Thursday, December 10, 2015

Islamic State oil is going to Assad, some to Turkey: US official

Islamic State oil is going to Assad, some to Turkey: US official

[LONDON] Islamic State militants have made more than US$500 million trading oil with significant volumes sold to the government of Syrian President Bashar al-Assad and some finding its way to Turkey, a senior US Treasury official said on Thursday.
The United States, France, Britain and Russia have vowed to defeat Islamic State, which uses an extreme interpretation of Islam to justify attacks and brutality in large parts of Syria and Iraq that it controls.
A US-led coalition is bombing the hardline Sunni group, as is Assad's only big-power supporter Russia, in an attempt to kill its leaders and cripple the oil wells which the group uses to finance its rule and attacks abroad.
In one of the most detailed public explanations of Islamic State's oil trade, US Treasury Department official Adam Szubin said militants were selling as much as US$40 million a month of oil at the installations which was then spirited on trucks across the battlelines of the Syrian civil war and sometimes further.
"ISIL is selling a great deal of oil to the Assad regime," Mr Szubin, acting under secretary for Terrorism and Financial Intelligence with the Treasury, told an audience at Chatham House in London. "The two are trying to slaughter each other and they are still engaged in millions and millions of dollars of trade," Mr Szubin said of Assad's government and Islamic State, also known as ISIS or ISIL.
The "far greater amount" of Islamic State oil ends up under Assad's control while some is consumed internally in Islamic State-controlled areas. Some ends up in Kurdish regions and some in Turkey, he said.
"Some is coming across the border into Turkey," Mr Szubin said when asked for details on the money trail. "Our sense is that ISIL is taking its profits basically at the wellhead and so while you do have ISIL oil ending up in a variety of different places that's not really the pressure we want when it comes to stemming the flow of funding - it really comes down to taking down their infrastructure," he said.
Mr Szubin said it was unclear whether the US$40 million a month estimate could be multiplied over a year. But in remarks prepared for delivery, he said Islamic State had made more than US$500 million from the oil trade, but did not give a more specific time period.
'SECURE THE TURKISH BORDER'
After Turkey downed a Russian fighter jet last month, Russian President Vladimir Putin said he had intelligence that large amounts of oil and petroleum products were moving across the border from Islamic State territories to Turkey.
The son of Turkish President Tayyip Erdogan has denied Russian allegations that he and his family were profiting from the illegal smuggling of oil from Islamic State-held territory.
"There is no question that better security, closing the Turkish border to flows is a key component right now and we are looking to the Turks to do more in that respect," Mr Szubin said. "It's not just a financial issue - it is about foreign terrorist flows, it's about weapons and it's about financing. I think securing that border would pay major dividends in terms of intensifying the pressure and also reducing the threat."
In an attempt to cut militants' links to the global financial system, Mr Szubin said the United States had worked with Iraq to close down dozens of bank branches in Islamic State-held territories. Mr Szubin said militants had looted up to US$1 billion from bank vaults in Syria and Iraq, but he said Islamic State's oil trade was the main target.
Islamic State militants claimed responsibility for a Nov 13 attack on Paris that killed 130 people and the Oct 31 downing of a Russian passenger aircraft over Egypt's Sinai region that killed 224.
They promise more attacks on the West and Russia and have claimed that U.S.-born Syed Rizwan Farook and his Pakistani wife Tashfeen Malik who killed 14 people in a mass shooting in Southern California last week were its followers.
IRAN BANKING
Mr Szubin sought to soothe concerns about US reaction to what is expected to be a boom in trade with Iran when Western sanctions are lifted as part of a nuclear deal between Tehran and six world powers reached earlier this year.
Many Western companies, including European ones, remain concerned about initiating trade with Iran fearing they could still fall foul of the complex layers of sanctions and potentially face fines or be cut off from the US financial system.
Mr Szubin acknowledged there would be a great deal of "caution and hesitancy" by international banks initially.
In 2014, the United States imposed a record fine on French bank BNP Paribas, which agreed to pay almost US$9 billion to resolve accusations it violated US sanctions against Sudan, Cuba and Iran.
Without naming any banks, Mr Szubin said there had been some "very bad conduct" going on in the Western banking system in the mid-2000s and before. "That conduct by and large stopped in 2007, 2008... we haven't seen reputable European banks doing this for close to a decade now," he said.
"If banks are being honest and accurate in describing what they are doing and there's an accidental payment that goes through the US payment system that shouldn't, we are not going to look at the penalty cases, these massive enforcement cases."
He said once global sanctions were lifted, all non-US companies would be able to invest in Iran and trade oil with Iran, though accompanying US sanctions on Iran for supporting terrorism would remain.
REUTERS

