Thursday, December 10, 2015

In Australia, banks disrupt Apple with mobile payments power

In Australia, banks disrupt Apple with mobile payments power

[SYDNEY] Apple is struggling to persuade Australia's big banks to sign up for its Apple Pay mobile payment system, people familiar with the matter say, as the technology giant works from an unfamiliar negotiating position: weakness, not strength.
Apple rolled out the service in Australia last month with support for payment cards issued directly by American Express.
The move is part of the iPhone supplier's global drive to extend its mobile consumer electronics prowess into financial services, with a China launch expected soon.
But the firm has yet to strike a deal with any of the four main banks - ANZ, National Australia Bank (NAB) , Commonwealth Bank and Westpac.
That sets it adrift from 80 per cent of consumers using mobile payments systems linked to other credit cards in a market Westpac sees as being worth more than US$2 billion this year. "The banks here feel like they've done the hard work in bringing contactless payments already to Australia and Apple is just going to come in...and eat their lunch," said Foad Fadaghi, managing director of technology research firm Telsyte.
Apple declined to comment, citing company policy.
The firm has faced - and eventually dealt with - hurdles rolling out the service in other markets such as the United States, where contactless payments are rare, and in Britain, where it faced resistance from big banks over fees before relenting.
Yet analysts say Australia's banks are unique, having forged ahead of the banking industry elsewhere in developing contactless payments systems.
Like the people familiar with negotiations between Apple and the lenders, sector watchers say the banks feel little sense of urgency to conclude a deal.
A source at one of the Australian banks, who wasn't authorised to speak publicly, said Apple did not understand the market and was trying to fill a gap that does not exist. "It's a different world here," he said. "Where's the value in this for the banks?" The lenders' approach is one that could also stymie other tech players potentially interested in rolling out payments systems in Australia, including Apple rival Samsung Electronics, now expanding its own Samsung Pay system.
Neither ANZ nor Westpac responded to requests for comment and Commonwealth declined to comment, citing the confidential nature of any negotiations. NAB declined to answer questions, but a spokesman said in an email that it remained open to negotiations.
As the negotiations drag on, analysts say Apple may seek to build momentum for Apple Pay through partnerships, software and feature upgrades to entice consumers.
Apple Pay gives the consumer electronics supplier a chance to tie customers more tightly to the popular iPhone, as well as the Apple Watch. In return for the convenience of making payments from smartphones or smartwatches, Apple takes a tiny slice from each retail transaction.
Apple's iOS operating system was used in roughly 37 per cent of mobile devices sold in Australia in September, according to data published by research firm Kantar Worldpanel, second only to Google's Android system.
Contactless payments have also skyrocketed since their introduction in 2010, accounting for 22 per cent of face-to-face transactions in 2014, according to a Reserve Bank of Australia report.
That's because the major Australian banks already offer sophisticated smartphone apps for mobile payments and contactless payment on their bank cards, without significant competition from tech firms.
All of those factors have combined to reinforce the banks'negotiating position. That has angered opposition Labour Party lawmaker Ed Husic, who last month wrote a letter to the RBA accusing the lenders of engaging in anti-competitive behaviour at consumers' expense. "The bottom line is we've got an arm wrestle going on here and the longer it goes on, the longer the customers have to stand by at the edges...waiting for some sort of resolution," Mr Husic told Reuters.
For Husic, the longer the stalemate drags on, the more likely a potential investigation of the banks for anti-competitive behaviour becomes. "If it drags on, I think the drum beat for that type of action will grow," he said.
In a written response to Husic's letter, RBA Governor Glenn Stevens said the central bank does not interfere unless there are public interest issues at stake. "The Bank's discussions relating to Apple Pay have not provided any evidence that Australian banks have been 'boycotting' Apple Pay," Mr Stevens wrote.
REUTERS

