Thursday, November 12, 2015

Noble Group says profit slumps 84% amid 'tough' environment

Noble Group says profit slumps 84% amid 'tough' environment

[SINGAPORE] Noble Group Ltd, the commodity trader battling criticism of its accounting methods, a share-price slump and lower raw-materials prices, said that third-quarter profit slumped 84 per cent as markets remained difficult and its metals business and joint ventures reported wider losses.
Net income fell to US$24.7 million in the three months to Sept 30 from US$153.9 million a year earlier, the Hong Kong-based trader said in a statement on Thursday. Sales dropped 20 per cent to US$18.7 billion, Noble said. Tonnages handled were a record, margins rose and the company said that cash flow from operations turned positive in the quarter.
Executives led by chief executive officer Yusuf Alireza have parried attacks from a group calling itself Iceberg Research and short-seller Muddy Waters LLC that Noble's accounts lack transparency. The company has sought to cut debt, focus on its most profitable businesses and generate positive cash flow to restore investors' confidence. While the Singapore-listed stock remains this year's worst performer on the Straits Times Index as slumping commodity prices put off some investors, the shares rebounded last month.
"We are spending an increasing amount of time ensuring that we run our existing businesses as profitably as possible," Mr Alireza said in a statement.
"While the operating environment has been tough, and even more unpredictable than usual, it is this very change and uncertainty that has enabled us to re- position the business."
The shares lost 2.9 per cent to 50 Singapore cents on Thursday before the results statement. Noble rose 22 per cent last month, the most since May 2008, as the company got fresh funding. The stock is 56 per cent lower this year.
The mining and metals unit had a loss of US$72.1 million in the quarter from a loss of US$65.2 million in the same period a year earlier, according to the company, which said its share of losses from joint ventures and associates was US$65.7 million from US$20.2 million. Profit from the energy business rose to US$143.4 million from US$27.8 million from a year earlier.
"We achieved the group's target of generating positive cash flow from operations early, generating US$318 million in positive cash flow from operations in the quarter," it said.
Iceberg, a previously unknown group whose members are anonymous, has said Noble uses aggressive interpretations of accounting rules to inflate the value of assets and contracts. The company repeatedly denied the allegations, and Mr Alireza said last month he should have been more forceful in pushing the trader to boost transparency.
In August, Noble published a report by PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP saying its accounting practices complied with international rules in valuing long-term contracts. It also organized an investor meeting in August at which Noble set a target to raise operating profit to more than US$2 billion in three to five years.
The Bloomberg Commodity Index collapsed 29 per cent in the past year and fell to a 16-year low on Wednesday as the slowdown in China's economy cut demand from the biggest user of metals to grains and compounded surpluses.
BLOOMBERG

Portfolio pumping in Singapore not as widespread as feared: CFA Institute

Portfolio pumping in Singapore not as widespread as feared: CFA Institute

By
Portfolio pumping, or the artificial inflation of the closing prices of selected stocks usually at quarter-ends and year-ends, is not as widespread in Singapore as currently perceived, according to a report by CFA Institute.
The report, a first-of-its-kind that analyses the degree of market manipulation in the Singapore stock market, examined tick-by-tick data, amounting to over 12 billion data points from the Singapore Exchange (SGX) covering 189 listed companies under the FTSE Straits Times All-share Index, from January 2003 to December 2013.
It found that the characteristics of the stocks with potential to be subject to portfolio pumping include those from the mid-cap market segment especially within the S$2 billion to S$5 billion range, have lower free float liquidity and are not constituents of the SiMSCI. Portfolio pumping also appears to be higher among stocks that have performed poorly until the second-to-last day of the quarter.
Other characteristics associated with higher portfolio pumping include stocks with smaller capitalization and lower free-float liquidity as well as being Catalist-listed and being a non-constituent of the MSCI Singapore Free Index (SIMSCI).
"Such potential pumped stocks also have a significantly higher degree of buyer-initiated trades on the day of pumping with a higher standardized trade volume,'' according to the report.
The proportion of trades happening in the final 30 minutes on the last day of a quarter also appears significantly higher among possible pumped-up stocks.
An additional interesting insight is that even though the S-chip division as a universe did not show any significant signs of portfolio pumping, it did seem to have a reasonable representation among the stocks with the highest pumping potential, as measured by our two-day inflation metric.
"We found that portfolio pumping was not as prevalent as what the overall market may think due to effective deterring measures and enforcements in place. However, at a certain segmented market level, the report identified some level of potential portfolio pumping, though those were not statistically significant. In those cases, we suggest increasing market surveillance to make it difficult and expensive to undertake portfolio pumping activities." Alan Lok, Director, Capital Markets Policy of CFA Institute, said.
The report also noted the effectiveness of market surveillance efforts by the Singapore Stock Exchange (SGX) and enforcement efforts undertaken by the Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) in keeping potential manipulators at bay.
"We found that the existing operation of the SGX market surveillance and MAS enforcement process seem to be working well in regard to quarter-end closing prices. Other exchanges and markets may want to adopt and refine some of these measures to stifle potential market manipulation," Dr Tony Tan, Head of Standards and Advocacy with CFA Institute, said.
The study found evidence from MAS's experience that the successful prosecution of a stock manipulator and the existence of market microstructure that would render portfolio pumping activity to be a relatively expensive affair have a strong positive impact on market integrity.
The research originates from a landmark court case involving MAS as plaintiff and Tan Chong Koay and Pheim Asset Management Sdn Bhd (defendants). In August 2009, a formal civil suit was filed against the defendants for creating a false or misleading appearance relating to the price of a security. On Sept 17, 2010, the defendants were pronounced guilty of priming the stocks of United Envirotech (UET) over a three-day period from Dec 29, 2004 to Dec 31, 2004.

US: Stocks start the day lower

US: Stocks start the day lower

[WASHINGTON] US stocks were lower on Thursday morning as materials and energy stocks sank due to lower commodity prices and investors weighed the prospect of an increase in interest rates next month.
At 9.40 am ET (1440 GMT), the Dow Jones industrial average was down 144.71 points, or 0.82 per cent, at 17,557.51.
The S&P 500 was down 13.53 points, or 0.65 per cent, at 2,061.47 and the Nasdaq Composite index was down 30.06 points, or 0.59 per cent, at 5,036.96.
The selloff was broad based with all 10 major S&P sectors in the red and only 5 of the 30 Dow components were higher.
Fed Chair Janet Yellen said that the central bank must weigh the effects of post-crisis financial regulations and new channels through which policy affects markets as it prepares to raise interest rates. She did not comment on the rate hike timing or the US economy.
REUTERS

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