IS finance chief confirmed killed in air strike: US

IS finance chief confirmed killed in air strike: US

[WASHINGTON] The Islamic State group's finance chief has been confirmed killed in a coalition air strike last month, US officials said on Thursday.
Abu Saleh was killed in late November, US military spokesman Colonel Steve Warren said in a videoconference from Baghdad, calling him "one of the most senior and experienced members" of the group's financial network.
The US government's envoy for the anti-IS fight, Brett McGurk, said on Twitter that Abu Saleh was killed along with two associates "as part of coalition campaign to destroy ISIL's financial infrastructure," describing him as the group's "finance minister." Abu Saleh's real name is Muwaffaq Mustafa Muhammad al-Karmush, described in a State Department terrorist blacklist as a 42-year-old Iraqi.
"Killing him and his predecessors exhausts the knowledge and talent needed to coordinate funding within the organization," Mr rWarren said.
The military spokesmen said two other figures in IS fundraising networks also were killed in coalition air strikes in late November.
They were identified as Abu Mariam, an enforcer and senior leader in IS extortion networks, and Abu Waqman al-Tunis, who Warren said coordinated IS's transfer of people, weapons and information.
Abu Mariam appears on the State Department terrorist list as Mounir Ben Dhaou Ben Brahim Ben Helal, a 32-year-old Tunisian.
The US-led coalition has been targeting IS leaders in Syria and Iraq with air strikes to try to pick apart its command structure.
After the attacks in Paris last month, the United States said it is deploying a special operations unit in Iraq that will be able to mount raids into Syria to capture or kill IS leaders.
"We want this expeditionary targeting force to make ISIL and its leaders wonder when they go to bed at night, who's going to be coming in the window," US Defence Secretary Ashton Carter told a Senate hearing on Wednesday.
In London, the US Treasury's acting under secretary for terrorism and financial crimes, Adam Szubin, said IS derives most of its funding from economic activity in the territory it controls.
It has reaped more than US$500 million in black market oil sales, looted bank vaults captured in Iraq and Syria, and raised millions more through extortion.
But to run what amounts to a mini-state, it needs steady and renewable sources of funding, and to do that it needs access to the international financial system to move money and import supplies, according to Szubin.
"We are targeting both of these dependencies - ISIL's ability to generate revenue, and its ability to use that revenue," he said in a speech to the Chatham House think tank.
"Most recently, the coalition launched a military campaign - Tidal Wave 2 - which included precision strikes against ISIL's key energy assets: oil fields, refineries, and tanker trucks.
"We believe these airstrikes are markedly degrading one of ISIL's most important sources of funding," he said.
AFP

'Internet economy' is 6% of US GDP: study

'Internet economy' is 6% of US GDP: study

[WASHINGTON] The Internet's economic impact has doubled since 2007 and now fuels at least six percent of the overall US economy, a study showed Thursday.
The study for the Internet Association - which includes major companies such as Facebook and Amazon - found the online sector accounted for US$966 billion in economic activity in 2014, and some three million jobs.
"The Internet often has an 'everywhere but nowhere' feel, however, in reality, jobs in the Internet sector have doubled, contributions to real GDP (gross domestic product) have increased by more than two-fold, and employee wages far surpass the national average," said Michael Beckerman, president and chief executive of the trade group.
The study conducted by the consulting firm Economists Incorporated found the Internet produced more than many other economic sectors including construction, computer and electronic products, broadcasting and telecommunications, and accommodation and food services.
In terms of wages, Internet jobs paid an average US$79,184 a year, compared to the national average of US$61,547, the study found.
According to the report, about 299 million people, or 92 per cent of the US population, are using the Internet.
The association includes more than two dozen Internet firms including Airbnb, Amazon, Facebook, Twitter, Uber, Yahoo and Yelp.
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Canada 'alert' against terror threats to major cities