As Fed tightening looms, big share repurchasers could be pressured

As Fed tightening looms, big share repurchasers could be pressured

[NEW YORK] For the last several years, big U.S. companies have lived by an unswerving rule: buy back shares to increase returns to shareholders.
Investors, too, have benefited from company spending habits as they bought shares of the biggest repurchasers.
This year has been a bit different. The buybacks have continued, but companies doing them have trailed the S&P 500 stock index as investors anticipate higher interest rates.
Headed into 2016, with the Federal Reserve beginning what many expect will be a prolonged, if slow, cycle of interest rate increases, analysts say the quality of a company's balance sheet could matter as much as whether it is reducing the number of shares on issue.
The Fed is expected to raise interest rates at the end of its Dec 15-16 meeting for the first time in nearly a decade. While the increase in borrowing costs for big-name companies will be minor, it could continue if the Fed raises rates further in 2016. "A quarter of a percentage point is not going to make much of a difference," said to David Joy, chief market strategist at Ameriprise Financial in Boston. However, as the Fed keeps raising rates, those companies borrowing money to buy back their shares will likely be hurt most, he said.
With the Fed raising rates, those who borrow to buy shares could find it harder to justify their investments. This year, in part on the expectation of higher rates, the S&P 500 buyback index has trailed the benchmark by more than four percentage points.
That's a notable change. Companies that return excess cash to shareholders have been big favorites of investors in recent years. Despite this year's underperformance, the S&P's buyback index has beaten the S&P by about 24 percentage points since the beginning of 2010.
Buying back shares perks up stock prices in two ways: it increases the demand for a specific stock, setting a floor under its price, while at the same time reducing the number of shares in circulation, thus increasing the dollar value of earnings per share.
A Reuters analysis shows that spending on buybacks has surged relative to investment, in part due to shareholder pressure and executive compensation programs that tie pay to per-share results.
Higher interest rates, of course, make borrowing to repurchase stock more expensive.
Companies that could be affected include CBS Corp, Coca-Cola Enterprises, Xerox Corp, Verisign, Time Warner and General Motors. The group is part of a basket created by Goldman Sachs to track performance of companies with weaker balance sheets as measured by factors such as their leverage ratio and sales-to-assets ratio.
These companies are also notable for buying back plenty of stock, and the leverage and stock buybacks have made them steady winners during the long bull market that featured near-zero interest rates.
The six companies, however, have been a mixed bag in 2015: Verisign is a notable outperformer, up more than 60 per cent, while GM shares are up just 1.6 per cent and Time Warner has lost nearly 20 per cent.
Goldman expects companies of this type are likely to underperform in 2016 as financial conditions tighten.
This is not to say buybacks are going to end. Buybacks from S&P 500 companies hit nearly US$560 billion on a four-quarter rolling basis, according to S&P Dow Jones indices data.
That is the highest since the first quarter of 2008, and near the record of US$589 billion for the four quarters of 2007. Goldman expects more than US$600 billion in 2016 as companies struggle to deliver per-share earnings growth.
Credit Suisse noted a number of companies that engage in a high level of buybacks also show declining returns on investment. They include widely held stocks like Anthem Inc , up 4 per cent year to date, L-3 Communications, down 1.6 per cent in 2015 and Yahoo, down more than 30 per cent.
"When you reach a point in the market when valuations are reaching new peaks, there's uncertainty about how much longer these companies can buy back shares, and quality becomes more of a factor," said Ron Graziano, accounting and tax strategist at Credit Suisse's HOLT group in Chicago.
"That's when we expect some of these companies would come under some pressure."
REUTERS

Indonesia to introduce sovereign bond futures next year

Indonesia to introduce sovereign bond futures next year 

[SINGAPORE] Indonesia plans to introduce sovereign bond futures next year as it seeks to deepen its financial markets and help investors manage the risk of holding Asia's most volatile debt.
The national bourse will list contracts for benchmark local-currency government notes as early as the second quarter, Poltak Hotradero, the head of research and development at the Indonesia Stock Exchange, said in a phone interview from Jakarta on Wednesday (Dec 9).
The introduction of the futures, a type of derivative used to hedge risk or for speculation, is still subject to regulatory approvals, he said.
Foreign funds own 38 per cent of Indonesian domestic sovereign bonds, the highest proportion in Southeast Asia, and the investment flows increase the volatility of the rupiah.
The 10-year yield on the nation's debt has fluctuated from 7 per cent to 9.74 per cent this year, while the rupiah has traded between 12,395 and 14,736 against the US dollar. "Investors are saying we love Indonesian government bonds but we hate the currency," Mr Hotradero said. "They said if you can't help us with the currency, at least help us by providing hedging" on the bonds, he said.
Approval will be needed from the Finance Ministry, the Financial Services Authority and Bank Indonesia, Mr Hotradero said.
Short selling will be allowed, although there will be a limit on the number of contracts that can be traded by a single party, he said in a mobile-phone text message on Thursday.
Short selling refers to the sale of a security that isn't owned by the seller, or that the seller has borrowed.
Futures will make the market more liquid and resilient, give traders greater flexibility, and serve as an indicator for market performance and expectations, said Dini Agmivia Anggraeni, a fixed-income analyst at PT Trimegah Securities in Jakarta. "Futures tend to a be a riskier product, so foreign investors with more risk appetite may jump in first," she said. "Banks and asset managers would also want to join."
BLOOMBERG

