Tuesday, December 8, 2015

Commodities crash pushes Anglo American to slash jobs

Commodities crash pushes Anglo American to slash jobs

[LONDON] Global mining giant Anglo American announced on Tuesday a "radical" restructuring of the firm that will slash its workforce by almost two-thirds, as commodity prices crash on world markets.
Some of the jobs will be transferred via asset sales, although Anglo will also write off billions of dollars owing to the closure of loss-making mines.
The prices of metals and other raw materials, notably oil, are sliding on markets owing to weak demand growth, in particular from the world's second biggest economy, China.
Anglo's announcements, as part of its investor day, come as sector rival Rio Tinto said it would slash its spending next year owing to sliding metals prices.
In a statement, Anglo American chief executive Mark Cutifani said that "the severity of commodity price deterioration requires bolder action".
The London-listed company said it expects "impairments of US$3.7 to 4.7 billion, largely due to weaker prices and asset closures".
And Anglo said it plans to slash its workforce by almost two-thirds, from 135,000 staff to 50,000 after 2017.
The company published a graph showing the expected decline in jobs - to 99,000 next year and 92,000 in 2017 followed by another sharp reduction - via a combination of asset sales and internal cuts.
"We will be radically restructuring our portfolio, so the net result is expect to be a reduction to around 50,000 employees," a spokesperson confirmed in an email to AFP.
"But bear in mind that these include assets that we will sell, so the 85,000 jobs don't (all) disappear as many will be employed by new owners of those mines that we sell." Anglo has already been cutting jobs in recent years, with the workforce standing at 162,000 in 2013.
Mr Cutifani added that Anglo American plans to halve its business setup to leave just three components - its diamonds operation De Beers, Industrial Metals and Bulk Commodities.
"Anglo American is today setting out an accelerated and more radical restructuring programme to redefine the focus of its asset portfolio to transform the company's competitive position and create a more resilient business to deliver sustainable shareholder returns," the group statement said.
Delivering a blow to shareholders, Anglo said it would suspend dividend payments until the end of next year.
Anglo's share price slumped following the announcements, hitting an all-time low at 322.6 pence.
In London trade, it tumbled 12.29 per cent to 323.65 pence on the capital's benchmark FTSE 100 index, which finished 1.42-per cent lower overall compared with Monday's close.
Anglo added that it would further slash investment through to the end of next year by about US$1.0 billion.
Earlier on Tuesday, Rio Tinto said it planned to slash spending in 2016 by a similar amount to maintain profits in the face of the commodities price rout.
The weak demand situation has been worsened by a supply glut blamed on rising output by leading miners, including BHP Billiton and Rio.
Tumbling values for commodities, including Rio's main raw material iron ore, has massively increased the pressure on mining firms.
Critics have argued that large miners raise output in the face of falling prices to try to flood the market and drive smaller competitors out of business.
Rio Tinto shares were down a hefty 5.2 per cent and BHP Billiton plunged 5.1 per cent in London deals.
"With key benchmark commodity indexes below levels last seen in the 1990s, and Chinese demand set to remain weak, it is clear that commodity prices remain some way short of giving any evidence of bottoming out," said Michael Hewson, chief market analyst at traders CMC Markets UK.
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Dow Chemical, DuPont in talks on mega-merger: banking sources

Dow Chemical, DuPont in talks on mega-merger: banking sources

[NEW YORK] Dow Chemical and DuPont are in talks for a mega-merger that would yield the world's top chemical giant, with products from pesticides to genetically modified organisms, banking sources told AFP Tuesday.
The new entity would have an annual sales of US$90 billion.
AFP

Sembcorp Industries finishes US$200m expansion to UAE plant

Sembcorp Industries finishes US$200m expansion to UAE plant

UTILITIES group Sembcorp Industries has completed an approximately US$200 million expansion to a water and power plant in the United Arab Emirates and begun its commercial operation, it said in a press release on Tuesday.
The expansion has boosted the plant's total seawater desalination capacity by 30 per cent to 130 million imperial gallons per day, the group said. One imperial gallon is about 4.55 litres, slightly more than a US gallon.
The plant is now one of the largest reverse osmosis desalination facilities in the Middle East.
Sembcorp said it would sell the 30 million extra gallons of desalinated seawater to state-owned Abu Dhabi Water & Electricity Company, a unit of the Abu Dhabi Water and Electricity Authority. This water sale agreement will last for 20 years and will bring extra income to the plant, it added.
The group said it had bought a stake in the plant, called Fujairah 1 Independent Water and Power Plant, in 2006.

