Saturday, January 10, 2015

Will Ron Paul’s ‘Audit the Fed’ bill get a fair shake in 2015?

Will Ron Paul’s ‘Audit the Fed’ bill get a fair shake in 2015?

  • Former Rep. Ron Paul’s desire to “Audit the Fed” may yet come to fruition in the coming year, as a much friendlier Congress takes up the issue and sends legislation to a GOP-controlled Senate – but it’s no ‘slam dunk’
For many years former U.S. Rep. Ron Paul, R-Texas, has called for an audit of the country’s central bank – the Federal Reserve – because he believes that its autonomy, coupled with its power to decide, on its own, U.S. economic and fiscal policy, is a power that needs congressional oversight.
And apparently, after more than a decade of working to convince fellow lawmakers of the need to conduct audits of the Fed, a majority of his now-former peers agreed: In September, the House passed a bill for the second time on a vote of 333-92, a larger margin than when the measure was first passed a few years earlier. The bill calls for the non-partisan Government Accountability Office (GAO) to review the Fed’s decision-making processes, and in particular on monetary policy.
As noted by The Washington Times:
Congress established the Federal Reserve a century ago. The system, which consists of a board of governors and 12 regional banks, acts as lenders of last resort to the country’s banking system, and is charged both with fighting inflation and promoting economic growth and employment.
In all that time, the Fed has never come under any sort of scrutiny or congressional oversight, short of the Senate confirmation process of naming and approving individuals nominated by the president to become chairpersons of the Fed.
As to what kind of power the Fed has wielded just in recent years following the Great Recession of 2007, this snippet from Reuters – which was reported on the confirmation of Janet Yellen as the new Fed chairman – is telling:
The Fed cut overnight interest rates to near zero in late 2008 and has quadrupled its balance sheet to more than $4 trillion through a series of massive bond purchase programs meant to push down longer-term borrowing costs.
That is real economic and fiscal power – a power that the founding fathers bestowed in Congress. Article I, Sect. 8 of the Constitution says Congress alone has the power:
To borrow money on the credit of the United States;
…and:
To coin money, regulate the value thereof, and of foreign coin, and fix the standard of weights and measures.
A central bank was never supposed to fulfill these roles. Indeed, many of the founders rejected the notion of a centralized federal bank because they feared it would grow too powerful, too independent and too difficult to control. Thomas Jefferson observed, “A private central bank issuing the public currency is a great menace to the liberties of the people than a standing army. … We must not let our rulers load us with perpetual debt.”
And yet, this is exactly what has happened; as of this writing, the U.S. national debt has surpassed an astounding $18 trillion (more than $7.5 trillion alone under President Obama and about $5 trillion under President Bush). The unfunded entitlements and liabilities bring that total to more $92 trillion, a figure that is just impossible to pay off.
Now, however, with a change in leadership in the Senate, Paul’s dream of establishing some congressional oversight over the Federal Reserve is as close to reality as it has ever been. Two years ago, outgoing Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid, D-Nev., changed his mind after campaigning on a platform that included a Fed audit; the first House-passed bill calling for an audit never made it past his desk.
But with incoming Majority Leader Mitch McConnell, R-Ky., there is a real possibility the measure could at least get a floor vote. As reported by Rare.us, a companion measure has been introduced in the Senate by none other than Ron Paul’s son. Sen. Rand Paul, from McConnell’s state of Kentucky.
There is still much opposition, however, from some of the usual suspects: Wall Street, the big banks (including foreign banks – all of which have benefitted financially thanks to Fed policies) and from Yellen herself. A couple weeks ago, she told reporters, “Back in 1978 Congress explicitly passed legislation to ensure that there would be no GAO audits of monetary policy decision-making, namely policy audits. I certainly hope that will continue, and I will try to forcefully make the case for why that’s important.”
Norman Singleton, vice president of policy for Ron Paul’s Campaign for Liberty and who spent years as Rep. Paul’s legislative director in the House, told the Washington Times, “This is popular with 75 percent of the American people, but it’s not popular among Wall Street; it’s not popular among banks; it’s not popular among foreign central banks.” He added, “These hold a fair amount of sway among both parties, so just to say that a change in party necessarily means we’ll be able to move Audit the Fed it’s better odds now than we’ve had before, but it’s not a slam dunk.”
Congress has the authority – and the people, through their elected representatives, have the right – to demand more openness from the Fed, and the sooner the better. In November 2011, Bloomberg Newsreported that big U.S. banks were beneficiaries of billions of dollars through sweetheart secret deals with The Fed during the taxpayer-funded bank bailouts, circa 2008-2009:
The Fed didn’t tell anyone which banks were in trouble so deep they required a combined $1.2 trillion on Dec. 5, 2008, their single neediest day. Bankers didn’t mention that they took tens of billions of dollars in emergency loans at the same time they were assuring investors their firms were healthy. And no one calculated until now that banks reaped an estimated $13 billion of income by taking advantage of the Fed’s below-market rates…
The amount of money the central bank parceled out was surprising even to Gary H. Stern, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis from 1985 to 2009, who says he “wasn’t aware of the magnitude.” It dwarfed the Treasury Department’s better-known $700 billion Troubled Asset Relief Program, or TARP. Add up guarantees and lending limits, and the Fed had committed $7.77 trillion as of March 2009 to rescuing the financial system, more than half the value of everything produced in the U.S. that year.
“TARP at least had some strings attached,” says Brad Miller, a North Carolina Democrat on the House Financial Services Committee, referring to the program’s executive-pay ceiling. “With the Fed programs, there was nothing.”
What are YOUR thoughts – is it time to Audit the Fed? Should Congress take back its fiscal policy authority, or should the U.S. keep a central bank? GIVE US YOUR TWO CENTS below!