Commodity-linked curriences rise in Asia

Commodity-linked curriences rise in Asia

[TOKYO] The dollar eased against most rivals in Asian trade on Thursday, with commodity-linked units enjoying support from a slight uptick in oil prices, while its Australian counterpart surged on the back of a strong jobs report.
The retreat in the greenback comes just a week before the Federal Reserve's next policy meeting where it is widely expected to hike interest rates, with some economists suggesting the move has been priced into the US unit.
Crude prices edged up in Asia after the Department of Energy said US inventories fell 3.6 million barrels in the week ending December 4.
The gains were a small chink of light for oil traders, with the black gold having slumped about nine per cent since Friday's decision by the Opec oil exporters club not to cut output despite a global oversupply and weakness in the world economy.
That helped currencies reliant on commodities, with the Malaysian ringgit up 0.3 per cent and the Australian dollar almost one percent up.
Indonesia's rupiah added 0.4 per cent and the Singapore dollar added 0.1 per cent.
Adding to the Aussie's strength were better-than-expected jobs figures - unemployment is now at its lowest since April 2014 - which eased expectations the Australian central bank will cut interest rates from already record lows.
The New Zealand dollar also rose 0.2 per cent on hopes a rate cut by Wellington will be the last for some time.
The US currency edged up against the euro, although the single currency continues to hold its gains since last week's European Central Bank stimulus revision that fell well short of expectations.
The euro bought US$1.1009 and 133.89 yen from 1.1026 and 133.86 yen New York.
The single currency also got a boost from comments by an ECB governor who said markets were wrong to count on bolder stimulus measures from the bank last week, calling their expectations "absurd".
"The ECB cannot and will not be driven by the markets," Austrian central bank head Ewald Nowotny, who is also a member of the ECB governing council, said in Vienna Wednesday.
The dollar bought 121.61 yen from 121.40 yen Wednesday in New York, where it earlier touched 121.10 yen, its lowest level in more than a month.
"Markets will be faced with heightened volatility going into the Fed's gathering amid risk aversion and a lack of fresh news," Yasuhiro Kaizaki, vice president for global markets at Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Bank, told Bloomberg News.
AFP

Big firms must build upstart culture, handle disruption from new players: Tharman

Big firms must build upstart culture, handle disruption from new players: Tharman

LARGE companies need to create an upstart culture and handle disruption from new players, for which incumbents are typically unprepared, said Tharman Shanmugaratnam, Deputy Prime Minister and Coordinating Minister for Economic and Social Policies, on Thursday.
Speaking at the launch of DBS Academy, Mr Tharman said large companies are part of the movement to create a more innovative society.
As the financial industry is seeing disruption, traditional lenders must be "part of that game", said Mr Tharman, referring to examples of crowdfunding, robo-advisers for wealth management, and cheaper forms of remittances. He noted that DBS, while being the largest lender in Singapore, is using technology to be a "disruptive upstart" in overseas markets.
"Technology can be a very useful way of gaining market share," he said.
In launching its new learning centre, DBS also announced that it would match the S$500 SkillsFuture credit from the government for its senior associates and junior staff.

ECB 'still has ammunition' to boost eurozone: board member

ECB 'still has ammunition' to boost eurozone: board member


[FRANKFURT] Financial markets may have been disappointed by the European Central Bank's latest round of policy moves, but it still has other measures up its sleeve to boost recovery in the euro area, executive board member Yves Mersch said.
"As the Gauls say, if the sky doesn't fall in, we still have other ammunition we can use," Mersch told journalists at a dinner late on Wednesday.
He declined to outline what other bullets the ECB still had in the chamber, to avoid fuelling "unwarranted expectations" as had been the case ahead of the central bank's regular policy meeting last week.
But Mersch insisted any future steps would be "appropriate." In the run-up to the last meeting this year of the ECB's decision-making governing council, financial markets had bet on much more decisive action to try and kickstart doggedly low inflation in the 19 countries that share the euro.


