Friday, February 6, 2015

Eurozone gives Greece five days to come up with debt plan

Eurozone gives Greece five days to come up with debt plan

[ATHENS] Greece's eurozone partners on Friday gave the new Athens government five days to come up with a plan to renegotiate its foreign loans, after a week of intense EU meetings failed to secure a breakthrough.
Ministers from the 19 nations that use the single currency will hold an extraordinary meeting on Wednesday in Brussels to discuss the stand-off between Greece's anti-austerity government and its international creditors.
"Before then, we expect the Greek government will make a proposal on how things should move forward," German foreign ministry spokesman Martin Jaeger told reporters in Berlin.
The EU portion of Greece's 240-billion-euro (US$275-billion) EU-IMF bailout is due to expire February 28, leaving just weeks for Athens and Brussels to reach a compromise or risk a default that could send Greece crashing out of the euro.
No major decision is expected at the Eurogroup meeting but it might ease the pressure on a summit of European Union leaders the following day, where Greece is likely to feature heavily, a European source said.
Greek Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras and Finance Minister Yanis Varoufakis visited Paris, London, Rome, Frankfurt, Brussels and Berlin this week to try to win over EU leaders to their plan to ease the crushing burden of Greece's debts.
The tour began well but ended with a meeting between Varoufakis and German Finance Minister Wolfgang Schaeuble who restated his country's opposition to debt relief and expressed deep scepticism over Athens' plans.
"We even didn't agree to disagree," a downbeat Mr Varoufakis told reporters after the talks on Thursday.
Italian Finance Minister Pier Carlo Padoan stressed on Friday that the goal next week was not to set up a confrontation with Greece but to "look for shared solutions".
"We need to find a solution that puts Greece back on a path to sustainable economic growth and is compatible with its financial commitments," he said, according to Italian news agencies.
A Greek government source said the Eurogroup meeting was no surprise and was a "welcome" chance to discuss its plans.
Spokesman Gabriel Sakellaridis told Vima Radio that it was in no sense an ultimatum, adding: "The sooner a solution is found, the better for the government and for the EU."
Addressing the first meeting of his Syriza party lawmakers in parliament Thursday, Tsipras insisted his government would keep its campaign promises to end austerity.
"We are a sovereign country, we have democracy, we have a contract with our people, we will honour this agreement," he said.
In a remarkable show of support for the government, thousands of people gathered outside parliament that evening, standing silently in Syntagma Square.
"We have nothing to lose," said Stavroula Drakopoulou, a 55-year-old teacher who joined the crowd on a square that has in previous years been the scene of violent protests.
In a sign of the pressure Athens is under to reconcile its campaign promises and its financial commitments, the government put back the date of the unveiling of its legislative agenda from Saturday to Sunday evening.
The Greek government spooked the markets in its first week in office by halting key privatisation projects and announcing it would no longer cooperate with the hated "troika" of auditors from the EU, European Central Bank and the International Monetary Fund who are charged with enforcing the terms of Greece's bailout.
Mr Tsipras and Mr Varoufakis later softened their tone but Germany, viewed by many Greeks as the main obstacle on any easing of austerity, remained opposed.
A debt write-down was not up for discussion, Mr Schaeuble said, adding: "I was unable to hide my scepticism... that some of the measures do not go in the right direction".
Varoufakis was likely hoping for a more sympathetic ear when he met with US Treasury deputy assistant secretary Daleep Singh in Athens earlier Friday.
US President Barack Obama gave Athens a boost last week when he warned against "squeezing" debt-ravaged countries such as Greece, whose economy has shrunk by one quarter since 2008.
US ambassador David Pearce also met with members of the new government and called on Greece Friday to "work cooperatively" with its EU colleagues and the IMF.
The Greek stock market closed 1.97 per cent down at 803 points, after a volatile day Thursday sparked by the ECB's shock move to cut off a source of funds for Greek banks.
AFP
 

World can't rely on US to carry economy forever: Canada


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World can't rely on US to carry economy forever: Canada

[WHITBY, Ontario] Although the United States is carrying the world economy at the moment, "that is simply not sustainable", and other major nations need to re-assert themselves, Canadian Finance Minister Joe Oliver said on Friday.
Mr Oliver said in a speech that the world economy was off to a rough start in 2015 and that kick-starting growth would be the focus of a Group of 20 meeting in Turkey next week.
REUTERS
 

Update: Greece says no to EU on any commitment to existing bailout

Update: Greece says no to EU on any commitment to existing bailout


[ATHENS] Greek Finance Minister Yanis Varoufakis will not agree to anything at a meeting with eurozone partners next week that keeps Greece's current international bailout programme in place, a government official said on Friday.
Instead Greece will ask for a "bridge agreement" to keep its finances running until Athens is able to present a new debt and reform programme.
"We will not accept any deal which is not related to a new programme," the official, who asked not to be named, said.
Mr Varoufakis has just returned to Athens after a tour of European capitals in which he received scant support for his new left-wing government's pledge to end austerity imposed under the bailout from the European Union and International Monetary Fund.



