Sunday, August 2, 2015

Ringgit falls to 16-year low as China data dims exports outlook

Ringgit falls to 16-year low as China data dims exports outlook 

[KUALA LUMPUR] The ringgit fell for a third day amid contractions in Malaysian and Chinese factory output, dimming the outlook for the Southeast Asian economy that's under pressure from a slump in oil.
The currency dropped to a 16-year low as the Nikkei Malaysia Purchasing Managers' Index of manufacturing held below the level of 50, signaling a contraction for a fourth month in July, while a similar gauge in China was under that threshold for a fifth month. As Prime Minister Najib Razak deals with a corruption scandal linked to state investment company 1Malaysia Development Bhd., data on Wednesday may show exports shrank again in June, as they have for most of this year.
The China PMI wasn't "good news for Malaysia exports given the heightened concerns over China's struggling growth and the lower oil price," said Sim Moh Siong, a currency strategist at Bank of Singapore Ltd.
The ringgit weakened 0.2 per cent Monday to 3.8323 a dollar as of 11:26 am in Kuala Lumpur, prices from local banks compiled by Bloomberg show. It earlier fell as much as 0.3 per cent to 3.8355, the lowest level since 1998 when the region was grappling with the Asian financial crisis.
Ten-year government bonds dropped for a seventh day, with the yield rising two basis points to 4.09 per cent, according to Bursa Malaysia prices. The five-year yield declined four basis points to 3.62 per cent.
Overseas shipments contracted 1.5 per cent in June from a year earlier, according to the median estimate in a Bloomberg survey ahead of Wednesday's figures. They've only risen once this year and that was in March.
BLOOMBERG

Foreigners flee Thai stocks as patience wanes over pledges

Foreigners flee Thai stocks as patience wanes over pledges


[BANGKOK] Foreign investors are selling Thai stocks at the fastest pace this year as the nation's military government struggles to deliver on pledges to revive economic growth.
Overseas funds unloaded a net US$774 million of Thai shares in July as the benchmark SET Index fell 4.3 per cent. The baht is trading near the weakest level in more than six years after slumping 3.4 per cent against the US dollar last month.
The selloff suggests international money managers are losing patience amid falling exports, weak corporate earnings and a contraction in manufacturing. Prime Minister Prayuth Chan-Ocha has failed to make much headway on planned investments in transport infrastructure, disappointing investors who had bet the projects would help kick-start Southeast Asia's second- largest economy.
"We still don't see any bargains," said Roshan Padamadan, a Singapore-based money manager at Luminance Global Fund. "A dark cloud is hanging over the horizon."


The finance ministry last week cut its forecasts for exports and gross domestic product growth for a third time this year. A factory output index has fallen every month but one since March 2013, while exports have declined each month this year.
The government has disbursed less than half the 450 billion baht (S$17.85 billion) earmarked for roads, mass transit and other infrastructure projects in the fiscal year ending Sept 30.
The SET Index dropped 0.4 per cent to 1,434.79 as of 10.22am in Bangkok on Monday, heading for the first decline in three days. The baht fell 0.1 per cent.
TOURISM BOOST
The SET gauge entered a correction in July after dropping 11 per cent from its Feb 13 peak. The measure trades at 13.7 times projected 12-month earnings, or 8.7 per cent more expensive than its five-year average.
Foreign outflows may abate as traders with short-term strategies may have already sold their holdings, said Juckchai Boonyawat, the Bangkok-based chief distribution officer at Manulife Asset Management Co International investors have sold US$1.24 billion of Thai stocks so far this year, following withdrawals of US$1.09 billion in 2014 and US$6.21 billion in 2013.
"Overseas investors with a long-term strategy are the ones who still hold Thai stocks," Mr Juckchai said. "We expect the government's spending to come into effect from the fourth quarter onward. We are overweighting some construction companies, which will directly benefit from that state spending." Thailand's tourism sector is also getting a boost from the baht's 6.4 per cent plunge over the past six months.
The SET Tourism & Leisure Index has risen 7.3 per cent this year, compared a 3.8 per cent decline for the benchmark gauge.
Still, lackluster earnings in the broader market are deterring investors. Profits for SET index companies grew less than 4 per cent in the three months ended June 30, after declining for three straight quarters through March, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.
"Listed companies' earnings growth has been disappointing as a result of the weak economy," said Win Phromphaet, the head of investment at Social Security Office, which overseas about US$37 billion as Thailand's largest investor.
BLOOMBERG