Canada 'alert' against terror threats to major cities

[OTTAWA] Canada is "vigilant" and "alert" to terrorist threats after warnings of possible plots against its major cities linked to the Islamic State extremist group, the public safety minister said on Thursday.
But Ralph Goodale told reporters outside parliament: "To this moment there is nothing new or different that would affect the security situation in Canada. There is no change in the status of the alerts.
"There is no new information reported to me that would change the circumstances. If there is something new we would obviously let Canadians know immediately and we will take the appropriate steps."
It came after authorities in Geneva launched a manhunt for several suspected jihadists believed to have links to the Islamic State group and who threatened attacks there and in North America.
The cities of Geneva, Chicago and Toronto were listed as possible targets in a police document seen by Swiss journalists.
Canada's security alert level has remained at medium since an Islamist gunman shot dead a ceremonial guard in Ottawa and then stormed parliament, and another solider was killed in rural Quebec in October 2014.
AFP

They Chose China (Video)

They Chose China

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They Chose ChinaOscar nominated filmmaker Shuibo Wang aims his camera at the astonishing story of 21 American POWs who, after the Korean War ended, chose to live in China instead of returning the USA.
Using rare archival footage, excerpts from American and Chinese TV programs, as well as period and contemporary interviews, They Chose China chronicles the fascinating history of this group of young Americans who were hailed in China as "peace fighters" and denounced in America as "turncoats" and "traitors."
U.S. media claimed that these young POW's had been "brainwashed" by the Chinese communists. The film shows conditions inside these Chinese camps, featuring never-before-seen footage, plus contemporary interviews with some of the camps' Chinese translators, instructors, lecturers, and officers.
Watch the full documentary now

Police have raided the alleged 'founder' of Bitcoin Paul Szoldra Dec. 9, 2015, 11:43 AM 5,564