Asia: Stocks slip as commodity rout stokes demand concerns

Asia: Stocks slip as commodity rout stokes demand concerns

[TOKYO] Asian stocks were down across the board on Wednesday as crumbling oil prices and data pointing to cooling demand from China sapped investor appetite for risk assets.
MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan lost 0.2 per cent and edged towards its November trough, a break of which would take it to its lowest level since early October.
Indicators this week highlighted the continuing struggle facing China's economy.
Soft trade numbers from China on Tuesday cemented concerns over cooling demand.
Data on Wednesday showed Chinese factories were plagued by persistent producer price deflation in another sign that Beijing's year-long easing efforts have yet to restore momentum to a fragile economy. On the other hand, China's consumer inflation did pick up slightly in November.
Japan's Nikkei shed 1.1 per cent to hit a three-week low, with a surprise jump in domestic machinery orders offering little support.
Volatile Shanghai shares weaved in and out of the red and were last up 0.4 per cent. Weak indicators often stir hopes of government stimulus, providing a burst of support for Chinese shares.
Australian stocks lost 0.2 per cent.
Overnight on Wall Street, the S&P 500 fell 0.7 per cent. The S&P energy sector has fallen 10.4 per cent since Dec. 1.
Opec's decision on Friday not to cut its production target has sparked concerns global oil producers will pump even more crude into an already oversupplied market.
Brent crude futures have fallen almost 30 per cent so far this year after a decline of nearly 50 per cent in 2014. "The fall is driven by likely increases in supply after the Opec meeting and as Iran will return to the market after a lift of sanctions. On the other hand, demand doesn't look strong as many economies face downside risk," said Shuji Shirota, head of macro economics strategy at HSBC Securities. "At the moment, it is hard to see where a bottom will be." Crude did get some temporary respite from Japan's robust machinery orders data, and Brent futures were last up 1.2 per cent at US$40.74 a barrel after falling to US$39.81 overnight, lowest since February 2009.
Showing the plight of the broader commodity markets, The Thomson Reuters Core Commodity CRB index on Tuesday hit its lowest since November 2002.
In addition to prospects of weaker demand from top consumer China, lower oil prices have hit countries that depend on revenues from oil and other resources. MSCI's gauge of emerging market shares fell to two-month lows.
On Tuesday, Brazilian shares edged near their six-year low touched earlier this year while stocks in Qatar fell 3.1 per cent to a two-year low.
Investors have another reason to be cautious on risk assets as the U.S. Federal Reserve is widely expected to raise interest rates for the first time in almost a decade next week.
The dollar soared against oil-linked currencies, touching an 11-year high against the Canadian dollar and a 13-year high versus the Norwegian crown on Tuesday, but its performance wasn't as stellar against other major rivals.
The euro traded at US$1.0911, adding to its 0.5 per cent gains on Tuesday, and edging back towards a one-month high of US$1.0981 hit on Thursday after the European Central Bank's stimulus turned out to be smaller than expected.
The dollar also edged back against the yen to 122.78 yen from this week's high of 123.48 yen, turning negative on the week.
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Shanghai: Composite fluctuates as six IPOs jump in trading debut

Shanghai: Composite fluctuates as six IPOs jump in trading debut

[SHANGHAI] China's stocks swung between gains and losses after the release of inflation data, while the first six companies to make their trading debut in five months soared.
The Shanghai Composite Index dropped 0.3 per cent to 3,461.03 at 9:51 aM, after gaining as much as 0.3 per cent. China's consumer inflation rose more than estimated while factory-gate deflation extended declines to 45 months.
The Hang Seng China Enterprises index fell 0.8 per cent to the lowest level since September in Hong Kong. The yuan slipped after the central bank cut the Chinese currency's reference rate to the weakest level in four years.
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Yellen-Kuroda divergence driving Japanese bond investor exodus