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Friday, January 9, 2015

How a Silver Dollar Can Liberate You from Past and Future Inflation

How a Silver Dollar Can Liberate You from Past and Future Inflation

silver
by Mark Skousen, Daily Reckoning
Gold is not just another commodity, as they say in the Chicago trading pits, in typical Wall Street fashion. “Yeah, gold is just another commodity. It moves up and down and so on.”
But it’s not just another commodity, it’s money. It served as the foundation of the gold standard and silver standard as well. Gold and silver have been money for centuries. And so even today, it is held by central banks, and central banks are largely accumulating gold.
Now some of it may have been sold off recently, but both China and Russia are increasing their gold position because they know that the monetary system that we built up over the years, since Bretton Woods, is built on a foundation of sand – fiat money. And we were only experimenting now with a pure fiat money system, and it’s created quite a bit of instability.
p>And there’s a great deal of concern with our fractional reserve banking system, that eventually people might lose confidence. Our whole system, our monetary system is based on confidence that we accept a piece of paper that is – I always carry with me a piece of paper, and we have all these little pieces of paper in our pockets that we carry all the time. And it’s just paper. It has no obligation whatsoever. It says Federal Reserve Note, and it doesn’t even pay interest. So it’s a note that doesn’t pay interest. It’s just printed with a little piece of paper on it, and of course, they don’t allow counterfeiting. Otherwise, we’d all be very rich, right, because if you print more money, then that’s supposed to stimulate the economy. Well, maybe we should legalize counterfeiting because that would stimulate the economy.
But then I’m afraid that we would live up to Ludwig von Mises’ favorite statement that he said, government is the only agency that can take a valuable commodity like paper, slap some ink on it and make it totally worthless. And so the Austrians really understand that more than anybody.
I also keep in my pocket a silver dollar. And in 1960, these [the dollar and silver] were both worth the same. They circulated together. One ounce of silver or a silver dollar – Morgan silver – a Peace silver dollar and the one dollar. And they were both equal value. They were exchanged for equal, 1960. Well, what’s happened since 1960? They’ve printed up a lot of those pieces of paper, because the dollar has lost 95% of its value.
These silver dollars coins cost like $30.00 each. And in real terms, are worth three or four times what the paper money is. So this [silver dollar] has been a great investment, and this [paper dollar] has been worthless.
Liberate yourself from the inflation of the past and the future, and put a lot of faith in gold and silver.
See The Video>>>