Police have raided the alleged 'founder' of Bitcoin

Australian Federal Police officers walk down the driveway after searching the home of probable creator of cryptocurrency bitcoin Craig Steven Wright in Sydney's north shore December 9, 2015.ReutersAustralian Federal Police officers walk down the driveway after searching the home of probable creator of cryptocurrency bitcoin Craig Steven Wright in Sydney's north shore December 9, 2015.
The home and offices of the mysterious person believed to be the founder of Bitcoin have been raided by Australian police.
Nearly a dozen police officers were spotted entering the Sydney home belonging to 44-year-old Craig Steven Wright on Wednesday, The Guardianreported.
His offices were also raided,according to Reuters' Jane Wardell.
Wright, a technology entrepreneur and IT security consultant, is the man Wired Magazine and Gizmodo reported on Tuesday as most likely being behind the pseudonym of Satoshi Nakomoto, the mysterious creator of Bitcoin.
"Either Wright invented Bitcoin, or he’s a brilliant hoaxer who very badly wants us to believe he did," Andy Greenberg and Gwern Branwen wrote at Wired.
Australian authorities have denied the raids have anything to do with the cryptocurrency, of which more than 1 million Bitcoins are in the possession of its founder. If Wright truly is Satoshi Nakamoto, that means he's sitting on a $415 millionfortune.
“The Australian Federal Police can confirm it has conducted search warrants to assist the Australian Taxation Office at a residence in Gordon [a suburb in Sydney’s north] and a business premises in Ryde, Sydney,” the police told The Telegraph in a statement. “This matter is unrelated to recent media reporting regarding the digital currency Bitcoin.”
The raid is apparently due to a tax dispute between the Australian Tax Office and Wright's former company, Hotwire Preemptive Intelligence. The company planned to launch a Bitcoin-based bank but ran out of cash in 2014. On Hotwire's tax return that year, it claimed $3.4 million in tax credits, which the ATO is now disputing, BI Australia reported.
"The ATO has disputed the validity of the amounts claimed and has levied a penalty on Hotwire of $1,716,608.00 in respect of the lodgement," wrote  McGrath Nicol, the administrators now in charge of Hotwire. "We understand that the Directors dispute the position adopted by the ATO."
bitcoinGeorge Frey/Getty ImagesA pile of Bitcoins are shown here after Software engineer Mike Caldwell minted them in his shop on April 26, 2013 in Sandy, Utah. Bitcoin is an experimental digital currency used over the Internet that is gaining in popularity worldwide
Who is behind the cryptocurrency that has exploded in popularity since its launch in 2009 has been a source of investigation among enthusiasts and media outlets alike for quite some time. Most notably a California man named Dorian Satoshi Nakamoto was outed as its creatorby Newsweek in 2014, a claim he has "unconditionally" denied.
According to the Wired report, an anonymous source leaked documents to Branwen in November, which include a number of blog posts, emails, transcripts, and accounting forms that corrobate at least a substantial link between Wright and the creation of Bitcoin.
In one now-deleted blog posted right before Bitcoin went live in Jan. 2009, Wright apparently wrote, "The Beta of Bitcoin is live tomorrow. This is decentralized... We try until it works."
Interestingly, Wired was not the only publication on the trail. Gizmodo also received a cache of leaked documents and published a competing report on Tuesday, which apparently links Wright and his now-deceased friend Dave Kleiman to the creation of Bitcoin.
"I hacked Satoshi Naklamoto [sic]," an anonymous emailer wrote in their first message to Gizmodo. "These files are all from his business account. The person is Dr Craig Wright."

Finland’s basic income experiment – can it work? By Donald Armbrecht Dec 10 2015

Finland’s basic income experiment – can it work?

Finland has become the latest country to propose a basic income for all. If put into practice, the scheme would eventually see all Finnish citizens receiving an 800 euro stipend, per month, tax-free.
How it would work
Social benefit systems are complex and more often than not bureaucratic. The Finnish proposal, and others like it, seek to simplify those expenses by doing away with complex benefit systems. The Finnish proposal, slated to be finalized in 2016, will first be rolled out as a hybrid programme in 2017, offering 550 euros a month while maintaining some social services. A recent poll showed that the proposal has overwhelming support at home, with 69% of Finns agreeing with the plan.
Finland has an incentive to consider the alternative. The country has an unemployment rate of roughly 9.5%. In 2014, the OECD Social Expenditure Database showed that Finland had the second highest public social expenditure as a percent of GDP. OECD-social-spending-as-a-share-of-GDP
Not the first
Finland’s proposal of offering citizens a basic income is not the first. The Dutch city of Utrecht is preparing to experiment with a similar scheme in January 2016. While some have criticized the plan, saying it will simply discourage the unemployed from looking for work, Nienke Horst, a project manager for the Utrecht city government,told Quartz that “we think that more people will be a little bit happier and find a job anyway”.
Switzerland is also preparing for a nation-wide referendum, which, if approved, would see every Swiss citizen entitled to 2,500 Swiss francs per month.
Would it work?
The major criticism of a basic wage is its enormous cost. As Bloomberg pointed out, giving every Finn 800 euros a month would cost the government 52.2 billion euros a year, while the government’s projected revenue for 2016 is 49.1 billion euros. That number, however, can be misleading. Not every Finn is an adult of working age, and the rich, while entitled to the stipend, would still be subject to their regular taxation rates. The main incentive for a basic wage remains that a large portion of the cost would be offset by ending other costly social programmes.
History is also undecided
Historical evidence suggests that the scheme could be beneficial, or not.
The Canadian town of Dauphin experimented with a stipend programme from 1974 to 1979. It is true that a drop in working hours occurred, but there was also an increase in the time men spent in education and the amount of maternity leave women took.
A Ugandan scheme for the unemployed also resulted in an increase of workng hours by 17% while earnings increased by 38%.
In the United States, however, the 1968 negative tax experiment came to a different conclusion. A negative income tax could not provide an income benefit comparable to welfare and create incentive for work “as long as the median income remains within striking distance of the poverty line”. It should be noted that the American plan was different from Finland’s proposal in that it was only intended for the poor.
Author: Donald Armbrecht is a freelance writer and social media producer.
Image: A teller counts euro banknotes. REUTERS/John Kolesidis  