Yellen-Kuroda divergence driving Japanese bond investor exodus

[TOKYO] Japanese banks and insurers are shipping money overseas at the fastest pace since 2012 as global monetary policy diverges.
The nation's financial institutions bought almost 12 times more mid- to long-term foreign debt in the first 11 months of this year than in all of 2014 as Bank of Japan stimulus kept local yields near record lows.
The spread between Japanese and US two-year sovereign yields reached the widest in 5 1/2 years as the Federal Reserve moves toward its first interest-rate increase in almost a decade. The same dynamic also pushed the cost of currency hedging to a four-year high.
The shift is a boon for central bank governor Haruhiko Kuroda's goal of encouraging investment in riskier assets such as stocks and foreign securities as he tries to free Japan from decades of deflation.
He reiterated in a speech on Monday that his policies have had the "positive financial effects" of holding down bond yields, encouraging portfolio rebalancing and boosting asset prices. While the BOJ denies it is targeting a weaker yen, outflows have helped the currency decline 2.5 per cent versus the dollar this quarter.
LEAVING HOME
"With yields so low, it's difficult to expect Japanese investors to return to their home market," said Katsutoshi Inadome, a senior fixed-income strategist at Mitsubishi UFJ Morgan Stanley Securities Co. "Major life insurers haven't been coming back to yen bonds even though dollar-funding costs are rising."
Japanese investors including financial institutions snapped up a net 11.2 trillion yen (S$128.1 billion) of mid- to long-term foreign debt this year to November, compared with 966.8 billion yen for all of 2014, according to data released Tuesday by the Finance Ministry. The pace of purchases is the fastest over the period since 15.8 trillion yen in 2012.
That's even as cross-currency basis swaps showed yen holders seeking to borrow dollars were asked to pay the highest premium since November 2011 over Japanese interbank money market rates last month, at 70 basis points. The spread was 53 basis points on Wednesday, more than double the average over the past five years.
LOW YIELDS
"It takes time to decipher whether a widening of basis swaps is manageable or not - and because insurers tend to make investment decisions with a long-term horizon, they can't easily change direction," said Yusuke Ikawa, a Tokyo-based strategist at UBS Group AG. "They could return to JGBs at some point, but yields haven't reached that level where they are convinced they should do so."
Ten-year JGB yields were at 0.31 per cent, the lowest globally after Switzerland. Two-year notes yielded minus 0.025 per cent, compared with 0.933 per cent in the US - a gap of about 95 basis points. It was 97 basis points on Dec 3, a level unseen since April 2010.
The divergence has been driven by growing conviction among traders that the Fed will lift off in December, while the BOJ continues with massive monetary stimulus.
Futures markets show odds at 80 per cent for the Federal Open Market Committee to raise borrowing costs on Dec 16, according to Bloomberg calculations. In testimony before Congress's Joint Economic Committee on Dec 3, Chair Janet Yellen signaled the conditions necessary for an interest-rate increase have been met, and she hopes to tighten monetary policy slowly after liftoff.
MANAGING RISKS
Japan's life insurers are likely to continue moderately accumulating foreign bonds to seek higher returns if the very low bond yields in Japan persist, Fitch Ratings said in a report this month.
"Although the increasing allocation to foreign bonds will provide broader diversification from the concentration on JGBs, currency risks need to be managed effectively given the majority of the life insurance liabilities are still yen-denominated," according to the report.
Domestic financial institutions bought just 201.9 billion yen of super-long-term JGBs - the sector where life insurers are most active - in the 10 months to October, according to data from the Japan Securities Dealers Association.
That's only about 40 per cent of what they purchased over the same period last year, and the least since 2007.
"Yields on yen bonds are extremely low, so domestic investors are likely to limit their investment," said Eiichiro Miura, the Tokyo-based chief fund manager at Nissay Asset Management, which oversees about US$71 billion.
"Demand for foreign debt will continue amid a hunt for yield, even as the Fed starts raising rates."
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Open but not trading: Myanmar launches fledgling bourse