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Overstock Installs Bitcoin ATM at Corporate HQ

Overstock Installs Bitcoin ATM at Corporate HQ

 (@tanayamacheel) | Published on January 9, 2015 at 22:50 GMT
CoinOutlet, OverstockUS retail giant Overstock has installed a bitcoin ATM in the lobby of its Salt Lake City, Utah headquarters.
Part of an effort to further encourage digital currency use amongst its staff, the news coincides with the announcement that it is in the process of offering its employees the option to receive their pay in bitcoin. Further, it comes just one year after it first began offering US customers a bitcoin payment option through Coinbase.
Overstock CEO Patrick Byrne, who has been an outspoken advocate of the digital currency, spoke to CoinDesk about the endeavor to give bitcoin a greater part of the global economy by first increasing its mainstream use.
"Right now you mention and bitcoins and for most people it’s like you’re talking about space cash," he said, adding:
“Things like an ATM machine and seeing people standing in line in front of you are what’s going to make it start registering for people.”
The ATM unit (pictured above) was manufactured by North Carolina-based CoinOutlet.

Employee bitcoin bonuses

Byrne said he is “confident” that a year from now Overstock could see its employee bitcoin pay scheme begin implementation, adding that it might even try it this year with employee bonuses, offering a 1% to 2% bonus should the employee choose accept it in bitcoin.
Overstock communications director and general manager of Overstock’s Cryptocurrencies Group Judd Bagley said that since the company has incorporated bitcoin into its business, the internal attitude toward the digital currency has developed significantly.
"I compare how people felt about it one year ago with today – when one year ago most people found it confusing, it was not at all intuitive," he said. "Now, a year after accepting bitcoin on the side and people doing their own research, it’s just part of the parlance; it doesn't surprise anyone here anymore."
He added:
"I thought we'd have to send out a company email explaining what this machine is in the lobby … everyone I’ve spoken to is really excited."

Byrne still bullish

Overstock’s continued support for and interest in bitcoin remains despite its missed sales expectations.
In September, Overstock launched internationally, and although earlier in 2014 the company hadestimated it could record up to $20m in sales, by December the figures were closer to $3m.
“I was really counting on a big year and nothing came,” he said. “There’s almost no international use of bitcoin.”
Nevertheless, Byrne said he sees bitcoin "as the fruition of a 500-year political movement" and has been especially vocal on the subject as the chief executive of a major retail company, a speaker at the Cato Institute and as a principal reporter of the website DeepCapture.
He said he sees bitcoin as representative of about 15 basis points of economic activity that the community can power to 1% or 2%.
“That’s growing gradually,” he said. “The wallets are growing tremendously but people aren’t using them very much … Like other technologies, it’ll gradually move from 15bp to 20bp to 30bp and then it’ll hit an inflection.”
ATM image via CoinOutlet
ATMsOverstockPatrick Byrne

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Musk’s SpaceX to use drone ship to recover rocket