Surbana Jurong open to strategic alliances

Surbana Jurong open to strategic alliances

Group chairman sees huge prospects in underground developments, healthcare, aviation


Singapore
HOMEGROWN urbanisation consultancy Surbana Jurong may be pitting itself against large multinational engineering competitors as it guns for mega projects globally and although it now has the scale and technical expertise to clinch big jobs, it is also open to working with those players through strategic alliances.
"Competition is steep because the big boys are big. But in my own assessment, we can be as good as any of them - in terms of technical skills, in terms of scale now," said group chairman Liew Mun Leong in a recent interview with The Business Times.
"We can also have strategic alliances with some of them to bid for big jobs and we are in discussions with some major players."




The growth areas identified by the company, such as healthcare, aviation and underground developments, require strong domain knowledge. Strategic alliances enable it to acquire such knowledge quickly.
Mr Liew stressed that the group needs to "take advantage of the timing" as Asia undergoes massive urbanisation and a flurry of development activities to build cities and infrastructure occur in this part of the world.
Freshly minted from the merger of Surbana International Consultants Holdings and Jurong International Holdings, Surbana Jurong harnesses technical experience that the two companies have accumulated over the past 50 years across projects including township planning, the development of ports and airports, and reclamation works.
Its recent acquisition of Singapore engineering company KTP Consultants and China's design firm Sinosun Architects & Engineering Co Ltd immediately doubled its reach in China from nine to 16 cities, ramped up its staff strength by a quarter to over 4,000 and deepened its technical capabilities.
However, it remains on the lookout for more merger and acquisition targets in order to reach 6,000 in staff strength and to double its annual consultancy fees from S$500 million to between S$1 billion and S$1.5 billion within the next three to five years.
"To do infrastructure, we need scale. Many of these big projects are done by the big multinationals," said Mr Liew. "There are hardly any in Asia-Pacific. We are now positioning ourselves to take this role of being a big MNC that can handle big urbanisation and infrastructure programmes."
The top five international engineering companies - WorleyParsons, Jacobs, Fluor Corp, Aecom and Fugro NV - each command annual design revenues above US$3 billion from projects outside their home countries, according to a 2014 ranking by Engineering News-Record (ENR) magazine.
"We are far behind and we want to catch up," Mr Liew said.
"The market is at our doorstep in Asia, using our showcase projects," he added, referring to Singapore's Changi Airport, the Jurong Rock Cavern and the now-under-construction Tuas mega port.
Surbana Jurong recently completed and handed over the final masterplan for the capital of the Indian state of Andhra Pradesh, Amaravati, which will be one of the largest infrastructure projects in India.
Several other projects are underway. The group is providing design and engineering review and project management consultancy services for the US$800 million expansion of Ibrahim Nasir International Airport in the Maldives and developing a masterplan for Myanmar's i-Land Industrial Park, a 400-acre new development in Bago City.
The company's staff profile is increasingly reflective of its global footprint, Mr Liew pointed out. It now employs people from 40 nationalities spread across 26 offices in 207 cities worldwide. Over 1,400 of its staff are engineers and architects.
Mr Liew said Surbana Jurong is keen to deepen its expertise in architecture and design. With healthcare facilities still in shortage in some parts of Asia, the group hopes to work with players with design expertise in healthcare.
Surbana Jurong is also recruiting engineers from overseas such as Europe and Australia for niche skills in aviation engineering and underground engineering.
The development of underground space could be the next big wave in land-scarce Singapore, Mr Liew pointed out.
As a prelude of things to come, the government passed two Bill amendments in March to facilitate long-term planning of the use and development of underground space and provide greater clarity on underground ownership. The amendment to the State Lands Act clarifies that surface landowners own space up to 30 metres below a level known as the Singapore height datum that is pegged to the mean historical sea level, while the amendment to the Land Acquisition Act allows for the acquisition of a specific stratum of space to facilitate the development of public projects.
"We can do a lot underground. Singapore island is two-thirds granite, so it has to take off," Mr Liew said. "In 1992, I talked about this already, but nobody listened to me."
Mr Liew and his team have lately made several study visits to Helsinki and Tokyo. He observed that carparks, water and materials storage, water treatment plants, containers, flood alleviation systems, stadiums, and even swimming pools can be built underground.
In June, Singapore's water agency PUB said it is looking into the technical and economic feasibility of using underground space for water drainage and storage through a two-year study.
According to Mr Liew, Surbana Jurong now possesses crucial engineering expertise. Many engineers who were involved in the Jurong Rock Cavern, South-east Asia's first underground oil storage facility, are now part of Surbana Jurong while some of its experienced hires also came from top global engineering firms.
But he stressed that it is important that the dice not be loaded against Singapore companies when they compete for jobs here against international firms. He recalled how there were reservations within the government in the 1970s about whether the Public Works Department of Singapore (PWD) - seen as only having experience in building drains, sewers, roads, bus-stops, government offices and schools - was able to handle the large-scale development of Changi Airport within a tight time-frame. Mr Liew was then a young engineer at PWD.
But a feasibility study led by three top civil servants concluded that the project could be implemented. Changi Airport's first terminal became operational exactly on target on July 1, 1981.
"We did it, and we did it on time," Mr Liew said. "We proved that local talent can do it.
"