Lessons from the richest man who ever lived ( By Peter Vanham Dec 10 2015 )

Lessons from the richest man who ever lived

He lived at the same time as Christopher Columbus, Martin Luther, and Cesare Borgia. He was the personal banker of two Holy Roman Emperors. But most of all, he was the richest man of his time, and one of the richest men who ever lived, owning some 2 per cent of the known world’s GDP.
What are the lessons to learn from Jakob Fugger, the 16th century German banker? In “The Richest Man Who Ever Lived”, author Greg Steinmetz describes the factors that led to Fugger’s success. Some of them are still useful for those seeking to get ahead today.
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  1. He got international experience at an early age
Fugger, born and raised in Augsburg, Germany, left his home before he was even 18 to do an apprenticeship in Venice, Italy. It taught him skills, such as accounting, a new language, Italian, and gave him a good network at an early age, as Venice in the late 15th century was the world centre of trade and finance.
What we can learn from it today: learning languages, going abroad, completing internships… These are elements that still count in today’s working world.
  1. He was meticulous about accounting
At a time when most of his competitors kept sloppy books if any at all, Fugger kept detailed accounts of his bank’s operations in the form of double bookkeeping. That was a novelty for the time. His bank had branches in a few dozen cities across Europe, and he made all of them submit a year-end balance, so he could himself compile a single statement showing all of his company’s assets and liabilities. It gave him a competitive edge, as he knew much better than others whether or not he could afford to give loans and at which conditions.
What we can learn from it today: Keep track of your personal finances. How many people forget to save or invest in their twenties, ending up with regrets later? Accounting discipline can give you an edge both in work and in life.
  1. He took a risk when no one else would
As a young banker, Fugger had little to offer over his competitors. But when the Archduke of Austria, Sigmund, desperately needed a loan, Fugger decided to offer it when no other banker would. Sigmund was known for squandering his money on women and feasts, and thus wasn’t exactly trustworthy. But he was creditworthy: after all, he was the Archduke. In return for the loan, Fugger sought and obtained control over the silver mine Sigmund owned. It paid off handsomely: with his disciplined approach, he made the mine into a profitable affair and catapulted himself to the Major League of German bankers.
What we can learn from it today: Dare to invest in your career at some point in your life, if you believe in your capacities and your ability to pay yourself back.
  1. He was loyal – but not foolish – and dared to push back
Fugger built his success on his lifelong alliance with the House of Habsburg and its members. First he lent money to Sigmund of Habsburg, then to Maximilian, Holy Roman Emperor, and finally to Charles V, the most powerful head of state of the Renaissance. He provided them with loans when they needed them, and in turn became their most prominent banker. In the end, he managed to make himself indispensable to them, becoming quite literally the Kingmaker of the Holy Roman Empire. But he wasn’t foolish or blind about the partnership: throughout, he made sure to demand fair returns and collateral, and he didn’t hesitate to use a plan B if he felt he might get exploited or get left out. He made sure he was always in control.
What we can learn from it: Look for a mentor, CEO or other senior person who can help you progress in your career and in turn pay back with loyalty. But make sure you never get taken advantage of, either. It has to be a genuinely win-win situation.
  1. He spent the first half of his career making money and the second half trying to keep it
Until he was about 40, Fugger was a bold, daring business man. He negotiated high-risk, high-return loans, aggressively expanded his bank network from Germany to all parts of the known world (including an office in Mexico), and made bets on the rise of individuals and their prevailing in European wars. It made him into the richest man of his time, and perhaps of all times. In the second half of his life, however, he took a more cautious approach. He still averaged some 7 per cent return per year with his investments, but that was considerably less than the multiple he had on some previous ventures. He focused on preserving wealth and influence, and in the end, on his succession.
What can we learn from it: Your thirties are really the time to make fast progress in your career. Your twenties you can invest in yourself, your thirties should get you on the fast track to where you stay in your fourties, and from then on you build a legacy. That is still very much true today.
Fugger’s story has many more lessons, even if all can’t be replicated today: after all, we don’t live in Renaissance Europe. But despite those caveats, Fugger’s story does have valuable lessons to learn. Applying them might not make you the richest man who ever lived; but turning to history could still help you to get ahead.
The Richest Man Who Ever Lived: The Life and Times of Jakob Fugger, Greg Steinmetz, 304 pages, Simon & Schuster, is on sale in bookstores and on Amazon
Author: Peter Vanham, Senior Media Manager, World Economic Forum
Image: A businessman walks past pillars in Tokyo. REUTERS/Yuriko Nakao