Musk’s SpaceX to use drone ship to recover rocket

Published: Jan 9, 2015 3:12 p.m. ET

Space company hopes to make history — and save money



By


ENERGY REPORTER
SAN FRANCISCO (MarketWatch) — SpaceX will attempt to land a booster rocket on a drone ship on Saturday, a first step toward saving money — and making history — by deploying fully reusable rockets to propel cargo ships bound for the International Space Station.
The privately held space company called off the mission, its fifth, earlier this week due to a technical problem. The nail-biting moment is now slated for 4:47 a.m. Eastern from Cape Canaveral Air Force Station in Florida.
The flight’s goal is to launch SpaceX’s Dragon cargo ship to the ISS to deliver supplies. NASA said the Dragon will arrive at the space station on Monday, carrying more than 5,000 pounds of supplies, from food to scientific materials. NASA will televise the launch starting at 3:30 a.m. Eastern on Saturday.
SpaceX plans to land the booster rocket, called Falcon 9 first stage, on a custom-built ocean platform it has called the autonomous spaceport drone ship. The drone is 300 feet by 100 feet, with wings that extend its width to 170 feet.
That may sound huge, but not for the booster rocket, which is about 14 stories tall. And the drone ship will not be anchored, although it has engines to help it stay in place.
Elon Musk, the chief executive of electric-car maker Tesla Motors Inc. TSLA, -1.95%is the CEO of SpaceX as well and has previously tweeted details of the upcoming attempt.
SpaceX has said its chance of success are “not great” — 50% at best, according to the company’s website. It has been successful with soft landings, but a precision landing on the drone spaceport is “significantly more challenging,” it said. SpaceX was founded in 2002 with the “ultimate goal” of enabling humans to live on other planets, according to the website.
See Also: SpaceX boss hosts a Q&A ahead of rocket launch

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Canada’s trade deficit widens as oil shipments take a tumble

Canada’s trade deficit widens as oil shipments take a tumble

CargoShip
Canada’s November merchandise trade deficit widened as exports fell the most since January, 2012, on falling crude oil prices.
The deficit of $644-million followed an October reading that was revised to a $327-million deficit from a $99-million surplus, Statistics Canada said Wednesday in Ottawa. Economists surveyed by Bloomberg forecast a $200-million November shortfall, based on the median of 14 forecasts. The widest deficit prediction was $400-million.
Plunging prices for oil, Canada’s top export, may curb the value of shipments abroad this year even as manufacturers benefit from faster U.S. growth and a lower currency. Bank of Canada Governor Stephen Poloz said last month growth may be reduced if low prices persist, and economists surveyed by Bloomberg have cut their export forecast for this year.
Shipments of crude oil and bitumen dropped 9.9 percent to $6.9-billion in November. Prices fell 6.7 percent and volumes by 3.4 percent. Overall energy shipments have declined for six straight months. Canada’s total trade balance has worsened for four consecutive months.
West Texas Intermediate oil dropped below $48 a barrel Tuesday for the first time since April, 2009, as surging supply signaled that the global glut that drove crude into a bear market will persist. Bellatrix Exploration Ltd. said Dec. 22 it would cut its 2015 capital budget to $300-million from $400-million citing lower energy prices. The Calgary-based company develops oil and natural gas projects in western Canada.
Canada’s total exports fell 3.5 percent to $43.3-billion, the biggest percentage decline since January, 2012. Sales fell in nine of 11 categories, including an 8.3 percent decline to $5-billion for metal and non-metallic minerals.
Imports fell 2.7 percent to $43.9-billion, the first decline since June, Statistics Canada said.
The volume of exports declined 1.6 percent and import volumes fell 1.7 percent, Statistics Canada said. Volume figures adjust for price changes and can be a better indicator of how trade contributes to economic growth.
The surplus with the U.S. narrowed to $2.9-billion in November from $3.2-billion a month earlier. Exports make up about one-third of Canada’s economy, with about 75 percent of the shipments going to the U.S.
The deficit with countries other than the U.S. widened to $3.6-billion from $3.5-billion.


