Sunday, January 17, 2016

Brent oil briefly falls below US$28 after Iran sanctions lifted

Brent oil briefly falls below US$28 after Iran sanctions lifted

[SINGAPORE] Brent crude briefly fell to fresh multi-year lows below US$28 a barrel in Asia on Monday on fears of a worsening supply glut after Western sanctions on Iran were lifted, allowing the country to resume oil exports.
Brent for March delivery tumbled to as low as US$27.67, or by 4.4 per cent from Friday's close, before rebounding to trade at above US$28. The last time Brent closed below US$28 was in November 2003.
At around 0145 GMT, Brent was trading 43 cents, or 1.49 per cent, lower at 28.51. US benchmark West Texas Intermediate for delivery in February was down 35 cents, or 1.19 per cent, at US$29.07 a barrel.
"The drop was due to the Western sanctions on Iran being lifted. This means we will be seeing a bigger oil glut with Iranian crude exports coming back to the market," said Phillip Futures analyst Daniel Ang.
The United States and the European Union lifted the sanctions on Sunday after the UN's atomic watchdog confirmed that Iran had complied with its obligations under a landmark deal last year to curb Tehran's nuclear programme.
AFP

Oil slides to lowest since 2003 as Iran sanctions lifted

Oil slides to lowest since 2003 as Iran sanctions lifted

[TOKYO] Brent and US crude futures fell to the lowest since 2003 in Asian trading on Monday as the market braced for a jump in Iranian oil exports following the lifting of the sanctions at the weekend.
Iran is ready to increase its crude exports by 500,000 barrels a day, the deputy oil minister said on Sunday, hours after international sanctions on Tehran were lifted, removing an obstacle to exports.
London Brent crude for March delivery was down US$1.14 at US$27.80 a barrel by 2333 GMT, after touching an intraday low of US$27.70 earlier, the lowest since Nov 25, 2003.
NYMEX crude for February delivery was down 86 cents at US$28.56 a barrel, after falling more than US$1 earlier to US$28.36, the lowest since Oct 30, 2003.
Wall Street bled on Friday, with the S&P 500 sinking to its lowest since October 2014 as oil prices sank below US$30 per barrel and fears grew about economic trouble in China.
The safe-haven yen got off to a flying start on Monday, while the Australian dollar, usually sold off in times of market stress, stayed under pressure as Asian equities geared up for a torrid session following a big selloff on Wall Street.
REUTERS

Singapore's inflation expectations hit new low at 2.74% in Dec: SMU survey

Singapore's inflation expectations hit new low at 2.74% in Dec: SMU survey

MULTIPLE challenges seen in the global world economy have driven expectations of inflation here to their lowest ever, with the median expectations for prices surveyed in the fourth quarter of 2015 for the year ahead coming in at 2.74 per cent.
This is significantly lower than the 2.92 per cent registered in the third quarter of 2015. It is also lower than the historical median headline inflation expectations average of 3.69 per cent and the more recent fourth quarter average of 2.99 per cent.
Median expectations for core inflation, which excludes accommodation and private transportation costs, also hit their lowest levels ever, coming in at 2.85 per cent in December 2015.
These findings were published in a Singapore Index of Inflation Expectations (SInDEx) survey by Singapore Management University (SMU) on Monday morning.
"The slowing down of four of the five BRICS (Brazil, Russia, India, China, South Africa) countries exacerbated by the turmoil in Chinese equity market and continued weakness in global demand led the World Bank group to moderate the world growth forecast downwards to 2.9 per cent in its 2016 Global Economic Prospects," noted SMU.
Coupled with low oil and commodity prices, they have forced inflation expectations to plummet to their lowest level since the survey's inception in September 2011.
The SInDEx is derived from an online survey of around 500 randomly selected individuals representing a cross section of Singapore households. The online survey helps researchers understand the behaviour and sentiments of decision makers in Singapore households.