Open but not trading: Myanmar launches fledgling bourse

[YANGON] Myanmar officially launched its first modern stock exchange on Wednesday, but without a single stock to trade, as the nation's latest drive for economic revitalisation struggles to take flight.
Aung San Suu Kyi's pro-democracy party swept elections last month, boosting confidence in the former junta-run nation's reforms.
Myanmar's launch of a bourse of its own marks an ambitious new stage in efforts to ignite investment.
Crowds gathered on Wednesday outside the elegant newly restored colonial-era building in the heart of Yangon to witness the stock market's official launch.
But they were not listening for the toll of a trading bell because the exchange has yet to list a single firm.
Delays in confirming underwriting companies have pushed back the timeframe for initial public offerings.
"It will take time to be up and running, maybe two or three months," said Tin May Oo of Myanmar's Securities and Exchange Commission, lauding the benefits of a transparent trading system.
Officials expect a clutch of local firms to kick-start the stock exchange when it is fully operational.
Businesses, stifled for years under the economic mismanagement of the former junta, have welcomed the chance to raise funding through the market.
"I can save money from my salary at the end of the month but it's not enough to run my own business so the stock exchange will be my hope," said graphic designer Lin Aung.
"I will watch their transactions and processes for a few months to learn about stock markets, and then I hope I will have a chance to participate," he told AFP.
The bourse has been decades in the making in Myanmar, one of only a handful of nations without a modern stock exchange.
"Every country needs a capital market and ours will bring new investment opportunities," Aung Tun Thet, an advisor to the president's office, told AFP recently.
In 1996 Japanese firm Daiwa Securities and a state bank set up the Myanmar Securities Exchange Centre, but this allowed over-the-counter sales of shares in just two firms, a Myanmar timber company and bank.
Official media has said state-owned Myanma Economic Bank will own a controlling 51 per cent stake in the Yangon Stock Exchange (YSX), with the remainder divided between Japanese partners the Japan Exchange Group and Daiwa Institute of Research, the research arm of Daiwa Securities Group.
Myanmar was under the thumb of the military for more than 50 years.
A once-buoyant economy was dismantled by bungled state-controlled policy and heavy sanctions imposed by western nations for major human rights abuses.
But reforms since 2011 have seen the door creak open to a potential consumer market of 51-million people.
The nation still faces major challenges including rampant corruption, poor legal protections for businesses and dismal infrastructure.
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Wage increase in Singapore to slow next year: report

Wage increase in Singapore to slow next year: report

WAGE increase in Singapore is set to slow to 4 per cent next year amid the cautious business outlook, a report by Korn Ferry Hay Group said on Wednesday.
This is weaker than the 4.4 per cent increase in salary that is expected in Singapore this year.
"The low increment projection for Singapore is in line with muted business sentiments amid a global slowdown and businesses adopting a still-cautious outlook," the report said.
Given the low inflation forecast, real wage increase next year in Singapore should come in at 3.7 per cent, the report showed.
It did not provide the real wage increase expected for 2015, but by BT estimates, in taking an expected 0.5 per cent fall in inflation this year as according to the forecast by the central bank, workers here should see a real wage increase of about 4.9 per cent in 2015.
With the weak inflation overall, real wages in Asia are expected to rise by 4.2 per cent - the highest globally. The largest real wage increases are forecast in Vietnam, China, and Thailand. Workers in China are set to see an 8 per cent salary increase in 2016, amid the increasing need for skilled workers and the sustained rise of the burgeoning middle class, the report said.
Globally, workers are expected to see real wage increases of 2.5 per cent - the highest in three years
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China's postal bank said to raise US$7b from stake sale

China's postal bank said to raise US$7b from stake sale

[SHANGHAI] Postal Savings Bank of China Co., which has the most branches of any lender in the nation, has raised 45 billion yuan (S$9.9 billion) selling about 17 per cent of itself to investors including UBS Group AG, according to people familiar with the matter.
The stake sale ahead of a planned initial public offering by the Chinese lender lured nine other firms including JPMorgan Chase & Co and Temasek Holdings Pte, said the people, who asked not to be identified as the information is private.
Postal Savings Bank, an arm of state-owned China Post Group Co, is raising capital at a time when Chinese lenders are feeling the squeeze of shrinking profit margins and rising defaults amid the country's deepest economic slowdown in more than two decades.
Calls to Postal Savings Bank's press office in Beijing weren't immediately answered.
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Australian police raid Sydney home of reported bitcoin creator