Eurogroup finance ministers will discuss how to proceed with financial support for Athens at a special session next Wednesday in preparation for talks among EU leaders on the issue the following day.
The Greek official said Mr Varoufakis was expecting tough treatment from his partners at the meeting, including a demand that Greece commit to the existing bailout programme, which ends at the end of February, and then accept an extension.
This is anathema to the new Greek government, led by radical left-wing Syriza party, that came to power on a wave of anti-austerity anger in elections last month.
Germany, the major eurozone power, wants the government to go back on anti-austerity promises made in its first days in office and revert to economic policies agreed by its predecessor with international lenders.
A document prepared by Berlin for the Eurogroup meeting stressed that Athens must not roll back any of the cutbacks and reforms made so far.
REUTERS






Sony shuttering all retail stores in Canada

Sony is closing all retail stores in Canada

Sony is pulling the plug on its 14 retail locations in Canada.
The company informed employees at multiple locations on Thursday that it will be closing up shop in the next six to eight weeks.
A spokesperson from Sony Canada confirmed the move to CTV News. Sony refused to give a reason for the closure.
Sony says 90 employees will be affected.
Sony has reportedly decided to move toward an online-only retail format.
The company has already shut a number of Canadian locations, including a store at the Eaton Centre in Toronto.
Sony has retail locations in Vancouver, Calgary, Edmonton, Toronto, Ottawa, Montreal and Quebec City.

Thursday, February 5, 2015

Global deflation alarms ring louder as EU, Chinese factories struggle

Global deflation alarms ring louder as EU, Chinese factories struggle

European and Chinese factories slashed prices in January as production flatlined, heightening global deflation risks that point to another wave of central bank stimulus in the coming year.
While the pulse of activity was livelier in other parts of Asia - Japan, India and South Korea - they too shared a common condition of slowing inflation.
Central banks from Switzerland to Turkey via Canada and Singapore have already loosened monetary policy in the past few weeks.
The European Central Bank also announced a near-trillion-euro quantitative easing program in a bid to revive inflation and drive up growth, though much of the bloc's Purchasing Managers' Index survey was collated before that announcement.
"There are a lot of places where central banks are focusing on easing rather than anything else. In the euro zone the ECB is going all-out now," said Jacqui Douglas, senior global strategist at TD Securities.
"Looking at the rest of Europe we are expecting more easing from Sweden and Norway, that is where most central banks are leaning right now. There is no real rush to move ahead with rate hikes."
Markit's final PMI reading for the euro zone, published on Monday, was 51.0, in line with the flash estimate. Although at a six-month high, it was only just above the 50 mark that separates growth from contraction. In December the index came in at 50.6.
Worryingly for policymakers, firms cut prices in January at the steepest rate since mid-2013. Data on Friday showed annual inflation was a record-equaling low of -0.6 percent in January across the 19 nations using the euro.
In Britain, manufacturing grew slightly faster but factories cut prices at the fastest pace since 2009. The Bank of England will keep interest rates at a record low until at least October, later than previously thought, a Reuters poll found last week. [GB/PMIM] [BOE/INT]
"With oil prices having stabilized at around $45 per barrel now, it seems likely that lower oil prices should continue to enable manufacturers to lower prices and so support demand," said Paul Hollingsworth at Capital Economics.
Still to come later on Monday is a sister manufacturing survey from Markit covering the United States, as well as the Institute for Supply Management's U.S. factory index, which is forecast to have slipped to 54.5 in January from 55.1. ECONUS
EASING CHINA?
Earlier, a pair of surveys from China showed manufacturing struggling at the start of 2015 in the world's second biggest economy.
The Chinese HSBC/Markit PMI inched up a fraction to 49.7. But of more concern the official PMI, which is biased towards large factories, unexpectedly showed activity shrank for the first time in nearly 2-1/2 years.
The reading of 49.8 in January was down from December's 50.1 and missed a median forecast of 50.2. The report showed input costs sliding at their fastest rate since March 2009, with lower prices for oil and steel playing major roles.
Ordinarily, cheaper energy prices would be good for China, one of the world's most intensive energy consumers, but many economists believe the phenomenon is a net negative for Chinese firms because of its impact on demand.
The PMIs only fueled bets on a weaker yuan and that more monetary easing was in store in Beijing too.
"China still needs decent growth to add 100 million new jobs this year, plus China is entering a rapid disinflation process," ANZ economists said in a note to clients.
"We (think) the People's Bank of China will cut the reserve requirement ratio by 50 basis points and cut the deposit rate by 25 basis points in the first quarter."
The downdraft has also spread into China's hitherto buoyant services sector, the lone bright spot in the economy last year. Service activity expanded at its lowest level in a year.
Slightly better news came from Japan, where the central bank has been pursuing an aggressive bond-buying campaign for over a year in a bid to revive growth and shake the country out of decades of deflation.
The final Markit/JMMA PMI edged up in January as the sustained weakness of the yen drove up exports. Improving exports were also a feature of South Korea's PMI which returned to growth for the first time in five months.
India's manufacturing activity continued to grow, though the headline index eased a touch but importantly for the prospect of more policy stimulus, cost pressures were the mildest in 70 months as commodity prices fell.

