Monday, July 31, 2017

Here are the metrics behind Facebook's monster second quarter

Here are the metrics behind Facebook's monster second quarter

Mark Zuckerberg HarvardFacebook Founder and CEO Mark Zuckerberg AP
With Facebook stock rising about 42% year to date, and about 13% in the past three months, expectations were undoubtedly high ahead of the social network's second-quarter earnings release on Wednesday. But its results didn't disappoint. Driven by its rapidly rising advertising revenue, total revenue and profit both surged during the quarter.
Here's a close look at Facebook's monster second quarter, including an update on user growth, management's outlook, and more.
Screen Shot 2017 07 28 at 11.54.19 AMThe Motley Fool
Revenue increased 45% year over year. Though the growth rate was down from the 49% revenue growth Facebook posted in Q2, the social network's total revenue of $9.3 billion exceeded analysts' consensus estimate for revenue of $9.2 billion. 
Revenue growth during the quarter was entirely driven by growth in advertising revenue. Accounting for 98% of the quarter's revenue, advertising revenue was up 47% year over year. Facebook's "payments and other fees" revenue, which accounts for the remaining revenue, fell 20% year over year.
Since Facebook's revenue rose faster than expenses during the quarter, the company's operating margin expanded from 42% in the year-ago quarter to 47% in Q2. Facebook's sharp increase in revenue paired with its operating-margin expansion meant net income soared. Net income was up 71% year over year, helping Facebook's EPS rise an impressive 69%. Facebook's EPS of $1.32 handily surpassed a consensus analyst estimate for EPS of $1.12.

Second-quarter highlights

Prepare yourself. Here are some jaw-dropping facts from the quarter.
  • Instagram Stories and WhatsApp Stories each have over 250 million people using them daily. 
  • Facebook has over 70 million businesses on Facebook and over 15 million business profiles on Instagram.
  • With 2.01 billion monthly active users at the end of Q2, Facebook added 294 million monthly active users in the past 12 months.
  • Facebook's 1.33 billion daily active users increased by 197 million since the year-ago quarter.
  • The average price per ad during the quarter increased 24% year over year, while the number of ads increased 19%.
  • Total expenses increased 33% year over year.
  • Facebook generated over $3.9 billion in free cash flow and ended the quarter with over $34 billion in cash and investments.

Outlook

Unsurprisingly, Facebook maintained its outlook for revenue growth to slow in the second half of the year. Facebook management has repeatedly warned investors that, during the second half of 2017, ad load growth would begin to play a less significant role in driving advertising growth, causing revenue growth rates to come down. Further, management said during the second-quarter conference call that slowing desktop ad revenue growth and Facebook's increasing emphasis on driving engagement with mobile video, an area where ad impressions are lower than Facebook's cash-cow news feed, will also play roles in bringing Facebook's revenue growth rates lower as the year progresses.
And to be sure to drive his point home, Facebook CFO David Wehner clarified during the earnings call that the social network doesn't expect the company's early efforts to monetize Messenger will offset its revenue growth headwinds.
On a positive note, Facebook's updated outlook for expenses and capital expenditures represent more moderate forecasts. Management narrowed its previous expectations for a full-year expense growth range of 40% to 50% to a range of 40% to 45%. And Facebook said it now expects its full-year capital expenditures to come in at the low end of its guidance range for $7 billion to $7.5 billion.
Read the original article on The Motley Fool. Copyright 2017. Follow The Motley Fool on Twitter.

Amazon Q2: Why Is Net Unearned Revenue Negative?



Amazon Q2: Why Is Net Unearned Revenue Negative?

 | About: Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN)

Summary

Amazon's net unearned revenue was negative for the first time since Q4 2013.
What caused the negative net unearned revenue was the drastic slowdown in additions to unearned revenue growth.
Because unearned revenue is a forward indicator, the growth decline suggests that either Prime or AWS will be slowing down in the near future.
What's really surprising after Amazon's (AMZN) Q2 earnings is that no one, not one Wall Street analyst, not one financial commentator, not one Seeking Alpha contributor (except for us), commented on the negative net unearned revenue in this quarter.
What is unearned revenue and why is it important? Here are some brief explanation from our previous Editor's Pick article:
...Due to accrual accounting, revenue can only be recognized during the period in which it is earned. That means any Prime membership fee or AWS booking fee cannot be fully booked as revenue in the period in which the sale is made...
"Unearned revenue is recorded when payments are received in advance of performing our service obligations and is recognized over the service period. Unearned revenue primarily relates to prepayments of Amazon Prime memberships and AWS services." - Amazon 2016 10-K
...Additions to unearned revenue include cash received for services not yet performed, while amortization of previously unearned revenue represents the revenues actually booked in the period in which the service is rendered...
...Much like how backlog is a forward indicator of an industrial company's revenue, unearned revenue represents future revenues for the company and should be emphasized when analyzing the company's actual growth. Furthermore, unearned revenue represents cash inflows to the company, therefore it is critical for valuing the company using DCF...
...As Prime membership and AWS users increase, the portion of unearned revenue, as a percentage of Amazon's overall revenue, has increased, making it a more important measure of Amazon's true revenue as time goes on...
For the first time since Q4 of 2013, net unearned revenue was negative:

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