Richest 62 people own same as half world's population: Oxfam

Richest 62 people own same as half world's population: Oxfam

[LONDON] The wealthiest 62 people now own as much as half the world's population, some 3.5 billion people, as the super-rich have grown richer and the poor poorer, an international charity said on Monday.
The wealth of the richest 62 people has risen by 44 per cent since 2010, while the wealth of the poorest 3.5 billion fell 41 per cent, Oxfam said in a report released ahead of the World Economic Forum's annual meeting in Davos, Switzerland.
Almost half the super-rich individuals are from the United States, 17 from Europe, and the rest from countries including China, Brazil, Mexico, Japan and Saudi Arabia. "World leaders' concern about the escalating inequality crisis has so far not translated into concrete action - the world has become a much more unequal place and the trend is accelerating," Oxfam International's executive director, Winnie Byanima, said in a statement accompanying the report. "We cannot continue to allow hundreds of millions of people to go hungry while resources that could be used to help them are sucked up by those at the top," Byanima added.
About US$7.6 trillion of individuals' wealth sits in offshore tax havens, and if tax were paid on the income that this wealth generates, an extra US$190 billion would be available to governments every year, Gabriel Zucman, assistant professor at University of California, Berkeley, has estimated.
As much as 30 per cent of all African financial wealth is held offshore, costing about US$14 billion in lost tax revenues every year, Oxfam said, referring to Zucman's work.
This is enough money to pay for healthcare that could save 4 million children's lives a year, and employ enough teachers to get every African child into school, Oxfam said in its report. "Multinational companies and wealthy elites are playing by different rules to everyone else, refusing to pay the taxes that society needs to function. The fact that 188 of 201 leading companies have a presence in at least one tax haven shows it is time to act," Byanima said.
Ensuring governments collect the taxes they are owed by companies and rich individuals will be vital if world leaders are to meet their goal to eliminate extreme poverty by 2030, one of 17 Sustainable Development Goals set in September, Oxfam said.
The number of people living in extreme poverty has fallen by 650 million since 1981, even though the global population grew by 2 billion in that time, according to the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD).
Much of this change has been because of the rise of China, which alone accounted for half a billion people moving out of extreme poverty.
Most of the world's poorest no longer live in the poorest countries, but in middle-income countries like India, the OECD said in a recent report.
The inequalities are partly to do with differences in income, especially between urban and rural areas, but also differences in access to healthcare, education and jobs, the OECD said. "The figures suggest that the biggest causes of poverty are ... political, economic and social marginalisation of particular groups in countries that are otherwise doing quite well,"development economist Owen Barder is quoted as saying in the OECD report.
Barder is director for Europe at the Center for Global Development.
Although taxes and transfers help reduce income inequality in developed countries, these systems are less robust in many developing countries, according to the OECD.
An exception is Brazil, which makes payments to more than 13.3 million poor families on condition they enrol children in school and take part in health programmes. "That has helped to reduce rates of both child poverty as well as inequality," the OECD report said.
REUTERS

Quick take: Challenging year ahead for Singapore exports, says ANZ

Quick take: Challenging year ahead for Singapore exports, says ANZ

By
SINGAPORE'S non-oil domestic exports (NODX) declined by 7.2 per cent year-on-year in December 2015 to S$12.85 billion, after the 3.4 per cent decrease in the previous month, due to a contraction in both the electronic and non-electronic segments.
NODX to all of the top 10 NODX markets, except the US, Japan and Hong Kong, contracted in December 2015. The top contributors to the NODX decline in December 2015 were China (-18.7 per cent), South Korea (-25.8 per cent) and Taiwan (-17.1 per cent).
Here are some comments by Weiwen Ng, economist at ANZ Research:
"For Singapore, any positive impetus from the trade channel will be marginal. Still, with the secular shift towards services in both the US and China, Singapore must adapt and leverage on the rising tide of services trade.
"Merchandise trade growth will be subdued in 2016 owing to slower extension of global value chain expansion, in addition to the growth moderation that accompanies the rebalancing towards more consumption and services-led growth in China.
"In a global environment, particularly amid declining import intensity in key major trading partners such as the US and China, there is likely to be little boost to trade from Asian currency depreciation to date. Furthermore, the reconfiguration of the regional supply chain - with China embracing vertical integration - could be trade negative.''

Singapore non-oil domestic exports continue decline in Dec

Singapore non-oil domestic exports continue decline in Dec

By
SINGAPORE'S non-oil domestic exports (NODX) declined by 7.2 per cent year-on-year in December 2015 to S$12.85 billion, after the 3.4 per cent decrease in the previous month, due to a contraction in both the electronic and non-electronic segments.
Total trade contracted by 8.4 per cent year-on-year in December to S$71.54 billion compared with a year ago following the 6.8 per cent decline in the previous month. Total exports fell by 6.4 per cent in December to S$38.35 billion, following the 7.6 per cent contraction in the previous month.
According to IE Singapore on Monday, electronic NODX declined by 0.3 per cent in December, in contrast to the 0.6 per cent growth in the previous month. The contraction was largely due to integrated circuits (-11.3 per cent), parts of personal computers (-13.0 per cent) and disk drives (-22.0 per cent).
Non-electronic NODX contracted by 10.3 per cent in December following the 5.1 per cent decline in the previous month. The drop was by petrochemicals (-17.5 per cent), primary chemicals (-41.8 per cent) and civil engineering equipment parts (-43.5 per cent).
NODX to all of the top 10 NODX markets, except the US, Japan and Hong Kong, contracted in December 2015. The top contributors to the NODX decline in December 2015 were China, South Korea and Taiwan.
NODX to China declined by 18.7 per cent in December 2015, following the previous month's decrease of 9.1 per cent, led by petrochemicals (-34.6 per cent), primary chemicals (-59.6 per cent) and civil engineering equipment parts (-84.9 per cent).
NODX to South Korea contracted by 25.8 per cent in December 2015, compared to the 0.5 per cent growth in the preceding month, due to specialised machinery (-71.4 per cent), PCs (-54.6 per cent) and medical apparatus (-94.7 per cent).
NODX to Taiwan decreased by 17.1 per cent in December 2015, after the 3.7 per cent contraction in the preceding month, due to ICs (-40.8 per cent), measuring instruments (-57.2 per cent) and petrochemicals (-27.7 per cent).
NODX to emerging markets contracted by 10.0 per cent in December, led by Latin America (-67.4 per cent), the Middle East (-16.8 per cent) and the Caribbean (-69.9 per cent).

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