, data compiled by Bloomberg show.
It earlier rose to 6.5275, the strongest since Dec 23. China's onshore financial markets are closed this week for the Lunar New Year holiday.
"They don't need to burn down their reserves immediately as they can use the swaps market instead and use dollars as collateral," said Zhou Hao, an economist at Commerzbank AG in Singapore.
"The dollar's weakness over the past week is helping the offshore yuan."
The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index, a gauge of the greenback's strength against 10 major peers, declined 1 per cent this week as Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen said the US central bank may delay policy tightening.
Interpreting the smaller-than-estimated decline in China's foreign-exchange reserves doesn't give the complete picture, according to a Feb 7 note written by Sue Trinh, Hong Kong-based head of Asia foreign-exchange strategy at Royal Bank of Canada.
Action taken through forwards don't show up right away, while intervention conducted by commercial banks on behalf of the PBOC would only show up in headline reserves if those banks square their positions, she wrote.
Kyle Bass, the hedge fund manager who successfully bet against the US housing market, said China may be forced to print more than US$10 trillion of yuan to recapitalize banks in case of a bad loan crisis, pressuring the currency to decline more than 30 per cent against the dollar.
Should the Chinese banking system lose 10 per cent of its assets because of nonperforming loans, about US$3.5 trillion in equity will vanish, Mr Bass wrote in a letter to investors obtained by Bloomberg.
BLOOMBERG

US, South Korea, Japan boost data-sharing in response to North Korea threat

US, South Korea, Japan boost data-sharing in response to North Korea threat

[WASHINGTON] The top military officers from the United States, South Korea and Japan said they agreed at a meeting on Wednesday to step up information-sharing and coordination of security efforts in light of increasing North Korean nuclear and missile threats.
The three chiefs of defense issued a joint statement calling North Korea's fourth nuclear test on Jan 6 and Sunday's"long range missile launch" direct violations of UN resolutions and "serious provocations against the international community."
They said they agreed to firmly respond to Pyongyang's actions through "trilateral information sharing" and "to coordinate further on mutual security issues to enhance peace and stability in the region."
US Marine Corps General Joseph Dunford, chairman of the US Joint Chiefs of Staff, met in Pearl Harbour, Hawaii, with Admiral Katsutoshi Kawano, head of Japan's Self-Defence Forces, while Army General Lee Sun Jin, chairman of the South Korean Joint Chiefs of Staff, joined them by video teleconference.
It was the second meeting among the defence chiefs of the three countries since July 2014, said US Navy Captain Greg Hicks, Dunford's spokesman.
He said the discussions, which were first scheduled after Pyongyang's fourth nuclear test in January, underscored the three countries effort to better coordinate and share information, given North Korea's recent actions.
Captain Hicks said General Lee decided to stay in Seoul to "maintain readiness posture in the peninsula" after the recent actions.
The three officers agreed to meet again before the end of the year, and said they would look to increase participation in military exercises and other activities to deepen their security ties, a US official familiar with the situation said on Wednesday.
Sunday's launch, which followed Pyongyang's fourth nuclear bomb test on Jan 6, was condemned by the United States and countries around the world, which believe it was cover for development of ballistic missile technology.
The United States and South Korea immediately said they would begin formal talks about deploying the sophisticated US Terminal High Altitude Area Defense system, or THAAD, to the Korean peninsula "at the earliest possible date."
South Korea had in the past been reluctant to begin formal talks on the Lockheed Martin Corp missile defence system due to worries about upsetting China, its biggest trading partner, which believes it could reduce the effectiveness of its strategic deterrent.
North Korea says it has a sovereign right to pursue a space programme. But it is barred under UN Security Council resolutions from using ballistic missile technology.
REUTERS

'Brexit' vote is clouding UK's growth outlook, CBI says

'Brexit' vote is clouding UK's growth outlook, CBI says

[LONDON] Britain's economy could be thrown off track by the planned referendum on European Union membership, according to the country's biggest business lobby.
Household spending and business investment will continue driving the expansion in 2016, the Confederation for British Industry said on Thursday, though risks including the 'Brexit' referendum, weak productivity and global turmoil are darkening the outlook.
Alongside its comments, the CBI cut its 2016 growth forecast to 2.3 per cent from 2.6 per cent and lowered its 2017 projection to 2.1 per cent from 2.4 per cent.
"While there's little current evidence of uncertainty negatively affecting business investment ahead of the EU referendum, this is a potential risk to the UK's solid economic outlook," said Carolyn Fairbairn, director general of the CBI.
Bank of England officials say the buildup to the vote has yet to impact investment, but several surveys have shown business confidence is slipping.
Economists at Nomura said Tuesday that an exit from the EU could provoke a UK recession by aggravating existing structural issues such as the large current-account deficit.
The CBI made its position on the EU clear in October, when it published a report saying that the benefits of membership of the bloc outweigh the disadvantages.
BLOOMBERG

Australia's Commonwealth Bank shuts project advisory team

Australia's Commonwealth Bank shuts project advisory team

[SYDNEY] Commonwealth Bank of Australia has shut its Sydney-based project advisory team because of declining demand for its services, the bank told Reuters on Thursday.
Sources familiar with the situation said the move to shutter the five person team - headed by former Macquarie Capital and ANZ banking veteran Lloyd O'Harte - was unexpected.
The team was the financial adviser to Indian conglomerate Adani Enterprises' multibillion dollar Carmichael coal mine in Queensland until last August. A CBA spokeswoman said the group's resources were being allocated into the bank's broader specialised finance team.
REUTERS

Hong Kong: Hang Seng tumbles on reopening after CNY holidays

Hong Kong: Hang Seng tumbles on reopening after CNY holidays

HONG Kong shares took a tumble when the market reopened on Thursday after the Chinese New Year holiday season.
The benchmark Hang Seng index opened 4 per cent down at 9.30am, though it had recovered marginally to 18,617.73 points or 3.5 per cent down as at 9.46am.
With a flight from risk still roiling global markets, the decline in Hong Kong was in line with poor sentiments across Asian equities on Thursday morning.
Singapore's Straits Times Index had reopened 2.7 per cent down on Wednesday after its Chinese New Year break, though it ended up closing 1.6 per cent down. It also started Thursday one per cent lower from the previous session.
South Korea also reopened from holiday on Thursday with a 2.5 per cent drop.
Tokyo was closed on Thursday for a holiday.

728 X 90

336 x 280

300 X 250

320 X 100

300 X600