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ECB risks undermining QE if it opts for compromise plan

ECB risks undermining QE if it opts for compromise plan

People walk past the new ECB headquarters in Frankfurt December 4, 2014.   REUTERS/Kai Pfaffenbach
(Reuters) - The ECB is considering three main options for pumping money into the struggling euro zone economy but two of them could hurt confidence in the bloc's most indebted states, defeating the object of the exercise.
With euro zone consumer prices falling in December, for financial markets it's no longer a question of whether the European Central Bank will act to boost economic growth and ward off a deflationary spiral, but when.
President Mario Draghi may announce an ECB program of buying government bonds, using newly printed money intended to flood the wider economy, as soon as the Governing Council's next policy meeting on Jan. 22.
The main scenario for markets is that the ECB will join its U.S., Japanese and British peers in launching quantitative easing (QE) by buying government bonds in amounts proportionate to each euro zone state's shareholding in the bank.
But objections from the Germany's Bundesbank to the ECB taking on sovereign credit risk have raised two compromise solutions, as suggested by recent comments from ECB chief economist Peter Praet.
Option two is that national central banks buy the debt of their own governments, so the risk remains with the country in question. The third is the ECB buys only triple-A rated bonds, hoping that investors would turn to the lower-rated debt of weaker euro zone government which, while riskier, offers a better return.
However, economists believe the second and third options could backfire. If the ECB were unwilling to take on the risk of holding Greek, Italian, Spanish or Portuguese debt, private investors might ask themselves why they should do it.
The main scenario preferred by investors appears most in keeping with the solidarity principles of European monetary union. If the ECB had to take losses on the bonds of a member state which could not repay its debt, the central bank would have to be recapitalized by all 19 euro zone governments.
Private investors would also suffer losses in any debt write-off but at least the pain would be shared. By contrast, options two and three would not spread risk across the union; investors could therefore seek a premium on lower-rated bonds, pushing up yields for the governments of the very countries that need lower borrowing costs most.
"It seems like a step away from the whole notion of monetary union," said Luke Bartholomew, investment manager at Aberdeen Asset Management, a firm with over 400 billion euros of assets.
"Secondly, it is a pretty explicit acknowledgement of the credit risk that the ECB doesn't want to have on the balance sheet and that is a signal that they don't want to send."

COMPROMISE
Government borrowing costs set the standard for the interest rates that businesses and consumers pay for funds, and QE aims to deliver an economic boost by bringing them down. But under options two and three, they might even rise in the euro zone's "peripheral" economies which are struggling to grow and suffering from high unemployment.
"If central banks cannot agree on risk sharing and they are reminding the market of the risk, then it's not getting the same bang for the buck in terms of how much sentiment improves as they would get with the first option," said Michael Krautzberger, head of European bonds at BlackRock, the world's largest money manager.
Krautzberger said he would have a "less constructive" attitude to peripheral bonds if the ECB rejected the main scenario. He said he would prefer that the ECB compromised on the size of the program rather than dropping this option.
Option three is seen as the worst, one which some investors believe might even lead to a sell-off in peripheral bonds.
The potential size of the program is limited from the start. RBS calculations show triple-A rated debt amounts to 3.3 trillion euros of the 7 trillion euro zone market.
In the euro zone, Germany alone still has the top rating from all credit agencies although Austria, Finland, Luxemburg and the Netherlands have a triple-A rating from at least one agency. France is now top rated by only the small DBRS agency, but this should be enough for the ECB to buy its debt.
About half the top-rated bonds already offer yields of less than 10 basis points or even negative returns, so it is unlikely that they would fall much further, limiting the market impact per euro printed by the ECB.
DRAGHI'S PROMISE
However, RBS senior European economist Richard Barwell said markets might accept a compromise that falls short of the main scenario, provided the ECB could make clear that limits to the size and scope of purchases were not permanent.
But the ECB's reluctance to take on peripheral debt could be seen as breaking Draghi's promise at the height of the euro zone crisis in 2012 to do whatever it takes to save the common currency.
"It depends if you think it is the end of the road," said Darren Williams, European economist at AllianceBernstein. "The experience of the past couple of years shows ... that if the ECB needs to do more, then it will do more."
Reference: Marius Zaharia
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