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Greek banks hit after ECB snub, Athens rejects 'blackmail'

Greek banks hit after ECB snub, Athens rejects 'blackmail'

greecetsipras

Greek borrowing costs leapt and bank shares were hit hard on Thursday after the European Central Bank abruptly pulled the plug on its funding for the country's financial sector in what Athens labelled an act of coercion.
The ECB decision to stop accepting Greek bonds in return for funds shifts the burden onto Athens' central bank to finance its lenders and marks a big setback for the leftist-led government's attempt to negotiate a new debt deal with its euro zone peers.
The Athens Stock Exchange FTSE Banks Index .FTATBNK plunged 22.6 percent at the open before recovering somewhat. Three-year government borrowing costs leapt more than three percentage points to nearly 20 percent, leaving Greece utterly shut out of the markets.
"Greece does not aim to blackmail anyone but will not be blackmailed either," A Greek government official said in a statement. "The ECB's decision ... is an act of political pressure to quickly reach a deal."
Finance Minister Yanis Varoufakis, who pleaded in vain with ECB President Mario Draghi on Wednesday to keep funding Greek banks for several months while Athens negotiates a debt deal, met German Finance Minister Wolfgang Schaeuble on Thursday after Berlin set out uncompromising terms for any further aid.
In a policy paper circulated to EU officials and seen by Reuters, Germany said Greece must stick to the terms of the 240 billion euro bailout negotiated by the previous government, and not roll back planned privatisations and cuts in the minimum wage, pensions and the public sector workforce.[ID:nL6N0VE4S3]
Greek banks have been given approval to tap an additional 10 billion euros in emergency funding over an existing ceiling if necessary, the Greek official said.
Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras and Varoufakis have spent the week touring EU capitals trying to build support for a debt renegotiation and an easing of austerity measures under the country's bailout programme which both say they have no interest in extending beyond the end of February.
They have found scant backing in Paris, Rome, Frankfurt or Brussels even before Varoufakis's meeting with Schaeuble, the most hardline euro zone finance minister.
European Commission Vice President Valdis Dombrovskis said Athens must extend its bailout programme, due to expire on Feb. 28, to gain time to negotiate a longer-term programme.
"In the European Commission's assessment the most realistic way forward is to ... extend the duration of the programme for another couple months or half a year," Dombrovskis told the Reuters Euro Zone Summit.
The new Greek leaders have had a cool reception even in left-leaning countries such as France and Italy which Athens had hoped would support its case for debt relief.
French President Francois Hollande told a news conference the ECB decision to restrict funding for Greece was legitimate and put the onus on euro zone governments to hammer out a deal on the Greek debt crisis, and on Athens to present reforms.
EMERGENCY ROOM
Two Greek banks had already begun to tap the more costly emergency liquidity assistance from the Bank of Greece after an outflow of deposits accelerated following the victory of the hard left Syriza party in a Jan. 25 election, banking sources had told Reuters.
The health of Greece's big banks is central to keeping the country afloat.
The Greek Finance Ministry said the ECB decision put pressure on the Eurogroup of euro zone finance ministers to reach a deal that would be "mutually beneficial" for both Athens and its euro zone partners.
But while Varoufakis has called for time until May to agree some form of debt swap, the ECB move tightened the screws on Athens to accept an extension of the current bailout plan or reach a rapid new arrangement.
Bundesbank chief Jens Weidmann said even emergency lending from the Bank of Greece should be a short-term measure. That credit line can be stopped if a two-thirds majority on the ECB Governing Council vote to do so although such a decision would likely lead to the collapse of Greece's financial system.
"ELA should only be awarded for the short term and to solvent banks," Weidmann told business daily Boersen Zeitung in an interview.
"As the banks and the state are closely bound in Greece, the economic and fiscal policy course that the Greek government follows plays an important role in this assessment," he said.
Speaking later in Venice, Weidmann demanded that countries bear the consequences of their own fiscal decisions and warned that any move to bail out a euro zone member could lead to the spread of doubts about solvency.
With the Greek public determined to cast off the stigma of supervision by a troika of EU, IMF and ECB inspectors, the semantics of any new arrangement may be crucial.
A source familiar with the Greek position said after the talks with Draghi: "We are thinking of a bridging programme. You may not call it a 'programme' for political reasons but perhaps a contract."
Tsipras, 40, won power promising to negotiate a debt write-off, reverse some key reforms and end budget cuts. At home, his poll ratings are high and the media is extolling his stance but if he fails to deliver, that may change.