In the end, a 0.10-percentage point reduction in one of the ECB's key interest rates and the six-month extension of its asset purchase programme fell short of those heady expectations.
And the ECB came under fire for fuelling hopes it subsequently refused to fulfil.
Already on Wednesday, the head of the Austrian central bank Ewald Nowotny had dismissed the markets' expectations as "absurd" and said analysts had been seriously mistaken.
Mersch conceded that the moves had "probably disappointed the markets, otherwise we wouldn't be seeing this volatility." "Communication is a difficult job, but people are always wiser with hindsight," Mersch said.
He defended the ECB's decision to undertake further monetary easing amid apparent divisions on the governing council about the need for action.
The German central bank, or Bundesbank, in particular was opposed to additional measures.
"We tried to increase the eurozone's ability to withstand new shocks," such as the slowdown in emerging economies, Mersch argued.
Such shocks partially explained the reason why the ECB had been compelled to set back the target date for bringing eurozone inflation back up to its target of close to but just under 2.0 per cent, he argued.
AFP

US jobless claims low ahead of Fed rate meeting

US jobless claims low ahead of Fed rate meeting

[WASHINGTON] The last weekly report on US jobless insurance claims before the Federal Reserve meets on a long-awaited interest rate rise showed a fairly tight labour market Thursday.
The Labour Department said that initial claims for unemployment insurance, a sign of the pace of layoffs, were 282,000 in the week to December 5.
That was 13,000 up from the previous week, but still within the range of the past six months. The four-week moving average was 270,750, compared to 295,000 a year ago.
The data supported other consistent signs of firming in the labour market that the Fed wants to see before raising the benchmark federal funds rate after holding it at zero for seven years.
The Fed meets Tuesday and Wednesday, with markets overwhelmingly expecting a 0.25 per cent hike in the rate.
AFP

Goldman upgrades Singapore back to 'market weight'

Goldman upgrades Singapore back to 'market weight'

A YEAR after it downgraded the Singapore market to "underweight" over concerns over the energy and property sectors in Singapore, investment bank Goldman Sachs has upgraded the market back to "market weight".
The bank's chief Asia-Pacific equity strategist, Timothy Moe, argued that valuations have come down significantly and bad news has been priced in, including in the decimated oil and gas sector.
"There's no way we think Singapore is an 'overweight' to be clear," Mr Moe said in a media briefing on Thursday evening.
However, Goldman expects Singapore corporates to grow their earnings by 7 per cent next year. The market is also trading cheaply relative to history, at 1.2 standard deviations below its 10-year average, Mr Moe said.
Singapore's banks, which form a significant proportion of the MSCI Singapore index here, should start benefiting from rate hikes in the US next year, which will improve earnings, he said.

Greek unemployment at 24.6% in September

Greek unemployment at 24.6% in September

[ATHENS] Greece's jobless rate inched down to 24.6 per cent in September from an upwardly revised 24.7 per cent in the previous month, statistics agency ELSTAT said on Thursday.
The reading in September, based on seasonally adjusted data, was the lowest since June 2012 when unemployment stood at 24.9 per cent. The jobless rate hit a record high of 27.9 per cent in September 2013.
Unemployment has come down from record highs as the economy stabilised last year after a severe slump, but remains more than double the euro zone's average of 10.8 percent in September.
Greece's economy contracted by 0.9 per cent in the third quarter as capital controls to shore up banks weighed down on investment, exports and consumer spending.
The economy is expected to shrink by 0.7 per cent in 2016.
REUTERS

SNB sees challenges from diverging monetary policies

SNB sees challenges from diverging monetary policies

[BERNE] The Swiss National Bank sees the anticipated divergence in policies by global rate setters as a challenge for Switzerland, SNB Chairman Thomas Jordan said on Thursday.
"Diverging monetary policy stances in the major currency areas present small open economies like Switzerland, in particular, with huge challenges as they typically trigger substantial exchange rate fluctuations and hamper economic growth," Mr Jordan told a news conference following the central bank's quarterly monetary policy decision.
"Switzerland's economy is thus going through a difficult phase." The SNB left its benchmark interest rate unchanged and said it would remain active if necessary in the currency market to weaken the "significantly overvalued" Swiss franc.
REUTERS

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