DBS strengthens transaction banking with senior management appointment

DBS strengthens transaction banking with senior management appointment


DBS Bank has hired seasoned banker Iain Taylor as its global transaction services (GTS) chief operating officer. Mr Taylor will play a strategic role in leading the business to execute its growth plans when he joins DBS on Sept 15.
Mr Taylor is currently the head of transaction banking at New Zealand-based ASB Bank, responsible for building and leading a team of professionals covering payables, receivables, cards, liquidity and connectivity. Under his leadership, the business has doubled over the past three years. Prior to ASB Bank, he spent 18 years at HSBC where he led the payments and cash management businesses in key Asian growth markets such as Singapore, Indonesia and South Korea, as well as held management roles in market development and marketing for transaction banking in the Asia Pacific.
John Laurens, head of global transaction services, DBS, said: "Growing the GTS franchise is one of the bank's strategic priorities and the business has grown from strength to strength the past few years. We are very pleased to have Iain on board as we continue on our journey of making transaction banking a key growth driver of the bank."



Gold extends weakness after worst month in 2 years

Gold extends weakness after worst month in 2 years


[MANILA] Gold edged lower on Monday, trading near a 5-1/2-year low, as expectations for a near-term hike in U.S. interest rates spurred selling even after bullion fell the most since 2013 in July.
Gold's rout deepened last month as the US dollar strengthened after upbeat US economic data and comments by the Federal Reserve signaled the US central bank is on course to raise interest rates for the first time in nine years.
That rate hike could come as early as September, presenting more downside risk for non-interest yielding gold. "The story's simple yet powerful enough to inject a bearish trend for gold," said Barnabas Gan, analyst at OCBC Bank.
Spot gold was down 0.1 per cent at US$1,093.90 an ounce by 0237 GMT. The metal fell as low as US$1,079.50 on Friday, near last month's trough of US$1,077, its weakest since February 2010.