Australian police raid Sydney home of reported bitcoin creator

[SYDNEY] Australian Federal Police raided the Sydney home on Wednesday of a man named by Wired magazine as the probable creator of cryptocurrency bitcoin, a Reuters witness said.
The property is registered under the Australian electoral role to Craig Steven Wright, whom Wired outed as the likely real identity of Satoshi Nakamoto, the pseudonymous figure that first released bitcoin's code in 2009.
More than a dozen federal police officers entered the house, on Sydney's north shore, on Wednesday after locksmiths broke open the door.
When asked what they were doing, one officer told a Reuters reporter that they were "clearing the house".
The Australian Federal Police said in a statement that the officers' "presence at Mr Wright's property is not associated with the media reporting overnight about bitcoins".
The AFP referred all inquiries about the raid to the Australian Tax Office, which did not immediately respond to requests for comment.
The police raid in Australia came hours after Wired magazine and technology website Gizmodo published articles saying that their investigations showed Wright, who they said was an Australian academic, was probably the secretive bitcoin creator.
Their investigations were based on leaked emails, documents and web archives, including what was said to be a transcript of a meeting between Wright and Australian tax officials.
The identity of Satoshi Nakamoto has long been a mystery journalists and bitcoin enthusiasts have tried to unravel.
He, she or a group of people is the author of the paper, protocol and software that gave rise to the cryptocurrency. The New York Times, Newsweek and other publications have guessed at Nakamoto's real identity, but none has proved conclusive.
Uncovering the identity would be significant, not just to solving a long-standing riddle, but for the future of the currency.
And as an early miner of bitcoins, Nakamoto is also sitting on about 1 million bitcoins, worth more than US$400 million at present exchange rates, according to bitcoin expert Sergio Demian Lerner.
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Singapore-based hedge fund star seeking money managers, traders

Singapore-based hedge fund star seeking money managers, traders

[HONG KONG] Stephen Diggle, co-founder of a hedge-fund firm whose assets expanded more than 1,000-fold before it returned investors' money, is reentering the industry with a plan to back managers and traders seeking a new career in money management.
Mr Diggle's Singapore-based Vulpes Investment Management opened the multistrategy Kit Trading Fund, led by former Merrill Lynch & Co trader Michael Downer, on Dec 1, according to an e- mailed statement.
It plans to have as many as 12 managers trading for Kit over the next six to 12 months, using investments by Vulpes and the money the managers themselves can bring in, Mr Diggle said in a telephone interview from Singapore on Tuesday (Dec 8).
Mr Diggle helped build Vulpes's predecessor, Artradis Fund Management, into a hedge-fund firm that grew from US$4.5 million in 2002 to US$4.8 billion in 2008, before returning money to its investors a few years later. Now he's seeking to provide what he describes as a hybrid between a hedge-fund "hotel" and an incubator for traders leaving global banks, he said.
Financial firms around the world are shrinking their proprietary trading desks and asset managers are paring back amid declining returns. "The vast majority of these guys don't have any capital backing them," said Mr Diggle. "There are fewer options to go and a greater pool of talent looking for a home in Asia because the hedge-fund industry probably has contracted more than in Europe and the US." Artradis made more than US$2.5 billion of realized gains for investors between August 2007 and December 2008, with its volatility hedge funds profiting from seesawing markets, according to the statement.
It returned investor money in 2011 after asset-price swings subsided, leading to losses. Vulpes now mostly invests money from its staff in assets from German property to kiwi farms.
The Kit fund will not raise capital from outside investors initially, said Mr Diggle, although it plans to do so after contributions from Vulpes's partners reach US$20 million.
Mr Diggle is stepping into the business as large institutions, which control the bulk of industry assets, have favored big and established managers after the 2008 global financial crisis, starving smaller startups of capital.
HS Group in Hong Kong and Dymon Asia Capital (Singapore) are also backing managers seeking to start their own hedge funds.
Kit is looking for traders whose strategies have low correlations to the markets and are less volatile. Those include equity long-short managers betting on rising and falling stocks, traders looking to profit from price differences between related securities, and those who use computers to trade currencies and fixed-income securities, Mr Diggle said.
It will provide support services, allowing traders to join with only investment staff. "Over time, we hope to see the best of these traders spin off to form their own hedge funds," Mr Downer said in the statement.
Unlike bigger incubators, which put pressure on managers to expand assets, Kit will be happy to retain indefinitely good traders whose strategies can accommodate only limited assets or who do not have the ambition to run large funds, Mr Diggle said.
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