Itsuo Toshima: Greece's crisis, China's chance?

February 5, 2015 12:00 am JST

Itsuo Toshima: Greece's crisis, China's chance?

Europe will never let Greece leave the eurozone without a fight. The reason? Geopolitical risk. The Balkan Peninsula is in a key strategic position -- the eastern gateway to the Mediterranean for Asian nations.
     "China is busy buying airports and ports in our country," a man in Athens said. One of China's biggest state-run shipping companies, known as Cosco, recently signed a 35-year, 3.4 billion euro ($3.83 billion) concession deal for container terminals in Piraeus, a port city within the Athens metropolitan area. Cosco also bought facilities for land transportation and packing near Piraeus, expanding the port's transshipment capacity. The Chinese company is now reportedly angling for a 23% stake in the port's operator.
     Cosco moved to acquire a port in Crete, and it faced widespread public opposition over its bid for the port of Thessaloniki, the second-largest city in Greece. Flexing its financial muscle, China offered the Greek government 500 million euros for a 20-year concession contract for Athens International Airport, beginning in 2026.
     Some fear China is on a buying spree for Greek infrastructure, taking advantage of the country's unrest. A sense of caution toward the Chinese appears to be growing. In Piraeus, for example, wage negotiations between Chinese employers and local workers are deadlocked.
     During a visit to Greece, former Chinese Premier Wen Jiabao said, "Good friends are there to help when someone is in trouble." Meanwhile, local newspapers said that China was "breaking into" Greece. In Athens, it seemed that this fear and the resulting geopolitical reality are what have kept NATO and Germany from simply cutting ties with Greece.
     Chinese officials must be chuckling over fears Greece will exit the eurozone, as well as over the political turmoil bound to erupt after the Coalition of the Radical Left, or Syriza, swept to victory in the country's general election on Jan. 25.
National gloom
The lesson from the Greek debt crisis is that a borrower can be a winner if it owes far more than it can repay. The country is developing a "you can't give what you don't have" attitude -- when Greece received its second bailout and avoided a default, local newspapers called it a "victory of perseverance."
     For many Greeks, their identity is more strongly linked to their city or region than to the nation as a whole. This is partly due to Greece's history as a collection of city-states, such as Athens and Sparta.
     Disillusionment with national politics is another.
     "Ever since the dictatorship ended, this country has seen two main political parties take turns in the prime minister's seat," one Athens citizen said. "Political power is entrenched and corruption is everywhere."
     According to the citizen: "Many people feel that they are fine as long as their own yard is well-maintained. They do not care about other people's yards. For this reason, there is little willingness to unite to get through a crisis."
Toughing it out
The struggle on the ground goes on.
     In one family, the mother is a supporter and the daughter an opponent of Greece's exit from the eurozone. But they both fear that further measures under the current policy of austerity would render them homeless.
     The daughter is a dentist. The clinic she works for was open but has no patients, as people don't have the money to spare for a visit to the dentist. The family's house is a typical, comfortable middle-class home, but its toilet is broken and it does not have running water.
     And yet, that family is relatively well-off. A couple in their 40s said they have both lost their jobs and their savings will dry up in six months. They added they will probably end up relying on food handouts from churches.
     The divide between winners and losers is clear in countries that have encountered a financial crisis. Not all citizens are suffering from poverty, and of course the privileged will always do fine. But among average income earners, the winners are people who saved their money carefully. This may be a good lesson for citizens of other countries.
 Itsuo Toshima is an independent investment adviser based in Tokyo and a former Japan representative of the World Gold Council.

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