Bullion lost almost 7 per cent in July, its deepest monthly fall since June 2013. It fell for a sixth straight week last week, its longest retreat since 1999.
Investors are eyeing the next monthly US nonfarm payrolls report on Friday, and a strong print could mean further weakness for gold, said Mr Gan. "If indicators show the US economy is improving very strongly, it does give a cue that gold may breach the US$1,000 support," he said.
US gold for December delivery slipped 0.1 per cent to US$1,093.60 an ounce.
Hedge funds and money managers kept their first bearish stance in COMEX gold in at least a decade during the week ended July 28, suggesting the recent mass exodus from bullion was more than a knee-jerk reaction.
There is unlikely to be strong technical support for gold until it hits the February 2010 low of around US$1,044, said INTL FCStone analyst Edward Meir, who expects the metal to trade between US$1,050 and $US1,131 through this month.
Amid waning interest in bullion, holdings in SPDR Gold Trust , the world's largest gold-backed exchange-traded fund, dropped again, to 21.63 million ounces on Friday, the lowest since September 2008.
Spot platinum dropped 0.4 per cent and palladium gained 0.5 per cent, with both not far off multi-year lows. INTL FCStone's Meir expects continued weakness in August on more South African supply and slower Chinese car sales.
Spot silver eased 0.2 per cent to US$14.74 an ounce.
REUTERS

SGX continues to monitor Noble, notes plans for additional disclosure

SGX continues to monitor Noble, notes plans for additional disclosure

By
angelat@sph.com.sg  

SINGAPORE Exchange (SGX) on Monday said it would continue to closely monitor developments in Noble Group and noted the group's plans to provide additional disclosures.
"We stand ready to take action against any market misconduct including any suspected manipulation and will work with the relevant authorities as appropriate,'' SGX said.
The exchange noted Noble's announcements early Monday, which included plans to provide additional disclosures around the Yancoal valuation and on the inventory sales.
SGX had noted unusual trading of Noble shares on Jul 30 and had issued a public query to the Hong Kong-based company, which had replied that it was not aware of any reason that could explain share trading activities. SGX subsequently issued a "Trade with Caution" alert.


On Monday, Noble opened at S$0.475, and hit S$0.495 a share. At 11:50am, it was trading around S$0.485, up S$0.03, or 6.59 per cent, with more tha 80 million shares traded.
Noble said it would unveil its second quarter results earlier, on Aug 10 instead of Aug 13 to address market speculations and allegations. Aug 10 is a public holiday in Singapore.
It said its board been made aware of misleading information being spread about the company in what appears to be an attempt to manipulate its share price.
"The board has a duty to respond to these allegations. The board believes that all the misleading and untruthful information which has been disseminated will be fully and positively resolved by the publication of the company's Q2 results presentation; by the results of the previously announced PWC independent assurance report in connection with the carrying value of long term physical commodity contracts, and by our previously announced forthcoming "Investor Day",'' it said.
Additional disclosures around the Yancoal valuation and on the inventory sales will be released as part of Noble's Q2 results on Aug 10. The "Investor Day" in Singapore will be held on a date to be announced.
The troubled commodities group - which has seen its share price erode more than 60 per cent since February when allegations over its accounting policies first emerged - said it has been approached by a number of parties in terms of potential financings, and strategic and/or investment options, but there is no guarantee that any transaction will occur in the near future.
Addressing market rumours over its ability to fund the US$735 million bond redemption due on August 4, Noble said it has ample funds to do so and will still have readily available cash of well over US$1 billion after.
"In addition to this significant readily available cash, we would also like to provide the following update in terms of our liquidity and available credit as of the end of July: namely, we currently have around US$15 billion in bank lines,'' the company said.
Noble said "its Q2 performance is satisfactory and we can also confirm that our business in the first month of Q3 is ahead of our Q2".
On allegations of its growing need to depend on fair value gains for profitability, Noble said its net fair value gains have fallen again in the Q2 and details will given with Q2 results, whilst operating income and profits remain positive.

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