China property firms' debt issuance jumps, more to come

China property firms' debt issuance jumps, more to come

[HONG KONG] China's real estate companies have sharply increased the amount of funds raised from debt so far this year compared with 2014 as borrowing costs hit historical lows, and they are planning to borrow more.
Property developers have raised 495 billion yuan (S$107.9 billion) from domestic Chinese bonds, almost double 2014 levels, Barclays Capital estimates.
Goldman Sachs suggests property companies have issued more than 400 billion yuan in domestic bonds, over seven times total issuance in 2014. It uses a different set of companies as the basis of its estimate. "Conditions are great for these developers who should take this opportunity to strengthen their balance sheets and deleverage in a disciplined manner, rather than leverage up,"said Dhiraj Bajaj, a fund manager at asset and wealth manager Lombard Odier Singapore.
After tightening regulations in recent years to dampen a hot property market, regulators have moved this year to make it easier for developers to raise debt in the hope a lift for the real estate market will boost the wider economy.
The property sector drives about 15 per cent of gross domestic product and could help support an economy that many analysts predict will grow this year at its slowest pace in more than two decades.
Historically low interest rates are helping to fuel the rush. The central bank has cut its benchmark interest rates six times since November by 1.65 per centage points and reduced banks' reserve requirements three times this year.
The average coupon of the domestic bond of rated developers was around 5.14 per cent, almost 3 percentage points lower than comparable offshore senior notes.
About a dozen Hong Kong-listed Chinese developers, including Evergrande Real Estate Group, Country Garden , Dalian Wanda Commercial Properties and Shimao Property Holdings have added fuel to the fund raising. Since late May, they have sold bonds worth around 150 billion yuan, thanks to the re-opening of the medium-term note market to Hong Kong real estate issuers.
Under Chinese regulations, domestic developers can issue bonds equivalent to 80 per cent of the company's book value. Major developers including Evergrande, Sunac China Holdings , Greentown China Holdings and Country Garden have almost used up their quotas for this year.
Evergrande, which has raised more than US$7 billion this year, is expected to come to the market again soon to support an aggressive land acquisition strategy, analysts said. Evergrande declined to comment.
An offshore unit of Country Garden might issue a so-called panda bond - a yuan-denominated bond issued by a non-Chinese entity - the company said.
The companies that use up their domestic quotas for issuing bonds may well move their fund raising efforts offshore next year where borrowing rates are relatively low as well. Equally, Chinese banks are likely to be more relaxed about lending to property firms as restrictions on the sector relax, analysts said.
Improved funding conditions are expected to speed up the pace of construction and limit refinancing risks that had resulted in distressed sales for many companies. "They have been allowing property developers and local governments to refinance their debt. That provides a cushion to the economy and prevents a hard landing. That's the reason they are allowing bond issuances to surge," said Francis Cheung, CLSA China strategist.
REUTERS

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